- Publisher:
- ISEAS–Yusof Ishak Institute
- Online publication date:
- February 2024
- Print publication year:
- 2023
- Online ISBN:
- 9789815104295
- Series:
- Trends in Southeast Asia
The fifteenth general election (GE15) in Malaysia produced surprising results. The conservative coalition of PN emerged as the dark horse of the election, overtaking the longest-ruling coalition, BN, by a significant margin. The two largest coalitions post-GE15, PH and PN, represent ideological opposites, which may spell a polarized future for Malaysian youths. This paper intends to understand what happened to the youth votes and provide possible hypotheses for future trends.
In West Malaysia, constituencies with a larger share of young voters registered a higher voter turnout rate. A majority of seats with 30 percent or more of voters under 30 years old were won by PN, followed by PH, and thirdly BN. This demonstrated PN's relatively stronger hold on young seats in GE15. Discrepancies between pre-GE15 survey findings and actual results could be explained by the Shy PN factor' or PN-leaning voters' reticence towards revealing their preference - and a swing from BN to PN.
Of all voter groups, PN voters have shown the highest loyalty and affinity to their coalition of choice, largely led by PAS voters. This is followed by PH and then BN, where the latter has shown the lowest support durability and the highest likelihood of swing. Unsurprisingly, voters from the opposite ends of the ideological spectrum of PN and PH share a high degree of coldness towards each other, implying that a middle ground will be hard to reach between the two voter groups.
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