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Throwing out the baby with the bathwater? Let's not overstate the overselling of the base rate fallacy

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  04 February 2010

Cynthia J. Thomsen  and
Eugene Borgida
Cynthia J. Thomsen
Affiliation:
Department of Psychology, Tufts University, Medford, MA 02155
Eugene Borgida
Affiliation:
Department of Psychology, University of Minnesota, Minneapolis, MN 55455. cthomsen@pearl.tufts.edu
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Abstract

Koehler's summary and critique of research on the base rate fallacy is cogent and persuasive. However, he may have overstated the case, and his suggestions for future research may be too restrictive. We agree that methodological approaches to this topic should be broadened, but we argue that experimental laboratory research and the Bayesian normative standard are useful and should not be abandoned.

Type
Open Peer Commentary
Information
Behavioral and Brain Sciences , Volume 19 , Issue 1 , March 1996 , pp. 39 - 40
Copyright
Copyright © Cambridge University Press 1996

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