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Productivity Growth and Machinery Investment: A Long-Run Look, 1870–1980

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  03 March 2009

J. Bradford De Long
Affiliation:
Associate Professor of Economics at Harvard Universityand John M. Olin Fellow at the National Bureau of Economic Research, Cambridge, MA 02138.

Abstract

Over the past century in six major economies, economic growth has been strongly associated with machinery investment, as is the case for a larger group of nations since 1950. Both macroeconomic patterns and narratives of the history of technology suggest that this association is causal—that a high rate of machinery investment appears to be a necessary prerequisite for rapid long-run growth—and points away from possibilities that rapid growth is the cause of high machinery investment or that a high rate of machinery investment is a good proxy for other factors that are important causes of growth.

Type
Papers Presented at the Fifty-First Annual Meeting of the Economic History Association
Copyright
Copyright © The Economic History Association 1992

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