Hostname: page-component-78c5997874-lj6df Total loading time: 0 Render date: 2024-11-13T09:25:25.916Z Has data issue: false hasContentIssue false

Income inequality and the growth of redistributive spending in the United States (US) states: is there a link?

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  29 August 2017

Tima T. Moldogaziev
Affiliation:
Department of Public Administration and Policy, University of Georgia, USA E-mail: timatm@uga.edu
James E. Monogan
Affiliation:
Department of Political Science, University of Georgia, USA E-mail: monogan@uga.edu
Christopher Witko
Affiliation:
Department of Political Science, University of South Carolina, USA E-mail: WitkoC@mailbox.sc.edu

Abstract

Prominent public policy models have hypothesised that rising income inequality will lead to more redistributive spending. Subsequent theoretical advancements and empirical research often failed to find a positive relationship between inequality and redistributive spending, however. Over the last few decades both income inequality and redistributive spending have been growing in the United States states. In this work, we consider whether temporal variation in inequality can explain variation in redistributive spending, while controlling for a number of factors that covary with redistributive spending in the states. In an analysis of data for 1976–2008, we find that higher levels of inequality are associated with greater redistributive spending, offering empirical evidence that fiscal policy at the state level responds to growing levels of income inequality. Considering the growing role of state governments in welfare provision during the past several decades, this finding is relevant for policy researchers and practitioners at all levels of government.

Type
Research Article
Copyright
© Cambridge University Press, 2017 

Access options

Get access to the full version of this content by using one of the access options below. (Log in options will check for institutional or personal access. Content may require purchase if you do not have access.)

References

Adkisson, R. V. and Peach, J. T. (2000) Devolution and Recentralization of Welfare Administration: Implications for “New Federalism”. Policy Studies Review (Review of Policy Research) 17(2): 160178.Google Scholar
Bae, K. B. (2015) Income Inequality and Redistributive Spending: Evidence from Panel Data of Texas Counties. Local Government Studies 41(5): 735754.Google Scholar
Bailey, M. A. and Rom, M. C. (2004) A Wider Race? Interstate Competition Across Health and Welfare Programs. Journal of Politics 66(2): 326347.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Beamer, G. (2005) State Tax Credits and “Making Work Pay” in Post-Welfare Reform Era. Review of Policy Research 22(3): 385395.Google Scholar
Benabou, R. (2000) Unequal Societies: Income Distribution and the Social Contract. American Economic Review 90(1): 96129.Google Scholar
Benabou, R. and Ok, E. A. (2001) Social Mobility and the Demand for Redistribution. Quarterly Journal of Economics 116(2): 447487.Google Scholar
Bendz, A. (2015) Paying Attention to Politics: Public Responsiveness and Welfare Policy Change. Policy Studies Journal 43(3): 309332.Google Scholar
Berry, W. D., Ringquist, E. J., Fording, R. C. and Hanson, R. L. (1998) Measuring Citizen and Government Ideology in the American States, 1960-93. American Journal of Political Science 42: 327348.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Besharov, D. J. and Call, D. M. (2009) Income Transfers Alone Won’t Eradicate Poverty. Policy Studies Journal 37(4): 599631.Google Scholar
de Mello, L. and Tiongson, E. R. (2006) Income Inequality and Redistributive Government Spending. Public Finance Review 34(3): 282305.Google Scholar
Diamond, P. and Saez, E. (2011) The Case for a Progressive Tax: From Basic Research to Policy Recommendations. Journal of Economic Perspectives 25(4): 165190.Google Scholar
Erosa, A. and Gervais, M. (2002) Optimal Taxation in Life-Cycle Economies. Journal of Economic Theory 105(2): 338369.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Fellowes, M. C. and Rowe, G. (2004) Politics and the New American Welfare States. American Journal of Political Science 48(2): 362373.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Finseraas, H. (2009) Income Inequality and Demand for Redistribution: A Multilevel Analysis of European Public Opinion. Scandinavian Political Studies 32(1): 94119.Google Scholar
Frank, M. W. (2009) Inequality and Growth in the United States: Evidence from a New State-Level Panel of Income Inequality Measures. Economic Inquiry 47(1): 5568.Google Scholar
Franko, W. F., Tolbert, C. and Witko, C. (2013) Inequality, Self-Interest and Public Support for “Robin Hood” Tax Policies. Political Research Quarterly 66: 923937.Google Scholar
Franko, W. F., Kelly, N. J. and Witko, C. (2016) Class Bias in Voter Turnout, Representation, and Inequality. Perspectives on Politics 14: 351368.Google Scholar
Franko, W. F. (2016) Political Context, Government Redistribution, and the Public’s Response to Growing Economic Inequality. Journal of Politics 78(4): 957973.Google Scholar
Gilens, M. (2012) Affluence and Influence: Economic Inequality and Political Power in America. Princeton: Princeton University Press.Google Scholar
Gill, J. (2001) Whose Variance is it Anyway? Interpreting Empirical Models with State-Level Data. State Politics and Policy Quarterly 1(3): 318338.Google Scholar
Gill, J. and Witko, C. (2013) Bayesian Analytical Methods: A Methodological Prescription for Public Administration. Journal of Public Administration Research and Theory 23(2): 457494.Google Scholar
Hansen, S. B. (1999) Life is Not Fair: Governors’ Job Performance Ratings and State Economies. Political Research Quarterly 52(1): 167188.Google Scholar
Hatch, M. E. and Rigby, E. (2015) Laboratories of (In)Equality? Redistributive Policy and Income Inequality in the American States. Policy Studies Journal 43(2): 163187.Google Scholar
Hayes, M. T. (2007) Policy Characteristics, Patterns of Politics, and the Minimum Wage: Toward a Typology of Redistributive Policies. Policy Studies Journal 35(3): 465480.Google Scholar
Headey, B., Goodin, R. E., Muffels, R. and Dirven, H.-J. (1997) Welfare Over Time: Three Worlds of Welfare Capitalism in Panel Perspective. Journal of Public Policy 17(3): 329359.Google Scholar
Hendrick, R. M. (1998) The Impact of Federal Grants and Other Funds on General Fund Expenditure Decisions: A Detailed Analysis of One City. Journal of Public Administration Research and Theory 8(3): 353389.Google Scholar
Jacoby, W. G. and Schneider, S. K. (2009) A New Measure of Policy Spending Priorities in the American States. Political Analysis 17(1): 124.Google Scholar
Jensen, L. (1988) Rural-Urban Differences in the Utilization and Ameliorative Effects of Welfare Programs. Policy Studies Review (Review of Policy Research) 7(4): 782794.Google Scholar
Jones, B. D. (1990) Public Policies and Economic Growth in the American States. Journal of Politics 52(1): 219233.Google Scholar
Kelly, N. J. and Witko, C. (2012) Federalism and American Inequality. Journal of Politics 74(2): 414426.Google Scholar
Kelly, N. J. and Enns, P. K. (2010) Inequality and the Dynamics of Public Opinion: The Self-Reinforcing Link between Economic Inequality and Mass Preferences. American Journal of Political Science 54(4): 855870.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Kenworthy, L. and Pontusson, J. (2005) Rising Inequality and the Politics of Redistribution in Affluent Countries. Perspectives on Politics 3(3): 449471.Google Scholar
Kindermann, F. and Krueger, D. (2017) High Marginal Tax Rates on the Top 1% Model with Idiosyncratic Income Risk. Working paper.Google Scholar
Klarner, C. (2014) Klarner Politics, http://klarnerpolitics.com/kp-dataset-page.html (accessed 15 November 2014).Google Scholar
Korpi, W. and Palme, J. (1998) The Paradox of Redistribution and Strategies of Equality: Welfare State Institutions, Inequality, and Poverty in the Western countries. American Sociological Review 63(5): 661687.Google Scholar
Lerman, D. L. and Mikesell, J. J. (1988) Rural and Urban Poverty: An Income/Net Worth Approach. Policy Studies Review (Review of Policy Research) 7(4): 765781.Google Scholar
Li, H. (2000) Political Economy of Income Distribution: A Comparative Study of Taiwan and Mexico. Policy Studies Journal 28(2): 272291.Google Scholar
Liebman, J. B. (2002) Redistribution in the Current US Social Security System. In Feldstein M. and Liebman J.B. (eds.), The Distributional Aspects of Social Security and Social Security Reform. Chicago: University of Chicago Press, 11–48.Google Scholar
McClellan, M. and Skinner, J. (2006) The Incidence of Medicare. Journal of Public Economics 90(1): 257276.Google Scholar
Mead, L. M. (2005) Research and Welfare Reform. Review of Policy Research 22(3): 401421.Google Scholar
Meltzer, A. H. and Richard, S. F. (1981) A Rational Theory of the Size of Government. Journal of Political Economy 89(4): 914927.Google Scholar
Meltzer, A. H. and Richard, S. F. (1983) Test of a Rational Theory of the Size of Government. Public Choice 41(3): 403418.Google Scholar
Moene, K. O. and Wallerstein, M. (2001) Inequality, Social Insurance, and Redistribution. American Political Science Review 95(4): 859874.Google Scholar
Moene, K. O. and Wallerstein, M. (2003) Earnings Inequality and Welfare Spending: A Disaggregated Analysis. World Politics 55(4): 485516.Google Scholar
Monogan, J. E. III (2013) The Politics of Immigrant Policy in the 50 U.S. States, 2005-2011. Journal of Public Policy 33(1): 3564.Google Scholar
Nicholson-Crotty, S., Theobald, N. A. and Wood, B. D. (2006) Fiscal Federalism and Budgetary Tradeoffs in the American States. Political Research Quarterly 59(2): 313321.Google Scholar
Noble, C. (1988) Liberalism Redux: A New Antipoverty Policy?”. Policy Studies Journal 17(2): 449456.Google Scholar
Peppard, D. M. Jr. and Roberts, D. B. (1977) Net Fiscal Incidence in Michigan: Who Pays and Who Benefits?. Lansing, MI: Michigan State University.Google Scholar
Peterson, P. E. (1995) The Price of Federalism. New York, NY: Twentieth Century.Google Scholar
Pierson, K., Hand, M. and Thompson, F. (2014) The Government Finance Database: A Common Resource for Quantitative Research in Public Financial Analysis, http://www.willamette.edu/mba/research impact/2014/public datasets.html (accessed 15 November 2014).Google Scholar
Pinizza, U. (2002) Income Inequality and Economic Growth: Evidence from American Data. Journal of Economic Growth 7(1): 2541.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Rehm, P., Hacker, J. S. and Schlesinger, M. (2012) Insecure Alliances: Risk, Inequality, and Support for the Welfare State. American Political Science Review 106(2): 386406.Google Scholar
Rodgers, H. R. Jr. and Tedin, K. L. (2006) State TANF Spending: Predictors of State Tax Effort to Support Welfare Reform. Review of Policy Research 23(3): 745759.Google Scholar
Rodgers, H. R. Jr., Payne, L. and Chervachidze, S. (2006) State Poverty Rates: Do the New Welfare Policies Make a Difference? Review of Policy Research 23(3): 657679.Google Scholar
Rodgers, H. R. Jr. (2005) Saints, Stalwarts, and Slackers: State Financial Contributions to Welfare Reform. Policy Studies Journal 33(4): 497508.Google Scholar
Rodgers, H. R. Jr., Beamer, G. and Payne, L. (2008) No Race in Any Direction: State Welfare and Income Regimes. Policy Studies Journal 36(4): 525543.Google Scholar
Rodriguez, F. C. (1999) Does Distributional Skewness Lead to Redistribution? Evidence from the United States. Economics and Politics 11(2): 171199.Google Scholar
Romer, T. (1975) Individual Welfare, Majority Voting, and the Properties of a Linear Income Tax. Journal of Public Economics 4(2): 163185.Google Scholar
Sloan, J. W. (1997) The Reagan Presidency, Growing Inequality, and the American Dream. Policy Studies Journal 25(3): 371386.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Soss, J., Schram, S. F., Vartanian, T. P. and O’Brien, E. (2001) Setting the Terms of Relief: Explaining State Policy Choices in the Devolution Revolution. American Journal of Political Science 45(2): 378395.Google Scholar
Western, B. and Jackman, S. (1994) Bayesian Inference for Comparative Research. American Political Science Review 88(2): 412423.Google Scholar
Witko, C. and Newmark, A. J. (2010) The Strange Disappearance of Investment in Human and Physical Capital in the United States. Journal of Public Administration Research and Theory 20(1): 215232.Google Scholar
Supplementary material: PDF

Moldogaziev et al supplementary material

Moldogaziev et al supplementary material 1

Download Moldogaziev et al supplementary material(PDF)
PDF 2.2 MB