Hostname: page-component-78c5997874-v9fdk Total loading time: 0 Render date: 2024-11-10T15:24:07.792Z Has data issue: false hasContentIssue false

The accuracy of NIESR's GDP growth forecasts

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  01 January 2020

Simon Kirby*
Affiliation:
NIESR and Centre for Macroeconomics
Kanya Paramaguru*
Affiliation:
NIESR and Centre for Macroeconomics
James Warren*
Affiliation:
NIESR and Centre for Macroeconomics

Abstract

Image of the first page of this content. For PDF version, please use the ‘Save PDF’ preceeding this image.'
Type
The World Economy
Copyright
Copyright © 2015 National Institute of Economic and Social Research

Access options

Get access to the full version of this content by using one of the access options below. (Log in options will check for institutional or personal access. Content may require purchase if you do not have access.)

Footnotes

Thanks to Oriol Carreras for helpful comments and suggestions.

References

Barrell, R.J.Khoman, E.Kirby, S. (2007), ‘Evaluating forecast uncertainty’, National Institute Economic Review, 201, pp. 5560.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Barrell, R.J.Metz, R. (2006), ‘An assessment of NIESR forecast accuracy: US and Euro Area GDP and inflation’, National Institute Economic Review, 196, pp. 36–9.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Diebold, F.X.Mariano, R.S. (1995), ‘Comparing predictive accuracy’, Journal of Business and Economic Statistics, American Statistical Association, Vol. 13, No. 3, pp. 253–63.Google Scholar
Kirby, S.Paluchowski, P.Warren, J. (2014), ‘The performance of NIESR's GDP forecasts’, National Institute Economic Review, 228, pp. 6670.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Office for Budget Responsibility (2014), Forecast Evaluation Report.Google Scholar
Pain, N.Lewis, C.Dang, T.-T.Jin, Y.Richardson, P. (2014), ‘OECD forecasts during and after the financial crisis: a post mortem’, OECD Working Papers, No.1107, OECD Publishing.CrossRefGoogle Scholar