Hostname: page-component-cd9895bd7-dzt6s Total loading time: 0 Render date: 2024-12-28T01:47:46.401Z Has data issue: false hasContentIssue false
  • English
  • Français

Did Bush Voters Cause Obama's Victory?

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  19 April 2010

Arthur Lupia
Arthur Lupia
Affiliation:
University of Michigan
Get access Rights & Permissions [Opens in a new window]

Abstract

In the 2008 election, Barack Obama's campaign brought many new voters to the polls. Were these new voters necessary for Obama's victory? In this study, I find that they were not. The basis of this finding is an examination of decisions made by people who voted for George W. Bush in 2004. I show that Bush voters' decisions not to vote or to support Obama were a sufficient condition for Obama's victory.

Type
Features
Information
PS: Political Science & Politics , Volume 43 , Issue 2 , April 2010 , pp. 239 - 241
Copyright
Copyright © American Political Science Association 2010

Access options

Get access to the full version of this content by using one of the access options below. (Log in options will check for institutional or personal access. Content may require purchase if you do not have access.)

References

American National Election Studies (ANES). 2008. The ANES 2008 Time Series Study. Stanford University and the University of Michigan. http://www.electionstudies.org/studypages/2008prepost/2008prepost.htm.Google Scholar
McDonald, Michael P. 2008. “The Return of the Voter: Voter Turnout in the 2008 Presidential Election.” The Forum 6 (4). http://www.bepress.com/forum/vol6/iss4/art4/Google Scholar
Weisman, Jonathan, and Meckler, Laura. 2008. “Obama Sweeps to Historic Victory.” Wall Street Journal, November 6, A1.Google Scholar