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Multilevel modelling of sociodemographic predictors of various levels of anaemia among women in Mali

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  01 September 2009

Ismael Ngnie-Teta*
Affiliation:
Micronutrient Initiative, 180 Elgin Street – Suite 1000, Ottawa, Ontario, Canada K2P 2K3
Barthelemy Kuate-Defo
Affiliation:
Département de Démographie, Université de Montréal, Montréal, Québec, Canada
Olivier Receveur
Affiliation:
Département de Nutrition, Faculté de Médecine, Université de Montréal, Montréal, Québec, Canada
*
*Corresponding author: Email iteta@micronutrient.org
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Abstract

Objective

Anaemia currently affects 40–80 % of women in Africa. While risk factors for anaemia have been intensively studied, research has rarely compared risk factors between mild anaemia and moderate/severe anaemia. Also, the contribution of neighbourhood to the prevalence of anaemia has been rarely studied. The aim of the present study was to identify and compare individual and contextual factors associated with various levels of anaemia among women.

Design

A multilevel analysis of data from the 2001 Mali Demographic and Health Survey (n 3763) was carried out. Outcomes variables were mild anaemia, moderate-to-severe anaemia and any anaemia. Multilevel regression analyses were performed for each outcome.

Setting

Mali, West Africa.

Subjects

Women (n 3763) aged 15 to 49 years, including 512 pregnant women.

Results

Among the eleven potential risk factors included in the models, two factors were associated with mild anaemia (BMI and education), three with any anaemia (pregnancy, BMI and education) and six with moderate-to-severe anaemia (pregnancy, BMI, education, wealth, childhood residency and region of residence). Clustering of anaemia within communities was 20 % for moderate-to-severe anaemia and 13 % for mild anaemia. Despite significant differences in the prevalence of anaemia across regions in Mali, no difference between regions in the risk of mild anaemia was found and only the region of Gao showed a significantly higher risk of moderate-to-severe anaemia.

Conclusions

The findings indicate that sociodemographic risk factors as well as clustering of anaemia varies with the severity of anaemia. Specific studies are needed to identify risk factors of mild anaemia as well as its consequences, as mild anaemia accounts for 20–40 % of total prevalence of anaemia in Africa.

Type
Research Paper
Copyright
Copyright © The Authors 2008

Anaemia represents a major public health problem among women of reproductive age in developing countries. A recent review suggested that 41 % of women in Africa are anaemic(Reference Stoltzfus1). The consequences of anaemia for women include increased risk of maternal morbidity and mortality, and lower productivity(Reference Stoltzfus2Reference Stoltzfus6).

Maternal anaemia is also associated with a higher risk for low birth weight, premature birth, perinatal and neonatal death, as well as inadequate Fe stores for the newborn(Reference Brabin, Premji and Verhoeff7, Reference Scholl, Hediger, Fischer and Shearer8). It is estimated that, each year, 271 000 deaths and 10 140000 disability-adjusted life years are attributable to Fe-deficiency anaemia in Africa(Reference Stoltzfus1).

Common causes of anaemia among women in Mali, as identified in the literature, include micronutrient deficiencies, infections (largely malaria), pregnancy and poor socio-economic conditions(Reference Ayoya, Spiekermann-Brouwer, Traore, Stoltzfus and Garza9Reference Kreft15). However, little research has been done to identify the risk factors for different levels of anaemia (mild, moderate or severe). Also, the multilevel analysis technique has rarely been used in nutritional epidemiology to investigate the clustering of anaemia within communities.

The purpose of the present study is to identify, compare and discuss the risk factors of varying levels of anaemia (mild, moderate-to-severe and any) among Malian women. The study also attempts to separate and quantify the contribution of community characteristics v. individual characteristics to the prevalence of anaemia in Malian women.

Materials and methods

Data and study population

The study is based on secondary analysis of data from the Demographic and Health Survey (DHS) carried out in 2001 in Mali. The Mali DHS is a nationally representative survey including 3763 Malian women aged 15–49 years nested in a sample of 403 clusters (communities). The sample design involved a probabilistic two-stage sampling. In the first stage, enumeration areas were randomly selected with equal probability. The second stage involved interviewing eligible households and individual respondents. The detailed sampling methodology is presented in the DHS sampling manual(16) and DHS country reports(17).

The survey consisted of individual and household questionnaires addressed to women of reproductive age (15–49 years). The individual questionnaire gathered information on the background characteristics of survey respondents. The household questionnaire collected comparable information on household composition, including relationship to head of the household, age and sex of all household members, and educational attainment for those aged 6 years and above.

Outcome measures

Hb levels were measured in capillary blood using the HemoCue. For the Mali DHS, Hb measurements were not repeated; however, the precision and accuracy of the HemoCue system is known to be very high (concordance coefficients of 0·99 and 0·98 and CV less than 1 %). High within-subject variability of capillary blood samples has, however, been reported in some studies(Reference Morris, Ruel, Cohen, Dewey, de la Briere and Hassan18, Reference Boulton, Nightingale and Reynolds19). DHS experience has shown that this individual variability in test results is highly related to the tester’s skills; DHS surveys therefore use intensive standardized training under the close supervision of a skilled phlebotomist to significantly improve the capillary sampling technique and reduce within-subject variability. Detailed procedures are explained elsewhere(Reference Sharman20). Anaemia cut-off points used in the present study were those recommended by WHO for women and pregnant women(2123). Any anaemia was defined as Hb lower than 12·0 g/dl in non-pregnant women and Hb lower than 11·0 g/dl in pregnant women. Mild anaemia was defined as Hb level between 10·0 and 11·9 g/dl among non-pregnant women and between 10·0 and 10·9 g/dl among pregnant women. Moderate-to-severe anaemia was defined as Hb lower than 10·0 g/dl in both non-pregnant and pregnant women.

Exposure measures

Potential risk factors for anaemia among women included in the analysis were: pregnancy (non-pregnant, pregnant); age (15–24, 25–34, 35–49 years); BMI (<18·5, 18·5–25, >25 kg/m2); bed net use (yes, no); household size (1–4, 5–7, >7 persons); education (no education, any education); husband’s education (no education, any education); wealth index (low, medium, high). The wealth index is a composite measure of the cumulative living standard of a household used as a proxy for socio-economic status (SES). It was calculated using easy-to-collect data on a household’s ownership of selected assets, such as televisions and bicycles, materials used for housing construction and types of water access and sanitation facilities. The most important household-owned durable goods were identified and placed on a continuous scale by principal components analysis. In total, 162 indicators collected in eighty-one countries were used by ORC Macro to build the wealth index. For tabular analysis with the DHS wealth index, we have used percentiles (quintiles). The lowest two quintiles were considered as low wealth index, quintiles three and four as medium wealth index and the highest quintile as high wealth index. The DHS wealth index procedure is detailed elsewhere(Reference Rutstein and Kiersten24). Community-level variables included in the analysis were childhood place of residence (urban, rural), current place of residence (urban, rural) and region of residence (province).

Statistical methods

Data analysis was performed using multilevel modelling procedures. Multilevel regression analysis is a powerful statistical modelling method that allows the incorporation of explanatory variables at different levels of the hierarchy so that household- and community-level clustering of the outcome are taken into account. It also produces estimates of logistic regression coefficients, standard errors, confidence intervals and significance tests that are generally more conservative than those obtained from simple logistic regression models(Reference Snjjders and Bosker25Reference Goldstein, Browne and Rasbash29). Four multilevel logistic regression models were applied to the data to examine their associations to different levels of anaemia using the subset of respondents with full information (n 2585). The first model was the null model with no explanatory variable. The second model included women’s characteristics (pregnancy, age, BMI). The third model added SES variables (household size, woman’s education, husband’s education, wealth index) to Model 2. The final model (full model) added the community-related variables (childhood place of residence, current place of residence, region) to Model 2. Each of the four models was built for mild anaemia, moderate-to-severe anaemia and any anaemia as outcomes.

For each model, the β coefficients (standard errors) were converted into odds ratios (95 % confidence intervals) and random estimates were quantified in terms of the variance partition coefficient (VPC), which is a variant of the intraclass correlation for non-linear outcomes(Reference Kreft15, Reference Snjjders and Bosker25, Reference Goldstein, Browne and Rasbash29Reference Rasbash, Steele, Browne and Prosser31). The VPC gives an estimation of the clustering of anaemia in communities and is interpreted as the percentage of total variance in risk of anaemia attributable to community clustering of anaemia at the neighbourhood level. A high VPC would reflect a high clustering of anaemia prevalence within communities and a high neighbourhood effect on individual risk of anaemia. Multilevel logistic parameters were estimated using restricted iterative generalized least squares (RIGLS) and penalized quasi likelihood (PLQ)(Reference Kreft15, Reference Snjjders and Bosker25, Reference Rasbash, Steele, Browne and Prosser31). The multilevel logistic regression models were fitted using the MLwiN software version 2·0 (Centre for Multilevel Modelling, University of Bristol, Bristol, UK).

Limits of the study

One limitation of the present study is its cross-sectional design. Despite the rigorous selection of variables and consistency of our main results with those of other studies on anaemia, no causal inference can be made. However, the correlations observed can help us guide the development and implementation of anaemia intervention policies. Another limitation of the study was the absence of data on dietary Fe intake and supplementation in the DHS surveys. It is, however, already well documented that Fe-deficiency anaemia contributes approximately 50 % to total anaemia prevalence in West Africa.

Ethical clearance

The study is based on secondary analysis of existing survey data with all identifying information removed. Training for the Mali DHS survey teams included special training for the field enumerators and the team leaders on how to present the informed consent statement. The study was approved by the ORC Macro Research Ethics Committee as well as the National Ethics Committee for Mali (Bamako). Prior to the test, each woman was asked whether she would agree to participate in the study and, if so, to sign a form giving permission for blood collection. The form explained the Hb testing procedure and causes and consequences of anaemia. The women were assured that the results would be kept confidential.

Results

Prevalence and distribution of anaemia in Malian women

Overall, 3763 Malian women were included in the descriptive analysis of whom 512 (13·6 %) were pregnant. The mean Hb level was 11·3 (sd 1·7) g/dl in non-pregnant women and 9·9 (sd 1·6) g/dl in pregnant women. The overall prevalence of anaemia in the women was 66 %. The prevalence of mild, moderate and severe anaemia was 40·7 %, 22·5 % and 2·7 %, respectively. As shown in Table 1, there was a substantial difference in the prevalence of anaemia between non-pregnant women (64 %) and pregnant women (77 %). These differences were more marked when anaemia was split by severity level. Pregnant women were almost two times more affected by moderate and severe anaemia (prevalence ratio of 2·4 and 1·8, respectively). Consequently, mild anaemia prevalence was higher among non-pregnant women than pregnant women. The prevalence of anaemia also varied enormously from one region of Mali to another. The lowest prevalence of anaemia was found in Bamako, the capital (54 % overall, with only 15 % prevalence of moderate plus severe anaemia). Anaemia prevalence was above 60 % in all other regions, with the highest prevalence found in Mopti and Gao (>75 % overall, with 32 % and 35 % prevalence of moderate plus severe anaemia, respectively).

Table 1 Prevalence of varying levels of anaemia in Malian women aged 15–49 years according to selected explanatory variables considered for analytical multilevel models: data from the 2001 Mali Demographic and Health Survey

*P values are from tests of the association between the prevalence of different levels of anaemia and each of the variables in the table.

Bivariate analyses (not presented) showed that almost the same variables were associated with moderate and severe anaemia. For this reason, moderate and severe anaemia are merged into a single category named ‘moderate-to-severe anaemia’ (Hb < 10·0 g/dl).

Demographic and socio-economic markers associated with various levels of anaemia

Multilevel logistic regression estimates (odds ratio and confidence intervals) are presented in Table 2. The three outcomes considered in the regression models are mild anaemia, moderate-to-severe anaemia and any anaemia. Only estimates from full models are presented.

Table 2 Multilevel logistic regression modelling of risk factors for anaemia among Malian women aged 15–49 years with complete information (n 2585): data from the 2001 Mali Demographic and Health Survey

*95 % CI not calculated; reference category.

Factors associated with mild anaemia

Two factors (education and BMI) among the eleven included in the regression models were significantly associated with mild anaemia. Overweight women (BMI > 25 kg/m2) were less likely to be anaemic (OR = 0·73; 95 % CI 0·57, 0·94) than women with normal BMI and underweight women (see Table 2). Women who never attended school had a higher risk of mild anaemia than women with any education (OR = 1·31; 95 % CI 1·02, 1·69). These two variables were also significantly associated with moderate-to-severe anaemia as well as any anaemia.

Factors associated with moderate-to-severe anaemia

In addition to the two variables associated with mild anaemia, four more variables were significantly associated with moderate-to-severe anaemia. For BMI, risk of moderate-to-severe anaemia was significantly higher among women with BMI < 18·5 kg/m2 (OR = 1·58; 95 % CI 1·14, 2·19) and significantly lower among overweight women (OR = 0·64; 95 % CI 0·47, 0·89) compared with women with normal BMI. Pregnancy, which is one of the most obvious risk factors for anaemia, was associated with moderate-to-severe anaemia (OR = 3·75; 95 % CI 2·85, 4·95) but not with mild anaemia.

Women from households with medium wealth index had higher prevalence of moderate-to-severe anaemia than those from wealthier households (OR = 1·46; 95 % CI 1·08, 1·97), but no significant difference was observed when the outcome was mild anaemia or any anaemia.

Similarly, childhood place of residence was associated with moderate-to-severe anaemia but not with mild anaemia or any anaemia. Women who spent their childhood in rural settings were more likely to be moderately-to-severely anaemic than their counterparts from towns (OR = 1·74; 95 % CI 1·27, 2·38). The region of residence was also associated with moderate-to-severe anaemia but not mild anaemia. In particular, women living in the region of Gao had the highest risk of anaemia compared with those living in the capital city of Bamako (OR = 2·48; 95 % CI 1·02, 6·04).

Factors associated with any anaemia

Three variables were significantly associated with any anaemia. Pregnancy was associated with any anaemia (OR = 1·78; 95 % CI 1·41, 2·25), but the magnitude of the association was only about half that observed for moderate-to-severe anaemia (OR = 3·75; 95 % CI 2·85, 4·95). There was also a protective effect of overweight (OR = 0·71; 95 % CI 0·57, 0·90 for BMI > 25 kg/m2), as well as an increased risk of any anaemia among non-educated women (OR = 1·35; 95 % CI 1·07, 1·70; Table 2).

Regardless of anaemia definition, three variables were not associated with anaemia, i.e. woman’s age, household size and current place of residence.

Contribution of contextual effects to moderate-to-severe anaemia prevalence

The contribution of community effects was derived from the null model, which is the model containing only the outcome and a constant (no explanatory variable). Table 3 shows that 13 % of the variability in risk of mild anaemia in Malian women was attributable to the difference between communities. These differences between communities accounted for 14 % in the risk of any anaemia and 20 % for moderate-to-severe anaemia.

Table 3 Variance estimates (and their standard errors) from the two-level binomial logit models for mild anaemia, moderate-to-severe anaemia and any anaemia among Malian women aged 15–49 years: data from the 2001 Mali Demographic and Health Survey

VPC, variance partition coefficient.

All variance variables were significant at the 0·001 level.

Discussion

The present analysis shows that two-thirds of non-pregnant women and three-quarters of pregnant women in Mali were anaemic. Prevalence of anaemia was 10 % higher than the mean anaemia prevalence in other sub-Saharan African countries where comparable nationally representative data are available (Table 4). The level of clustering found in the present study is comparable to what we found in previous research on multilevel determinants of anaemia among children in Benin and Mali(Reference Ngnie-Teta, Kuate-Defo and Receveur32). This means that the risk of anaemia is mostly attributable to individual and household patterns (approximately 80 %) rather than to differences between communities.

Table 4 Prevalence of anaemia in women from sub-Saharan African countries: data are from recent Demographic Health Surveys

Among the eleven variables included in the present models, two were associated with mild anaemia, six with moderate-to-severe anaemia and three with any anaemia. When mild anaemia was combined with moderate-to-severe anaemia as is usually done in anaemia-related research, three key factors associated with moderate-to-severe anaemia were non-significant – SES, childhood place of residence, region of residence – and the magnitude of association with the three remaining risk factors – pregnancy, BMI, education – was diluted.

There was no association between pregnancy and mild anaemia in the present study, but pregnant women were four times more at risk of moderate-to-severe anaemia. However, anaemia prevalence was over 60 % among non-pregnant women, which means that most women are already anaemic before pregnancy. Because of the increase in Fe needs during pregnancy, it is likely that non-anaemic women and mildly anaemic women shift to moderate and severe anaemia(Reference De Leeuw, Lowenstein and Hsieh33). This does not fully explain the lack of association between mild anaemia and pregnancy in multilevel analysis however, since 25 % of pregnant women had mild anaemia and a similar proportion was non-anaemic.

The physical and socio-cultural characteristics of a woman’s childhood place of residence have an influence on her current health and nutrition behaviours during adulthood(Reference Uyanga34). Moreover, beliefs and attitudes developed while women are living in urban or rural areas during childhood may potentially impact parenting practices during adulthood(35). The current study reveals that the prevalence of severe anaemia was two times higher among these women from rural settings. This association disappeared in multilevel modelling; however, the results suggest that more research should focus on the real impact of the childhood environment on women’s health.

Among the various risks factors we studied, one deserves particular attention. Women with BMI > 25 kg/m2 appeared at lower risk of anaemia, which could suggest that having a diet providing sufficient energy to maintain body weight within normal limits does not suffice in supplying Fe. Furthermore, as energy intake became insufficient and BMI fell below 18·5 kg/m2, the risk of being moderately to severely anaemic increased. However, other studies in different context have recently reported a higher risk of anaemia among obese women(Reference Eckhardt, Torheim, Monterrubio, Barquera and Ruel36, Reference Nead, Halterman, Kaczorowski, Auinger and Weitzman37). This overall association between BMI and risk of anaemia appears to point towards the need to develop interventions to increase available Fe in the diet of the whole population, interventions that will have to consider limits that appear to be associated with the absence of formal education in the majority of Malian women.

The most common cause of anaemia during pregnancy among sub-Saharan Africans is inadequate diet and insufficient supply of prenatal Fe and folate supplement. However, infections, notably malaria and HIV/AIDS, are other causes of anaemia in non-pregnant and pregnant women in sub-Saharan Africa. In the present study, use of bed nets (used as a proxy for malaria infection) did not show any association with anaemia. However, previous studies have demonstrated that malaria is the second leading cause of anaemia in Mali after Fe deficiency(Reference Ayoya, Spiekermann-Brouwer, Traore, Stoltzfus and Garza9). In a former study in Malawi, elevated concentrations of C-reactive protein, an indicator of infection, were found in 54 % of anaemic women with no nutritional deficiencies(Reference van den Broek, White, Flowers, Cook, Letsky, Tanumihardjo, Mhango, Molyneux and Neilson38).

HIV infection increases one’s risk of anaemia(Reference Sullivan, Hanson, Chu, Jones and Ward39). Furthermore, HIV-positive women who are also infected with malaria are more likely to be anaemic than HIV-negative women(Reference Brentlinger, Behrens and Micek40). However, the HIV infection rate among women in Mali of 1·7 % is relatively low compared with other countries in sub-Saharan Africa(41, 42). For this reason, it is likely that HIV will be only a minor contributor to anaemia prevalence in Mali.

On the other hand, results of Fe-based interventions to fight anaemia in sub-Saharan Africa have been mitigated and their failure often attributed to poor compliance, limited duration of intervention and lack of infrastructure(Reference Sloan, Jordan and Winikoff43, Reference Galloway and McGuire44). Rarely has the possibility that the cut-off point for defining anaemia might be inappropriate been considered as a potential cause of the absence of impact. George Beaton made a similar point during the 2001 meeting of the International Nutritional Anemia Consultative Group, with the hypothesis that the ‘failure’ of interventions might be due to the ‘inappropriate and unnecessary high’ cut-off for anaemia, at least during pregnancy(45). Some researchers have suggested lowering the cut-off for anaemia among people from African origin by 1 g/dl, which would mean a mathematical eradication of mild anaemia in its current definition(Reference Yip, Schwartz and Deinard46Reference Johnson-Spear and Yip48). Comparable studies have not been completed among African women living in Africa, but one can reasonably anticipate similar results. Our results would tend to support lowering the cut-off point for anaemia to 10 g/dl because well-known risk factors for anaemia (pregnancy, low SES, community environment) do not show any association with mild anaemia whereas they show very strong and significant association with moderate-to-severe anaemia. However, a recent literature review showed that not only severe anaemia but also mild anaemia has health consequences among women(Reference Stoltzfus1, Reference Stoltzfus, Mullany and Black49).

Therefore, if mild anaemia needs to be addressed, it might require different strategies from those for moderate-to-severe anaemia. Increasing available dietary Fe could be particularly successful against mild anaemia, while addressing moderate-to-severe anaemia would require working more on health services and underlying socio-economic factors responsible for malnutrition and multiple constraints to health. While much research is obviously required if any progress against anaemia is to be made, this should include further identification of the risk factors associated with mild anaemia.

Acknowledgements

I.N.-T., O.R. and B.K.-D. participated in designing the study and analysing and interpreting the data. I.N.-T. wrote the first draft of the paper. All researchers contributed to the preparation of and approved the paper. This work was partly funded by a scholarship from the Mellon Foundation. The authors declare no conflicts of interest.

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Figure 0

Table 1 Prevalence of varying levels of anaemia in Malian women aged 15–49 years according to selected explanatory variables considered for analytical multilevel models: data from the 2001 Mali Demographic and Health Survey

Figure 1

Table 2 Multilevel logistic regression modelling of risk factors for anaemia among Malian women aged 15–49 years with complete information (n 2585): data from the 2001 Mali Demographic and Health Survey

Figure 2

Table 3 Variance estimates (and their standard errors) from the two-level binomial logit models for mild anaemia, moderate-to-severe anaemia and any anaemia among Malian women aged 15–49 years: data from the 2001 Mali Demographic and Health Survey

Figure 3

Table 4 Prevalence of anaemia in women from sub-Saharan African countries: data are from recent Demographic Health Surveys