Hostname: page-component-cd9895bd7-8ctnn Total loading time: 0 Render date: 2024-12-26T20:28:22.507Z Has data issue: false hasContentIssue false

The Technological Adolescent Age Transition: A Boundary to Estimate the Last Factor of the Drake Equation

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  19 September 2017

Guillermo A. Lemarchand*
Affiliation:
Instituto Argentino de Radioastronomía (CONICET) and Centro de Estudios Avanzados (UBA). E-mail:lemar@cea.uba.ar

Abstract

Core share and HTML view are not available for this content. However, as you have access to this content, a full PDF is available via the ‘Save PDF’ action button.

Based on the study of several long-term societal indicators we estimate the phase transition between the “Technological Adolescent Age” (TAA) and the “Technological Mature Age” (TMA). Assuming the “Principle of Mediocrity” and using the Drake Equation we estimate a lower threshold for the number of technological civilizations in the galaxy.

Type
Search for Extraterrestrial Intelligence (SETI)
Copyright
Copyright © Astronomical Society of the Pacific 2004 

References

Bak, P. 1996, How Nature Works, (New York: Springer-Verlag)CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Charnov, E. L. 1993, Life History Invariants, (Oxford: Oxford University Press)CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Fisher, J. C., & Pry, R. H. 1971, Tech. Forecast. & Social Change, 3, 75 CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Gurney, W. S. C., & Nisbet, R. M. 1998, Ecological Dynamics, (Oxford: Oxford University Press)Google Scholar
Hoerner, S. von 1961, Science, 134, 1839 CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Jensen, H. J. 1998, Self-Organized Criticality, (Cambridge: Camb. Univ. Press)CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Kapitza, S. P. 1996, Physics-Uspekhi, 29, 57 CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Kreifeldt, J. G. 1973, Icarus, 14, 419 CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Lemarchand, G. A. 2000, in When SETI Succeeds: The Impact of High-Information Contact, ed. Tough, A., (Bellevue: The Foundation for the Future), 153 Google Scholar
Levy, J. S. 1983, War in the Modern Great Powers, (Lexington: Univ. of Kent.)Google Scholar
Oliver, B. 1975, Icarus, 25, 360 CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Pearman, J. P. T. 1963, in Interstellar Communication: The Search for Extraterrestrial Life, ed. Cameron, A. G. W., (New York: W. A. Benjamin)Google Scholar
Richardson, L. F. 1945, Nature, 155, 610 CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Roberts, D. C., & Turcolotte, D. L. 1998, Fractals, 6, 353 CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Sagan, C. 1980, Cosmos, (New York: Random House)Google Scholar