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1 results

  • Akaike and the No Miracle Argument for Scientific Realism

  • Alireza Fatollahi
  • Journal:
    Canadian Journal of Philosophy / Volume 53 / Issue 1 / January 2023
    Published online by Cambridge University Press:
    03 August 2023, pp. 21-37
    • Article
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  • The “No Miracle Argument” for scientific realism contends that the only plausible explanation for the predictive success of scientific theories is their truthlikeness, but doesn’t specify what ‘truthlikeness’ means. I argue that if we understand ‘truthlikeness’ in terms of Kullback-Leibler (KL) divergence, the resulting realist thesis (RKL) is a plausible explanation for science’s success. Still, RKL probably falls short of the realist’s ideal. I argue, however, that the strongest version of realism that the argument can plausibly establish is RKL. The realist needs another argument for establishing a stronger realist thesis.