This study investigated the validity of procedures
for estimating the P3 complex in single trials. In “pseudo-real”
simulations of the N1-P2 complex of the occipital visual-evoked
potential, Möcks, Köhler, Gasser, and Pham (1988)
had reported that their maximum-likelihood method (Pham,
Möcks, Köhler, & Gasser, 1987) performed
better than Woody's (1967) method. Using pseudo-real
simulations of auditory oddball data, we wanted to know
whether this finding also held true for the P3 complex.
The performance of three methods was studied: peak picking,
Woody's method, and Pham et al.'s method (as
well as an extension of this latter method). Performance
of all methods critically depended on the signal-to-noise
ratio. There was some advantage for the more sophisticated
methods, particularly when signal-to-noise ratios were
realistic. “Good” trials may be selected by
all methods, to improve the signal-to-noise ratio, but
this selection entails the risk of bias. Further research
should investigate whether these conclusions also hold
true when the P3 complex consists of more than one component.