Economic theory indicates the need for nonlinear structural
models to study medium-term and long-run dynamic behavior of an
economy. This paper argues that economic systems can be better
specified and estimated using differential-equation rather than
difference-equation systems and briefly reviews the estimators of
continuous models. This approach of specifying structural models on
the basis of economic theory and institutional structure explicitly
and then testing the underlying hypothesis to verify the structural
form is contrasted with a general-to-specific approach of
successively more restricted VARMAX processes. Previous analyses of
stability about the steady state or fixed point in phase
space are extended to more general attractors to allow
an investigation of complexity in economic
systems. The critical dependence of some attractors, and
particularly strange attractors, on parameter values
emphasizes the need for consistent, efficient
estimation. A structural approach
provides a rigorous alternative to using single time series to
determine whether economic systems exhibit aperiodic or chaotic
dynamical behavior.