We use cookies to distinguish you from other users and to provide you with a better experience on our websites. Close this message to accept cookies or find out how to manage your cookie settings.
To save content items to your account,
please confirm that you agree to abide by our usage policies.
If this is the first time you use this feature, you will be asked to authorise Cambridge Core to connect with your account.
Find out more about saving content to .
To save content items to your Kindle, first ensure no-reply@cambridge.org
is added to your Approved Personal Document E-mail List under your Personal Document Settings
on the Manage Your Content and Devices page of your Amazon account. Then enter the ‘name’ part
of your Kindle email address below.
Find out more about saving to your Kindle.
Note you can select to save to either the @free.kindle.com or @kindle.com variations.
‘@free.kindle.com’ emails are free but can only be saved to your device when it is connected to wi-fi.
‘@kindle.com’ emails can be delivered even when you are not connected to wi-fi, but note that service fees apply.
This chapter describes the adoption of the Cobb–Douglas regression by agricultural economists over the 1940-1960 period. These economists used the regression to explore a set of long-standing questions specific to agricultural economics. As a result, their defense and development of the method and the criticisms they attracted from their colleagues, while drawing on the prewar literature surrounding the Cobb–Douglas regression, had different emphases, and controversial questions that surrounded Douglas's applications of the regression became irrelevant. The agricultural economists were also the first to estimate the Cobb–Douglas regression using data generated by individual firms, as opposed to the more highly aggregated data used by Douglas and his coauthors, and they embedded it in a probability-based statistical framework. They also developed general models for applying regression analysis to panel data, models that had a profound impact on empirical economic research. All of this contributed to the process through which the Cobb–Douglas regression came to be seen as an empirical tool potentially suited to a broad list of applications.
This chapter describes a process in which a number of long-standing hypotheses about sources of economic growth came to be represented as a series of modifications to Solow’s basic neoclassical production function, which in turn led to attempts to test empirically these hypotheses using production function regressions. Particular attention is given to two empirical research programs that made use of variants of Douglas’s regression procedure: the literature on “embodied technical change” initiated by Robert Solow, and Zvi Griliches’s work measuring the causes of economic growth, both of which emerged in the late 1950s and early 60s. Griliches and Solow proposed empirically tractable ways of testing various hypotheses about causes of economic growth. Their proposals were attractive in part because they made use of an empirical procedure, production function estimation, that involved statistical methods that were coming to be the foundation of graduate training in econometrics, and because they were expressed in terms of the mathematical neoclassical theory that was becoming central to graduate training in economic theory.
The Cobb-Douglas regression, a statistical technique developed to estimate what economists called a 'production function', was introduced in the late 1920s. For several years, only economist Paul Douglas and a few collaborators used the technique, while vigorously defending it against numerous critics. By the 1950s, however, several economists beyond Douglas's circle were using the technique, and by the 1970s, Douglas's regression, and more sophisticated procedures inspired by it, had become standard parts of the empirical economist's toolkit. This volume is the story of the Cobb-Douglas regression from its introduction to its acceptance as general-purpose research tool. The story intersects with the histories of several important empirical research programs in twentieth century economics, and vividly portrays the challenges of empirical economic research during that era. Fundamentally, this work represents a case study of how a controversial, innovative research tool comes to be widely accepted by a community of scholars.
Recommend this
Email your librarian or administrator to recommend adding this to your organisation's collection.