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Epidemiology is about measuring disease or other aspects of health in populations, identifying the causes of ill-health and intervening to improve health, and we come back to these three fundamental components later in the chapter. But what do we mean by ‘health’? Back in 1948, the World Health Organization defined it as ‘… a state of complete physical, mental and social well-being’ (WHO, 1948). In practice, what we usually measure is physical health, and this focus is reflected in the content of most routine reports of health data and in many of the health measures that we will consider here; however, there are now methods to capture the more elusive components of mental and social well-being as well. Importantly, the WHO recognised that it is not longevity per se that we seek, but a long and healthy life. So, instead of simply measuring ‘life expectancy’, WHO introduced the concepts of ‘health-adjusted life expectancy’ (HALE) and subsequently ‘disability-adjusted life years’ (DALYs) to enable better international comparisons of the effectiveness of health systems.
Analytic studies are increasingly important for understanding relationships between diseases and their causes. They usually take the form of observational investigations, but can also include randomized clinical trials. Risk factors are antecedents that are considered to be components of the disease pathway. Appropriate study design and consideration to systematic bias and confounding helps to establish association between the exposure and disease. The purpose for maintaining the principles of causal inference and eliminating chance, bias, and confounding is to establish validity. The most serious concern in analytic studies is maintaining validity. Confounders are extraneous factors that are related to the disease and to a risk factor or exposure related to the disease. The confounder usually predicts disease in the absence of any risk factor. Investigators have to consider cost and efficiency in their design as well as the potential public health impact of any observed association.
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