Interest in weed seed predation as an ecological weed management tactic has
led to a growing number of investigations of agronomic and environmental
effects on predation rates. Whereas the measurements in most of these
studies have taken place at very short timescales, from days to weeks,
measurements at longer timescales (from several months to a year) have
greater relevance to the demographic impact of weed seed predation and
potential contributions from this process to ecological weed management. Our
aim was to quantify the impact of crop phase, within a corn–soybean–wheat
crop sequence, on quarterly and annual seed predation rates of giant
foxtail, giant ragweed, and velvetleaf. The study took place in areas of the
northern U.S. Corn Belt contrasting in dominant land use: Savoy, IL
(2005–2007), where corn and soybean production predominates, and East
Lansing, MI (2005–2008), where crop production occurs within an old
field/forest landscape matrix. Mean annual rates of weed seed predation by
the combined action of invertebrate and vertebrate predators were 31 ± 1.6%
for giant ragweed, 37 ± 1.4% for velvetleaf, and 53 ± 1.4% for giant
foxtail. Crop phase had negligible effects upon long-term seed predation
rates, accounting for less than 2% of observed variation. Weed species and
site-year, in contrast, contributed 35% and 40%, respectively, of the
variation in cumulative annual seed predation. These results are consistent
with the spatial variability in best management practices seen at spatial
scales greater than the county level: weed seed predation appears to be an
inherently site-specific phenomenon. New developments in managing weed seed
predation as an ecosystem service are therefore likely to have local
recommendation domains or to be driven by stochastic annual variation
related to weather or granivore demography.