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1 results

  • 4 - Of Causality and Historical Junctures

  • from Part I - Laying the Groundwork
  • Lucio Picci, University of Bologna
  • Book:
    Rethinking Corruption
    Published online:
    27 February 2024
    Print publication:
    22 February 2024, pp 52-71

  • Summary

    This chapter discusses attempts to estimate the effects and causes of corruption. Results obtained using the linear regression models have suggested a list of determinants, and of effects, of corruption. They also have implicitly promoted a view according to which we read the observed associations between corruption and other factors in causal terms. This chapter proposes a critical assessment of whether the counterfactual of a significantly different level of corruption from the one observed may be legitimate. From this discussion, corruption emerges as a part of a “dense historical matrix,” one where it is difficult to contemplate changes in individual factors while leaving others unmodified.