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1 results

  • 21 - Mosquito-Borne Disease and Human Mobility in Urban Environments

  • from Part IV - Focal Points of Urban Sustainability
  • Edited by Claudia R. Binder, École Polytechnique Fédérale de Lausanne, Romano Wyss, École Polytechnique Fédérale de Lausanne, Emanuele Massaro, École Polytechnique Fédérale de Lausanne
  • Book:
    Sustainability Assessment of Urban Systems
    Published online:
    27 March 2020
    Print publication:
    26 March 2020, pp 489-502

  • Summary

    The epidemiology of mosquito-borne diseases is changing. This is a fact. Diseases that were mostly ‘confined’ to tropical regions are now becoming real threats for temperate countries – for instance, the chikungunya outbreak in Northern Italy in 2007, the chikungunya epidemic in the Americas and the Caribbean beginning in late 2013, the major Zika epidemic in 2015, which also led to local transmission in the US, and the recent surge of yellow fever cases in previously unaffected areas of Brazil. In this chapter, we propose a mathematical framework to emulate the dynamics of the spreading of a mosquito-borne disease in an urban environment. The main innovation of the proposed modelling framework is to improve on the current compartmental epidemiological models by considering not only vector-to-human transmission at fixed favourite cells, but also the probability of transmission along mobility pathways. This modus operandi allow us to improve the understanding of the interplay between human mobility and mosquito-borne disease in urban environments.