In this paper, we consider optimal components grouping in series–parallel and parallel–series systems composed of k subsystems. All components in each subsystem are drawn from a heterogeneous population consisting of m different subpopulations. Firstly, we show that when one allocation vector is majorized by another one, then the series–parallel (parallel–series) system corresponding to the first (second) vector is more reliable than that of the other. Secondly, we study the impact of changes in the number of subsystems on the system reliability. Finally, we study the influence of the selection probabilities of subpopulations on the system reliability.

Burn-in is a method of ‘elimination’ of initial failures (infant mortality). In the conventional burn-in procedures, to burn-in a component or a system means to subject it to a fixed time period of simulated use prior to actual operation. Then those which fail during the burn-in procedure are scrapped and only those which survived the burn-in procedure are considered to be of satisfactory quality. Thus, in this case, the only information used for the elimination procedure is the lifetime of the corresponding item. In this paper we consider a new burn-in procedure which additionally employs a dependent covariate process in the elimination procedure. Through the comparison with the conventional burn-in procedure, we show that the new burn-in procedure is preferable under commonly satisfied conditions. The problem of determining the optimal burn-in parameters is also considered and the properties of the optimal parameters are derived. A numerical example is provided to illustrate the theoretical results obtained in this paper.

In reliability a number of failure processes for repairable items are described by point processes, depending on the types of repairs being performed on failures of items. In this paper we describe the failure processes of repairable items from heterogeneous populations and study the stochastic predictions of future processes which utilize the failure/repair history. Two types of repair processes, perfect and minimal repair processes, will be considered. The results will be derived under a general stochastic formulation/setting. Applications of the obtained results to many different areas will be discussed and, specifically, some reliability applications will be illustrated in detail.

Almost all populations existing in the real world are finite populations. Specifically, in the areas relevant to lifetime modeling and analysis, finite populations are frequently encountered. However, descriptions of failure/survival patterns of elements in the finite population have not yet been properly established. In particular, it is questionable whether the ordinary failure rate can be defined for finite populations in the same way and whether the corresponding interpretations are still valid. In this paper we consider two kinds of finite mixed population and provide new definitions for their failure rates. Then we clarify the notion of failure rate in finite populations.

In this note we revisit the discussion on minimal repair in heterogeneous populations in Finkelstein (2004). We consider the corresponding stochastic intensities (intensity processes) for items in heterogeneous populations given available information on their operational history, i.e. the failure (repair) times and the time since the last failure (repair). Based on the improved definitions, the setup of Finkelstein (2004) is modified and the main results are corrected in accordance with the updating procedure for the conditional frailty distribution.

A controlled heterogeneous collection of identical items is presented. According to their level of wear and tear, they are divided into a finite number of classes and the partition of the collection is allowed to change over time. A suitable exchangeability assumption is made to preserve the property that the items be identical. The role of the occupation numbers is investigated and a filtering problem is set up, where the observation is the cardinality of a particular class. A control on the dynamics of the items is introduced, and the existence of an optimal control is proved. A discrete-time approximation for the separated problem, which is a finite-dimensional one, is performed. As a consequence, an approximation for the value function is given.

We consider a heterogeneous population of identical particles divided into a finite number of classes according to their level of health. The partition can change over time, and a suitable exchangeability assumption is made to allow for having identical items of different types. The partition is not observed; we only observe the cardinality of a particular class. We discuss the problem of finding the conditional distribution of particle lifetimes, given such observations, using stochastic filtering techniques. In particular, a discrete-time approximation is given.

We first study an epidemic amongst a population consisting of individuals with the same infectivity but with varying susceptibilities to the disease. The asymptotic final epidemic size is compared with the corresponding size for a homogeneous population. Then we group a heterogeneous population into households, assuming very high infectivity within households, and investigate how the global infection pressure is affected by rearranging individuals between the households. In both situations considered, it turns out that whether or not homogenizing the individuals or households will result in an increased spread of infection actually depends on the infectiousness of the disease.

This paper describes the early and final properties of a general S–I–R epidemic process in which the infectives behave independently, each infective has a random number of contacts with the others in the population, and individuals vary in their susceptibility to infection. For the case of a large initial number of susceptibles and a small (finite) initial number of infectives, we derive the threshold behavior and the limiting distribution for the final state of the epidemic. Also, we show strong convergence of the epidemic process over any finite time interval to a birth and death process, extending the results of Ball (1983). These complement some results due to Butler (1994), who considers the case of a large initial number of infectives.