This study examines the impact of China's growing
territorial ambitions on Japanese public opinion. By
experimentally manipulating perceived territorial
threats from China, we tested two potential
mechanisms of increased support for a conservative
incumbent leader in Japan. The first is the “rally
’round the flag” model, in which threats universally
boost support for the leader through emotion. The
second is the “reactive liberal” model, in which
support from conservatives remains constant, but
threatened liberals move toward supporting the
conservative leader. Two survey experiments provided
no support for the emotion-based “rally ’round the
flag” model, but they lent support for the reactive
liberal model in explaining the impact on Japanese
public opinion. However, the second experiment
indicated that priming with an image of the prime
minister that highlights his role as the supreme
commander of the national defense forces completely
eliminated the gain in approval rates among
liberals.