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La « transition démographique » comme cadre théorique

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  17 August 2016

Joseph Boute
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Après la seconde guerre mondiale, l'ensemble des démographes s'appuyait, dans un effort de systématisation, sur une classification des stades d'une évolution démographique que l'étude historique des populations occidentales avait dégagée. Ils estimaient pouvoir retrouver les caractéristiques de cette évolution dans tous les pays et surtout espéraient pouvoir s'en aider pour les projections démographiques des pays qui approchaient de leur indépendance politique et dont l'état de développement général appelait de rapides progrès. Peu à peu, cependant, la confiance trop entière qu'on avait accordée à ces vues s'est effritée pour faire place à des réserves de portée variée; ces dernières, sans compromettre l'utilité fondamentale de la systématisation acquise, soulignèrent la nécessité d'introduire de multiples nuances dans les généralisations proposées.

Type
Research Article
Information
Recherches Économiques de Louvain/ Louvain Economic Review , Volume 31 , Issue 8 , December 1965 , pp. 695 - 709
Copyright
Copyright © Université catholique de Louvain, Institut de recherches économiques et sociales 1965 

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References

BIBLIOGRAPHIE

Coale, , Ansley, J. et Hoover, , Edgar, M. (1958), Population Growth and Economie Development in Low-Income Countries—A Case Study of India’s Prospects. Princeton University Press, 389 p.Google Scholar
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El-Badry, M.A., (1956), Some Aspects of Fertility in Egypt, dans: Milbank Memorial Fund Quarterly, 34–1, janv. 1956, pp. 22–43.Google Scholar
Florence, , Sargant, P. (1964), A note on Recent Age-Pyramids in Underdeveloped Countries, dans: The Eugenics Review, Londres, 56(3), oct. 1965, pp. 143–145.Google Scholar
Freedman, Ronald (1962), The Sociology of Human Fertility: a trend report and bibliography, dans: La sociologie contemporaine, X/11–2, 1961–1962, Oxford, Basil Blackwell, 119 p.Google Scholar
Freedman, Ronald édit., (1963), Population: the Vital Revolution, Chicago, Aldine Publishing Co., 274 p.; Anchor Books, Doubleday & Co., Inc., Garden City, New-York, 1964, 267 p.Google Scholar
Hatt, P.K., Farr, N.L., et Weinstein, E., (1955), Types of Population Balance, dans: American Sociological Review, 20(1), févr. 1955, pp. 14–21.Google Scholar
Hauser, Philip, Morris, et Duncan, , Otis, , Dudley, , édit., (1959), The Study of Population—An Inventory and Appraisal, The University of Chicago Press, 1959, 864 p.Google Scholar
Leasure, William, (1963), Factors involved in the Decline of Fertility in Spain 1900–1950, dans: Population Studies, 16–3, mars 1963, pp. 271–285.Google Scholar
Moore, , Wilbert, E. (1959), Sociology and Demography, dans: Hauser, et Duncan, , édit., pp. 832–851.Google Scholar
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Robinson, , Warren, C. (1963), Urbanization and Fertility: The Non-Western Experience, dans Milbank Memorial Fund Quarterly, 41(1), juillet 1963, pp. 291–308.Google Scholar
Romaniuk, Anatole (1959), Évolution et perspectives démographiques de la population du Congo, dans Zaire, 13, 6, pp. 563–626.Google Scholar
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Taeuber, Irene (1954), Demographic Transition in Japan: Omens for the Future of Asian Populations, dans: Interrelations of Demographic, Economic and Social Problems in Selected Underdeveloped Areas, New-York, Milbank Memorial Fund, 1954, pp. 9–31.Google Scholar
Taeuber, Irene (1958), The Population of Japan, Princeton University Press.Google Scholar
Taeuber, Irene (1960), Japan’s Demographic Transition Re-examined, dans: Population Studies, 14(1), juillet 1960, pp. 28–39.Google Scholar
Thompson, , Warren, S. (1929), Population, dans: American Journal of Sociology, 34(6), mai 1929, pp. 959–975.Google Scholar
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Vance, , Rupert, B. (1952.a), The Demographic Gap: Dilemma of Modernization Programs, dans: Approaches to Problems of High Fertility in Agrarian Societies, New York, Milbank Memorial Fund, 1952, pp. 9–17.Google Scholar
Vance, , Rupert, B. (1952.b), Is Theory for Demographers, dans: Social Forces, 31(1), octobre 1952, pp. 9–18; repris dans : Spengler, et Duncan, , édit., 1956, I, pp. 88–94.Google Scholar
Van Nort, Leighton and Karon, B.P. (1955), Demographic Transition Re-examined, dans: American Sociological Review, 20(5), oct. 1955, pp. 523–527.Google Scholar
Van Nort, Leighton (1956.a), A Reply to Weinstein, dans: American Sociological Review, 21(3), juin 1956, pp. 371–373.Google Scholar
Van Nort, Leighton (1956.b) Biology, Rationality and Fertility: A Footnote to Transition Theory, dans: Eugenics Quarterly, 3(3), sept. 1956, pp. 157–160.Google Scholar
Van Nort, Leighton (1960), On values in Population Theory, dans: Milbank Memorial Fund Quarterly, 38(4), oct. 1960, pp. 387–395.Google Scholar
Weinstein, E. (1956), Comment on “Demographic Transition Re-examined”, dans : American Sociological Review, 21(3), juin 1956, pp. 369–371.Google Scholar
Coale, , Ansley, J. et Hoover, , Edgar, M. (1958), Population Growth and Economie Development in Low-Income Countries—A Case Study of India’s Prospects. Princeton University Press, 389 p.Google Scholar
Cowgill, , Donald, O. (1949), The Theory of Population Growth Cycles, dans: The American Journal of Sociology, sept. 1949, pp. 163–170; repris dans : Spengler, et Duncan, , édit., 1956,1, pp. 125–134.Google Scholar
Davis, Kingsley, (1954), Fertility Control and the Demographic Transition in India, dans: The Interrelations of Demographic, Economic and Social Problems in Selected Underdeveloped Areas, New-York, Milbank Memorial Fund, 1954, pp. 66–89.Google Scholar
El-Badry, M.A., (1956), Some Aspects of Fertility in Egypt, dans: Milbank Memorial Fund Quarterly, 34–1, janv. 1956, pp. 22–43.Google Scholar
Florence, , Sargant, P. (1964), A note on Recent Age-Pyramids in Underdeveloped Countries, dans: The Eugenics Review, Londres, 56(3), oct. 1965, pp. 143–145.Google Scholar
Freedman, Ronald (1962), The Sociology of Human Fertility: a trend report and bibliography, dans: La sociologie contemporaine, X/11–2, 1961–1962, Oxford, Basil Blackwell, 119 p.Google Scholar
Freedman, Ronald édit., (1963), Population: the Vital Revolution, Chicago, Aldine Publishing Co., 274 p.; Anchor Books, Doubleday & Co., Inc., Garden City, New-York, 1964, 267 p.Google Scholar
Hatt, P.K., Farr, N.L., et Weinstein, E., (1955), Types of Population Balance, dans: American Sociological Review, 20(1), févr. 1955, pp. 14–21.Google Scholar
Hauser, Philip, Morris, et Duncan, , Otis, , Dudley, , édit., (1959), The Study of Population—An Inventory and Appraisal, The University of Chicago Press, 1959, 864 p.Google Scholar
Leasure, William, (1963), Factors involved in the Decline of Fertility in Spain 1900–1950, dans: Population Studies, 16–3, mars 1963, pp. 271–285.Google Scholar
Moore, , Wilbert, E. (1959), Sociology and Demography, dans: Hauser, et Duncan, , édit., pp. 832–851.Google Scholar
Notestein, , Frank, W. (1944), Problems of Policy in Relation to Areas of Heavy Population Pressure, dans: Demographic Studies of Selected Areas of Rapid Growth, New-York, Milbank Memorial Fund, 1944.Google Scholar
Notestern, , Frank, W. (1945), Population—The Long View, dans: Schultz, , Theodore, W., édit., Food for the World, University of Chicago Press, 1945, pp. 36–57.Google Scholar
Notestein, , Frank, W. (1950.a), The Reduction of Human Fertility as an Aid to Programs of Economic Development in Densely Settled Agrarian Regions, dans, Modernization Programs in Relation to Human Resources and Population Problems, New York, Milbank Memorial Fund, 1950.Google Scholar
Notestein, , Frank, W. (1950.b), The Population of the World in the Year 2000, dans: Journal of the American Statistical Association, 45, sept. 1950, pp. 335–345; repris dans : Spengler, & Duncan, , édit., 1956, II, pp. 34–43.Google Scholar
Notestein, , Frank, W. (1953), The Economics of Population and Food Supplies, dans: Proceedings of the Eight International Conference of Agricultural Economists, Michigan State College, 1952, Oxford University Press, pp. 15–31.Google Scholar
Pearl, Raymond (1925), The Biology of Population Growth, New-York, Alfred Knopf, 14+260 p.Google Scholar
Robinson, , Warren, C. (1963), Urbanization and Fertility: The Non-Western Experience, dans Milbank Memorial Fund Quarterly, 41(1), juillet 1963, pp. 291–308.Google Scholar
Romaniuk, Anatole (1959), Évolution et perspectives démographiques de la population du Congo, dans Zaire, 13, 6, pp. 563–626.Google Scholar
Ryder, , Norman, B. (1956), Problems of Trend Determination during a Transition in Fertility, dans: Milbank Memorial Fund Quarterly, 34(l),janv. 1956, pp. 5–21.Google Scholar
Ryder, , Norman, B. (1965), Fertility in Developed Countries during the Twentieth Century, Nations Unies, Congrès mondial de la population, Belgrade (Yougoslavie) 30 avril-10 sept. 1965.Google Scholar
Sauvy, Alfred (1963), Malthus et les deux Marx, Paris, Denoël, 351 p.Google Scholar
Spengler, , Joseph, J. et Duncan, , Otis, , Dudley, , édit. (1956), I — Population Theory and Policy—Selected Readings, II — Demographic Analysis—Selected Readings. The Free Press, Glencoe, Illinois.Google Scholar
Stolnitz, , George, J. (1963), The Demographic Transition : From High to Low Birth Rates and Death Rates, dans: Freedman, , édit., 1963, pp. 30–46.Google Scholar
Taeuber, Irene (1954), Demographic Transition in Japan: Omens for the Future of Asian Populations, dans: Interrelations of Demographic, Economic and Social Problems in Selected Underdeveloped Areas, New-York, Milbank Memorial Fund, 1954, pp. 9–31.Google Scholar
Taeuber, Irene (1958), The Population of Japan, Princeton University Press.Google Scholar
Taeuber, Irene (1960), Japan’s Demographic Transition Re-examined, dans: Population Studies, 14(1), juillet 1960, pp. 28–39.Google Scholar
Thompson, , Warren, S. (1929), Population, dans: American Journal of Sociology, 34(6), mai 1929, pp. 959–975.Google Scholar
Thompson, ,Warren, S. (1948), Plenty of People: The World’s Population Pressure, Problems and Policies, and how they concern us, New-York, Ronald Press Co.Google Scholar
Vance, , Rupert, B. (1952.a), The Demographic Gap: Dilemma of Modernization Programs, dans: Approaches to Problems of High Fertility in Agrarian Societies, New York, Milbank Memorial Fund, 1952, pp. 9–17.Google Scholar
Vance, , Rupert, B. (1952.b), Is Theory for Demographers, dans: Social Forces, 31(1), octobre 1952, pp. 9–18; repris dans : Spengler, et Duncan, , édit., 1956, I, pp. 88–94.Google Scholar
Van Nort, Leighton and Karon, B.P. (1955), Demographic Transition Re-examined, dans: American Sociological Review, 20(5), oct. 1955, pp. 523–527.Google Scholar
Van Nort, Leighton (1956.a), A Reply to Weinstein, dans: American Sociological Review, 21(3), juin 1956, pp. 371–373.Google Scholar
Van Nort, Leighton (1956.b) Biology, Rationality and Fertility: A Footnote to Transition Theory, dans: Eugenics Quarterly, 3(3), sept. 1956, pp. 157–160.Google Scholar
Van Nort, Leighton (1960), On values in Population Theory, dans: Milbank Memorial Fund Quarterly, 38(4), oct. 1960, pp. 387–395.Google Scholar
Weinstein, E. (1956), Comment on “Demographic Transition Re-examined”, dans : American Sociological Review, 21(3), juin 1956, pp. 369–371.Google Scholar