In this paper, we consider the convergence rate with respect to Wasserstein distance in the invariance principle for deterministic non-uniformly hyperbolic systems. Our results apply to uniformly hyperbolic systems and large classes of non-uniformly hyperbolic systems including intermittent maps, Viana maps, unimodal maps and others. Furthermore, as a non-trivial application to the homogenization problem, we investigate the Wasserstein convergence rate of a fast–slow discrete deterministic system to a stochastic differential equation.

We explore new connections between the dynamics of conservative partially hyperbolic systems and the geometric measure-theoretic properties of their invariant foliations. Our methods are applied to two main classes of volume-preserving diffeomorphisms: fibered partially hyperbolic diffeomorphisms and center-fixing partially hyperbolic systems. When the center is one-dimensional, assuming the diffeomorphism is accessible, we prove that the disintegration of the volume measure along the center foliation is either atomic or Lebesgue. Moreover, the latter case is rigid in dimension three (this does not require accessibility): the center foliation is actually smooth and the diffeomorphism is smoothly conjugate to an explicit rigid model. A partial extension to fibered partially hyperbolic systems with compact fibers of any dimension is also obtained. A common feature of these classes of diffeomorphisms is that the center leaves either are compact or can be made compact by taking an appropriate dynamically defined quotient. For volume-preserving partially hyperbolic diffeomorphisms whose center foliation is absolutely continuous, if the generic center leaf is a circle, then every center leaf is compact.

We establish an invariance principle and a large deviation principle for a biased random walk ${\text{RW}}_\lambda$ with $\lambda\in [0,1)$ on $\mathbb{Z}^d$ . The scaling limit in the invariance principle is not a d-dimensional Brownian motion. For the large deviation principle, its rate function is different from that of a drifted random walk, as may be expected, though the reflected biased random walk evolves like the drifted random walk in the interior of the first quadrant and almost surely visits coordinate planes finitely many times.

In this paper we prove a quenched functional central limit theorem for a biased random walk on a supercritical Galton–Watson tree with leaves. This extends a result of Peres and Zeitouni (2008) where the case without leaves was considered. A conjecture of Ben Arous and Fribergh (2016) suggests an upper bound on the bias which we observe to be sharp.

A projective moving average {Xt, t ∈ ℤ} is a Bernoulli shift written as a backward martingale transform of the innovation sequence. We introduce a new class of nonlinear stochastic equations for projective moving averages, termed projective equations, involving a (nonlinear) kernel Q and a linear combination of projections of Xt on ‘intermediate’ lagged innovation subspaces with given coefficients αi and βi,j. The class of such equations includes usual moving average processes and the Volterra series of the LARCH model. Solvability of projective equations is obtained using a recursive equality for projections of the solution Xt. We show that, under certain conditions on Q, αi, and βi,j, this solution exhibits covariance and distributional long memory, with fractional Brownian motion as the limit of the corresponding partial sums process.

In this paper we develop an asymptotic theory of aggregated linear processes, and determine in particular the limit distribution of a large class of linear and nonlinear functionals of such processes. Given a sample {Y1(N),…,Yn(N)} of the normalized N-fold aggregated process, we describe the limiting behavior of statistics TN,n= TN,n(Y1(N),…, Yn(N)) in both of the cases n/N(n) → 0 and N(n)/n → 0, assuming either a ‘limiting long- or short-memory’ condition on the underlying linear process.

We consider the problem of finding an optimal betting strategy for a house-banked casino card game that is played for several coups before reshuffling. The sampling without replacement makes it possible to take advantage of the changes in the expected value as the deck is depleted, making large bets when the game is advantageous. Using such a strategy, which is easy to implement, is known as card counting. We consider the case of a large number of decks, making an approximation to continuous time possible. A limit law of the return process is found and the optimal card counting strategy is derived. This continuous-time strategy is shown to be a natural analog of the discrete-time strategy where the so-called effects of removal are replaced by the infinitesimal generator of the card process.

We establish heavy-traffic limits for nearly deterministic queues, such as the G/D/n many-server queue. Since waiting times before starting service in the G/D/n queue are equivalent to waiting times in an associated Gn /D/1 model, where the Gn interarrival times are the sum of n consecutive interarrival times in the original model, we focus on the Gn /D/1 model and the generalization to Gn /Gn /1, where ‘cyclic thinning’ is applied to both the arrival and service processes. We establish different limits in two cases: (i) when (1 − ρn )√n → β as n → ∞ and (ii) when (1 − ρn )n → β as n → ∞, where ρn is the traffic intensity in model n. The nearly deterministic feature leads to interesting nonstandard scaling.

We prove an almost sure functional limit theorem for the product of partial sums of i.i.d. positive random variables with finite second moment.

In this paper, a fourth moment bound for partial sums of functionals of strongly ergodic Markov chains is established. This type of inequality plays an important role in the study of the empirical process invariance principle. This inequality is specially adapted to the technique of Dehling, Durieu, and Volný (2008). The same moment bound can be proved for dynamical systems whose transfer operator has some spectral properties. Examples of applications are given.

The Brownian density process is a Gaussian distribution-valued process. It can be defined either as a limit of a functional over a Poisson system of independent Brownian particles or as a solution of a stochastic partial differential equation with respect to Gaussian martingale measure. We show that, with an appropriate change in the initial distribution of the infinite particle system, the limiting density process is non-Gaussian and it solves a stochastic partial differential equation where the initial measure and the driving measure are non-Gaussian, possibly having infinite second moment.

In this paper it will be shown that by an appropriate choice of σ-fields, martingale methods can be used to obtain simple proofs of many of the central limit theorems known for triangular arrays of exchangeable random variables.

Let ·be a sequence of k -dimensional i.i.d. random vectors and define the first-passage times for where (cvτ)v, τ= 1,· ··,k is the covariance matrix of In this paper the weak convergence of Zn in (D[0, ∞))k is proved under the assumption (0,∞) for all v = 1, ···, k. We deduce the result from the Donsker invariance principle by means of Theorem 5.5 of Billingsley (1968). This method is also used to derive a limit theorem for the first-exit time Mn = min{Nnt for fixed t1,···, tk > 0. The second result is an extension of a theorem of Hunter (1974) whose method of proof applies only if Ρ (ξ1 [0,∞)k) = 1 and μ ν = tv for all v = 1, ···, k.

A functional central limit theorem extending the central limit theorem of Chung (1954) for the Robbins–Munro procedure is proved. It is shown that the asymptotic normality is preserved under certain random stopping rules.

In the last ten years the theory of weak convergence of probability measures has been used extensively in studying the models of applied probability. By far the greatest consumer of weak convergence has been the area of queueing theory. This survey paper represents an attempt to summarize the experience in queueing theory with the hope that it will prove helpful in other areas of applied probability. The paper is organized into the following sections: queues in light traffic, queues in heavy traffic, queues with a large number of servers, continuity of queues, rates of convergence, and special queueing models.

The Skorokhod representation for martingales is used to obtain a functional central limit theorem (or invariance principle) for martingales. It is clear from the method of proof that this result may in fact be extended to the case of triangular arrays in which each row is a martingale sequence and the second main result is a functional central limit theorem for such arrays. These results are then used to obtain two functional central limit theorems for processes with stationary ergodic increments following on from the work of Gordin. The first of these theorems extends a result of Billingsley for Φ-mixing sequences.