We consider an (R, Q) inventory model with two types of orders, normal orders and emergency orders, which are issued at different inventory levels. These orders are delivered after exponentially distributed lead times. In between deliveries, the inventory level decreases in a state-dependent way, according to a release rate function $\alpha({\cdot})$ . This function represents the fluid demand rate; it could be controlled by a system manager via price adaptations. We determine the mean number of downcrossings $\theta(x)$ of any level x in one regenerative cycle, and use it to obtain the steady-state density f (x) of the inventory level. We also derive the rates of occurrence of normal deliveries and of emergency deliveries, and the steady-state probability of having zero inventory.

We generalise the work of Cramér and Leadbetter, Ylvisaker and Ito on the level crossings of a stationary Gaussian process to multivariate processes. Necessary and sufficient conditions for the existence of the expected number of crossings E(C) of the boundary of a region of ℝp by a stationary vector stochastic process are obtained, along with an explicit formula for E(C) in the Gaussian case. A rigorous proof of Belyaev's integral formula for the factorial moments of the number of exits from a region of ℝp is given for a class of processes which includes Gaussian processes having a finite second order spectral moment matrix. Applications to χ2 processes are briefly considered.

The expected number of upcrossings for a max-stable process is computed and compared with known results for stable processes. Asymptotically the formulas are of the same order.

Exceedances of a non-stationary sequence above a boundary define certain point processes, which converge in distribution under mild mixing conditions to Poisson processes. We investigate necessary and sufficient conditions for the convergence of the point process of exceedances, the point process of upcrossings and the point process of clusters of exceedances. Smooth regularity conditions, as smooth oscillation of the non-stationary sequence, imply that these point processes converge to the same Poisson process. Since exceedances are asymptotically rare, the results are extended to triangular arrays of rare events.

We study the sample path properties of χ2 random surfaces, in particular in the neighbourhood of their extrema. We show that, as is the case for their Gaussian counterparts, χ2 surfaces at high levels follow the form of certain deterministic paraboloids, but that, unlike their Gaussian counterparts, at low levels their form is much more random. This has a number of interesting implications in the modelling of rough surfaces and the study of the ‘robustness' of Gaussian field models. The general approach of the paper is the study of extrema via the ‘Slepian model process', which, for χ2 fields, is tractable only at asymptotically high or low levels.

This paper derives the stationary probability distribution of inventory level for continuous-review models, by means of the system-point method of level-crossing analysis. We analyze inventory problems with decaying products under (nQ, r) and (s, S) ordering policies and zero lead-time, and derive the relevant cost functions. Our results have implications for the case of positive lead-time and to a non-decaying inventory problem with two types of demand processes.

We consider an inventory system to which arrival of items stored is a renewal process, and the demand is a Poisson process. Items stored have finite and fixed lifetimes. The blood-bank model inspired this study. Three models are studied. In the first one, we assume that each demand is for one unit and unsatisfied demands leave the system immediately. Using results on this model one is able to study a model in which arrival of items is Poisson but demands are for several units, and a model in which demands are willing to wait. We compute ergodic limits for the lost demands and the lost items processes and the limiting distribution of the number of items stored. The main tool in this analysis is an analogy to M/G/1 queueing systems with impatient customers.

Level crossings in a stationary dam process with additive input and arbitrary release are considered and an explicit expression for the expected number of downcrossings (and also overcrossings) of a fixed level, per time unit, is obtained. This leads to a short derivation of a basic relation which the stationary distribution of a general dam must satisfy.

The new concept of embedded level crossings is combined with the old principle of stationary set balance to produce an alternative approach for obtaining the steady-state distribution of the level in a dam with general release rule. The method yields the steady state distribution of the customer waiting time in the GI/G/1 queue as a special case. Results for a dam in which the instantaneous release rate is proportional to the level, and for the M/G/1, GI/M/1, Ek/M/1 and D/M/1 queues are derived using the new technique.

A level crossing predictor is a predictor process Y(t) which can be used to predict whether a specific process X(t) will cross a predetermined level or not. A natural criterion of how good a predictor is can be the probability that a crossing is detected a sufficient time ahead, and the number of times the predictor makes a false alarm.

Suppose the process X(t) consists of a deterministic part A(t) which can be calculated with sufficient accuracy, and a stochastic part Xe(t) which can be predicted by some statistically based predictor An example of this is the prediction of water level near a coast, when A(t) is a sum of known tide components.

The paper develops a tool to handle the detection properties of such predictor processes when used to predict level crossings for the case when A(t) is periodic or is a sum of such functions.

Linear and non-linear secondary Poisson process models are developed for the level of carboxyhemoglobin in cigarette smoking. The moments of the time of first exit above a critical threshold are expanded as power series in the initial state of the process. Recurrence relations for the coefficients in the moment series are solved numerically. An explicit formula involving Poisson probability functions is obtained for the mean exit time of shot noise.

The aim of the current paper is twofold. Primarily we wish to extend some of our earlier results on excursions of random fields and introduce a more powerful technique for obtaining the mean value of a certain characteristic of these excursions. Since these results can also be used to tie together the scattered results of previous authors we also include a full review of earlier work in this field.