This chapter analyzes linear and nonlinear discrete-time systems described by a discrete-time state-space model whose inputs are uncertain but known to belong to an ellipsoid. For the linear case, even if the input set is an ellipsoid, the set containing all possible values that the state can take is not an ellipsoid in general, but it can be upper bounded by an ellipsoid. We develop techniques for recursively computing a family of such upper-bounding ellipsoids. Within this family, we then show how to choose ellipsoids that are optimal in some sense, e.g., they have minimum volume. For the nonlinear case, we will again resort to linearization techniques to approximately characterize the set containing all possible values that the state can take. The application of the techniques presented is illustrated using the same inertia-less AC microgrid model used in Chapter 5.

This chapter provides techniques for analyzing discrete-time dynamical systems under probabilistic input uncertainty. Here, the relation between the input and the state is described by a discrete-time state-space model. The input vector is modeled as a vector-valued stochastic process with known first and second moments (or known pdf). The first part of the chapter is devoted to the analysis of linear systems and provides techniques for characterizing the first and second moments and the pdf of the state vector. The second part deals with the analysis of nonlinear systems, where we use the techniques developed in Chapter 4 to exactly characterize the distribution of the state vector when the pdf of the input vector is given. In addition, we rely on linearization techniques to obtain expressions that approximately characterize the first and second moments and the pdf of the state vector. The third part of the chapter illustrates the application of the techniques developed to the analysis of inertia-less AC microgrids under random active power injections.