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We obtain an asymptotic formula for the persistence probability in the positive real line of a random polynomial arising from evolutionary game theory. It corresponds to the probability that a multi-player two-strategy random evolutionary game has no internal equilibria. The key ingredient is to approximate the sequence of random polynomials indexed by their degrees by an appropriate centered stationary Gaussian process.
Let $X$ be a smooth complex projective manifold of dimension $n$ equipped with an ample line bundle $L$ and a rank $k$ holomorphic vector bundle $E$. We assume that $1\leqslant k\leqslant n$, that $X$, $E$ and $L$ are defined over the reals and denote by $\mathbb{R}X$ the real locus of $X$. Then, we estimate from above and below the expected Betti numbers of the vanishing loci in $\mathbb{R}X$ of holomorphic real sections of $E\otimes L^{d}$, where $d$ is a large enough integer. Moreover, given any closed connected codimension $k$ submanifold ${\it\Sigma}$ of $\mathbb{R}^{n}$ with trivial normal bundle, we prove that a real section of $E\otimes L^{d}$ has a positive probability, independent of $d$, of containing around $\sqrt{d}^{n}$ connected components diffeomorphic to ${\it\Sigma}$ in its vanishing locus.
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