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Vaccination is crucial to fighting the coronavirus disease (COVID-19) pandemic. A large body of literature investigates the effect of the initiation of the COVID-19 vaccination in case numbers in Turkey, including the resistance and willingness to taking the vaccine. The effect of early relaxation in the Turkish public with the initiation of vaccination on new daily cases is unknown.
Methods:
This study performs an event study analysis to explore the pre-relaxation effect of vaccination on the Turkish public by using daily data of new cases, stringency index, and residential mobility. Two events are comparatively defined as the vaccination of the health personnel (Event 1) and the citizens age 65 and over (Event 2). The initial dates of these events are January 13 and February 12, 2021, respectively. The length of the estimation window is determined as 14 days for the 2 events. To represent only the early stages of the vaccination, the study period ends on April 12, 2021. Thus, whereas the event window of Event 1 includes 90 observations, Event 2 covers 60 observations.
Results:
While average values of residential mobility, stringency index, and daily numbers of cases are 15.36, 71.03, and 11 978.93 in the estimation window for Event 1, these averages are 8.89, 70.88, and 17 303.20 in the event window. For Event 2, the same average values are 9.14, 69.38, and 7 664.93 in the estimation window and 8.25, 71.12, and 22 319.10 in the event window. When 14-day abnormal growth rates of the daily number of cases for Event 1 and Event 2 are compared, it is observed that Event 1 has negative growth rates initially and reaches a 7.59% growth at most. On the other hand, Event 2 starts with a 1.11% growth rate, and having a steady increase, it reaches a 23.70% growth in the last 14 days of the study period.
Conclusion:
The preliminary result shows that, despite taking more strict governmental measures, while residential mobility decreases, the daily number of COVID-19 cases increases in the early stages of vaccination compared to short pre-periods of it. This indicates that the initiation of vaccination leads to early behavioral relaxation in public. Moreover, the effect of Event 2 on the case numbers is more significant and immediate, compared to that of Event 1, which may be linked to the characteristic of the Turkish culture being more sensitive to the older adult population.
Clozapine is licensed for treatment-resistant psychosis and remains underutilised. This may berelated to the stringent haematological monitoring requirements that are mandatory in most countries. We aimed to compare guidelines internationally and develop a novel Stringency Index. We hypothesised that the most stringent countries would have increased healthcare costs and reduced prescription rates.
Method
We conducted a literature review and survey of guidelines internationally. Guideline identification involved a literature review and consultation with clinical academics. We focused on the haematological monitoring parameters, frequency and thresholds for discontinuation and rechallenge after suspected clozapine-induced neutropenia. In addition, indicators reflecting monitoring guideline stringency were scored and visualised using a choropleth map. We developed a Stringency Index with an international panel of clozapine experts, through a modified-Delphi-survey. The Stringency Index was compared to health expenditure per-capita and clozapine prescription per 100 000 persons.
Results
One hundred twocountries were included, from Europe (n = 35), Asia (n = 24), Africa (n = 20), South America (n = 11), North America (n = 7) and Oceania and Australia (n = 5). Guidelines differed in frequency of haematological monitoring and discontinuation thresholds. Overall, 5% of included countries had explicit guidelines for clozapine-rechallenge and 40% explicitly prohibited clozapine-rechallenge. Furthermore, 7% of included countries had modified discontinuation thresholds for benign ethnic neutropenia. None of the guidelines specified how long haematological monitoring should continue. The most stringent guidelines were in Europe, and the least stringent were in Africa and South America. There was a positive association (r = 0.43, p < 0.001) between a country's Stringency Index and healthcare expenditure per capita.
Conclusions
Recommendations on how haematological function should be monitored in patients treated with clozapine vary considerably between countries. It would be useful to standardise guidelines on haematological monitoring worldwide.
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