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Studying the use of base rates: Normal science or shifting paradigm?

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  04 February 2010

Joachim Krueger
Joachim Krueger
Affiliation:
Walter S. Hunter Laboratory of Psychology, Brown University, Providence, RI 02912. joachim-krueger@brown.edu
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Abstract

The underutilization of base rates is a consistent finding. The strong claim that base rates are ignored has been rejected and this needs no further emphasis. Following the path of “normal science,” research examines the conditions predicting changes in the degree of underutilization. A scientific revolution that might dethrone the heuristics and biases paradigm is not in sight.

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Open Peer Commentary
Information
Behavioral and Brain Sciences , Volume 19 , Issue 1 , March 1996 , pp. 30
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Copyright © Cambridge University Press 1996

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