Book contents
- Validation of Risk Management Models for Financial Institutions
- Validation of Risk Management Models for Financial Institutions
- Copyright page
- Contents
- Figures
- Tables
- Contributors
- Foreword
- Acknowledgments
- 1 Common Elements in Validation of Risk Models Used in Financial Institutions
- 2 Validating Bank Holding Companies’ Value-at-Risk Models for Market Risk
- 3 A Conditional Testing Approach for Value-at-Risk Model Performance Evaluation
- 4 Beyond Exceedance-Based Backtesting of Value-at-Risk Models: Methods for Backtesting the Entire Forecasting Distribution Using Probability Integral Transform
- 5 Evaluation of Value-at-Risk Models: An Empirical Likelihood Approach
- 6 Evaluating Banks’ Value-at-Risk Models during the COVID-19 Crisis
- 7 Performance Monitoring for Supervisory Stress-Testing Models
- 8 Counterparty Credit Risk
- 9 Validation of Retail Credit Risk Models
- 10 Issues in the Validation of Wholesale Credit Risk Models
- 11 Case Studies in Wholesale Risk Model Validation
- 12 Validation of Models Used by Banks to Estimate Their Allowance for Loan and Lease Losses
- 13 Operational Risk
- 14 Statistical Decisioning Tools for Model Risk Management
- 15 Validation of Risk Aggregation in Economic Capital Models
- 16 Model Validation of Interest Rate Risk (Banking Book) Models
- 17 Validation of Risk Management Models in Investment Management
- Index
- References
7 - Performance Monitoring for Supervisory Stress-Testing Models
Published online by Cambridge University Press: 02 March 2023
- Validation of Risk Management Models for Financial Institutions
- Validation of Risk Management Models for Financial Institutions
- Copyright page
- Contents
- Figures
- Tables
- Contributors
- Foreword
- Acknowledgments
- 1 Common Elements in Validation of Risk Models Used in Financial Institutions
- 2 Validating Bank Holding Companies’ Value-at-Risk Models for Market Risk
- 3 A Conditional Testing Approach for Value-at-Risk Model Performance Evaluation
- 4 Beyond Exceedance-Based Backtesting of Value-at-Risk Models: Methods for Backtesting the Entire Forecasting Distribution Using Probability Integral Transform
- 5 Evaluation of Value-at-Risk Models: An Empirical Likelihood Approach
- 6 Evaluating Banks’ Value-at-Risk Models during the COVID-19 Crisis
- 7 Performance Monitoring for Supervisory Stress-Testing Models
- 8 Counterparty Credit Risk
- 9 Validation of Retail Credit Risk Models
- 10 Issues in the Validation of Wholesale Credit Risk Models
- 11 Case Studies in Wholesale Risk Model Validation
- 12 Validation of Models Used by Banks to Estimate Their Allowance for Loan and Lease Losses
- 13 Operational Risk
- 14 Statistical Decisioning Tools for Model Risk Management
- 15 Validation of Risk Aggregation in Economic Capital Models
- 16 Model Validation of Interest Rate Risk (Banking Book) Models
- 17 Validation of Risk Management Models in Investment Management
- Index
- References
Summary
Stress-testing models pose a unique set of challenges with respect to performance monitoring. In particular, unlike standard forecasting models that generate unconditional forecasts, stress-testing models generate conditional forecasts based on stress scenarios that are unlikely to occur. This critical difference greatly limits one’s ability to assess model projections with observed outcomes. We provide several different methods for this purpose
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- Validation of Risk Management Models for Financial InstitutionsTheory and Practice, pp. 124 - 155Publisher: Cambridge University PressPrint publication year: 2023