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Conditioning an additive functional of a Markov chain to stay nonnegative. II. Hitting a high level

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  01 July 2016

Saul D. Jacka*
Affiliation:
University of Warwick
Zorana Lazic*
Affiliation:
University of Warwick
Jon Warren*
Affiliation:
University of Warwick
*
Postal address: Department of Statistics, University of Warwick, Coventry CV4 7AL, UK.
Postal address: Department of Statistics, University of Warwick, Coventry CV4 7AL, UK.
Postal address: Department of Statistics, University of Warwick, Coventry CV4 7AL, UK.
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Abstract

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Let (Xt)t≥0 be a continuous-time irreducible Markov chain on a finite state space E, let v: E→ℝ\{0}, and let (φt)t≥0 be defined by φt=∫0tv(Xs)d s. We consider the case in which the process (φt)t≥0 is oscillating and that in which (φt)t≥0 has a negative drift. In each of these cases, we condition the process (Xtt)t≥0 on the event that (φt)t≥0 hits level y before hitting 0 and prove weak convergence of the conditioned process as y→∞. In addition, we show the relationship between the conditioning of the process (φt)t≥0 with a negative drift to oscillate and the conditioning of it to stay nonnegative for a long time, and the relationship between the conditioning of (φt)t≥0 with a negative drift to drift to ∞ and the conditioning of it to hit large levels before hitting 0.

Type
General Applied Probability
Copyright
Copyright © Applied Probability Trust 2005 

References

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