Published online by Cambridge University Press: 04 July 2016
In the following paper I shall discuss briefly the past history of aerospace cost prediction for budgetary purposes within government, the position which it has now reached and some of the problems which lie ahead. Some of the paper will be philosophical, but I make no apology for that. It is all too easy to become involved in detailed discussions of statistics, operating procedures and the like and to lose sight of the objectives of cost predictions and the major uncertainties surrounding all attempts to forecast the future.