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Providence, Predestination and Progress: or, did the Enlightenment Fail?
Published online by Cambridge University Press: 11 July 2014
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Early in 2002, the earth experienced a near-miss: an asteroid passed within a whisker (in astronomical terms) of the planet. Had it struck, it would have done so with a force six hundred times greater than the bomb dropped on Hiroshima. No observer saw it coming, and it was tracked only after it had passed; yet this event produced little surprise. We already knew that the secure foundations of modernism had moved beneath our feet: the idea of continental drift; then pollution; then global climate change; then epidemic disease, AIDS; now the realization that life on this planet is regularly challenged, and at longer periods catastrophically transformed, by the impact of extraterrestrial objects. Asteroids are rational in the sense that they obey mechanical laws well understood since Newton; yet their intrusion into our world says nothing of human or divine reason, and seems to re-assert the old doctrine: chance rules all.
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References
1 This essay began as an address to a conference entitled “Ordering the World in the Eighteenth Century” held by the British Society for Eighteenth Century Studies in September 2002; for comments I am grateful to the audience, and to David Bergeron, Richard Eversole, Richard Hardin, and John Walsh.
2 It is taken as axiomatic in this article that “the Enlightenment” is a polemical term devised in the nineteenth century to place interpretations on what had happened in the eighteenth: the term did not therefore correspond to any clearly-demarcated eighteenth-century phenomena, and could be made to mean whatever its nineteenth- and twentieth-century users wished. Its use here attends to, without endorsing, the meanings conventionally ascribed to the term in recent discourse.
3 Porter, Roy, Enlightenment: Britain and the Creation of the Modern World (London, 2000), p. 13 Google Scholar. This essay is intended as a tribute to my late colleague, and an attempt to honor his memory by continuing our debate.
4 “mainstream [religious] observance became divested of supernatural and spiritual elements…. The new hopefulness was often predicated upon claims to lay bare the springs of human nature…”; Hume thought he could show by observation “the constant and universal principles of human nature”; “Prayers and pieties continued, but in the ubiquitous worldly atmosphere devout habits of trusting to Providence were challenged by a new eagerness to practice self-help and take charge where possible”; “The sick no longer needed to abandon themselves to their fate: knowledge and skill would save lives”; “The programmatic shift from Christian Providentialism to more secular, scientific world views…”: Porter, , Enlightenment, pp. 128, 161, 177, 206, 211, 229 Google Scholar.
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6 “the problem lay in ensuring that private fulfilment did not subvert public orderliness”: Porter, , Enlightenment, p. 18 Google Scholar.
7 Porter's argument that “Probabilistic thinking to some extent replaced Providence” (ibid., p. 149 and elsewhere) is evidenced only by reference to modern work on mathematical probability; Porter did not balance it against evidence on Providence. Although historians of mathematics still incline to a “triumphalist” view, for a more nuanced account see, for example, Shapiro, Barbara J., Probability and Certainty in Seventeenth-Century England (Princeton, 1983)Google Scholar. Shapiro argues that the empirical and the probable rose together in seventeenth-century England, so strengthening the claims of Providence.
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11 “The heavens when they be pleased may turn the wheel/Of Fortune round, when we that are dejected/May be again raised to our former height” (Act 1, scene 2).
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