With only three remaining members of what is supposed to be a seven-member body, the World Trade Organization's (WTO) Appellate Body may soon cease to function. Since 2016, the United States has blocked the reappointment of Appellate Body members and rejected over a dozen proposals to launch selection processes that could fill the remaining vacancies. As a lead reason for these blocks, the United States has cited concerns about the practice whereby members whose terms have expired continue to serve on appeals to which they were previously appointed. On December 10, 2019, the terms of two Appellate Body members will expire, leaving only one member remaining. Because the WTO's dispute settlement process requires three Appellate Body members for each appeal, WTO members will be unable to make any new appeals by this year's end unless a solution emerges to the current impasse.
When a conflict arises between WTO member states over an obligation, members often proceed through the WTO's dispute resolution mechanism. The mechanism, as laid out by the Dispute Settlement Understanding (DSU), consists of consultations, a panel report, and, if the parties choose, an appeal before three members of the WTO Appellate Body.Footnote 1 The Appellate Body is comprised of seven persons who each serve for a four-year term with the possibility of a one-time reappointment.Footnote 2 Through the Dispute Settlement Body (DSB), representatives from all WTO member states select Appellate Body members using the practice of consensus, which means that any matter submitted for the DSB's consideration is accepted—unless a present member “formally objects to the proposed decision.”Footnote 3 The three members of the Appellate Body appointed for a particular case have the authority to “uphold, modify or reverse” panel-made legal conclusions or interpretations and must issue their report within ninety days.Footnote 4 In practice, Appellate Body reports provide the only avenue for obtaining a binding resolution in many WTO disputes since, once a panel report has been appealed, the DSB cannot act on the matter until the completion of the appeal.Footnote 5
Currently, the Appellate Body only has three serving members, two of whom have second terms ending on December 10, 2019.Footnote 6 The Appellate Body's low member count is due mainly to the United States’ continued objections to reappointments and to the selection processes for new Appellate Body members over the last three years.Footnote 7 Under the Obama administration, the United States objected in 2016 to the reappointment of Seung Wha Chang (South Korea), citing its view that Chang had deviated from Appellate Body responsibilities.Footnote 8
The administration of President Trump has raised still broader concerns about the WTO Appellate Body. During Trump's first year as president, Mexico introduced a joint proposal by dozens of WTO member states urging that the DSB launch a selection process to fill three upcoming Appellate Body vacancies.Footnote 9 The United States refused to support the proposal because one of the Appellate Body members had “continue[d] to serve on an appeal, despite ceasing to be a member of the Appellate Body nearly 5 [five] months ago.”Footnote 10 The practice of Appellate Body members serving on appeals past their term is rooted in Rule 15 of the Working Procedures for Appellate Review, which provides:
A person who ceases to be a Member of the Appellate Body may, with the authorization of the Appellate Body and upon notification to the DSB, complete the disposition of any appeal to which that person was assigned while a Member, and that person shall, for that purpose only, be deemed to continue to be a Member of the Appellate Body.Footnote 11
Although the Appellate Body has unquestioned authority to draft and implement appellate procedural rules, the United States specifically takes issue with Rule 15 insofar as the rule allows the Appellate Body “to deem someone who is not an Appellate Body member to be a member.”Footnote 12 The United States has pointed to Article 17(2) of the DSU which states in full:
The DSB shall appoint persons to serve on the Appellate Body for a four-year term, and each person may be reappointed once. However, the terms of three of the seven persons appointed immediately after the entry into force of the WTO Agreement shall expire at the end of two years, to be determined by lot. Vacancies shall be filled as they arise. A person appointed to replace a person whose term of office has not expired shall hold office for the remainder of the predecessor's term.Footnote 13
The United States explained in a statement that under Article 17(2), “the DSB has a responsibility under the DSU to decide whether a person whose term of appointment has expired should continue serving,” and that “Members need to discuss and resolve that issue first before moving on to the issue of replacing such a person.”Footnote 14
From January to May 2018, member states submitted the proposal to fill the three vacancies four more times, each time with additional WTO member states joining the proposal.Footnote 15 The United States continued to reject the proposals, again citing to Rule 15:
For at least the past 8 months, the United States has been raising and explaining the systemic concerns that arise from the Appellate Body's decisions that purport to “deem” as an Appellate Body member someone whose term of office has expired and thus is no longer an Appellate Body member, pursuant to its Working Procedures for Appellate Review (Rule 15).
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[U]nlike other international tribunals …, Rule 15 is not set out in the constitutive text of the WTO dispute settlement system—that is, the DSU. It has therefore not been agreed to by WTO Members.Footnote 16
In August 2018, another appellate body member, Mr. Shree Baboo Chekitan Servansing, faced an approaching end date to his first term.Footnote 17 Causing the fourth vacancy on the Appellate Body, the United States announced at a WTO meeting that it “[was] not prepared to support [his] reappointment.”Footnote 18 The United States explained that its position was “no reflection on any one individual but reflect[ed] [its] principled concerns.”Footnote 19 The United States again grounded its decision in Rule 15 while also articulating several new areas of contention:
The United States has raised repeated concerns that appellate reports have gone far beyond the text setting out WTO rules in varied areas, such as subsidies, antidumping duties, anti-subsidy duties, standards and technical barriers to trade, and safeguards, restricting the ability of the United States to regulate in the public interest or protect U.S. workers and businesses against unfair trading practices.
On procedural, systemic issues, for example, the Appellate Body has issued advisory opinions on issues not necessary to resolve a dispute, reviewed panel fact-finding despite appeals being limited to legal issues, asserted that panels must follow its reports although there is no system of precedent in the WTO, and continuously disregarded the 90-day mandatory deadline for appeals—all contrary to the WTO's agreed dispute settlement rules.
And for the last year, the United States has been calling for WTO Members to correct the situation where the Appellate Body acts as if it has the power to permit ex-Appellate Body members to continue to decide appeals even after their term of office—as set by the WTO Members—has expired. This so-called “Rule 15” is, on its face, another example of the Appellate Body's disregard for the WTO's rules.
Our concerns have not been addressed. …Footnote 20
In an attempt to address the persistent U.S. refusal to permit the selection of new Appellate Body members, the European Union, China, Canada, Mexico, and several other WTO member states submitted a proposal at the December 12, 2018 WTO General Council Meeting.Footnote 21 The member states expressed “deep[] concern[] that the enduring absence of consensus in the [DSB] to fill the vacancies on the Appellate Body risks undermining the viability of the WTO dispute settlement system.”Footnote 22 The proposal suggested five different amendments to the DSU which involved: (1) permitting outgoing Appellate Body members to “complete the disposition of a pending appeal in which a hearing has already taken place during that member's term”; (2) allowing parties to agree to extend the ninety-day timeframe in which Appellate Body panels must issue a report; (3) requiring clarification that issues of law and legal interpretation “do not include the meaning itself of [] municipal measures” in panel reports; (4) “provid[ing] that the Appellate Body shall address each of the issues raised on appeal by the parties to the dispute to the extent this is necessary for the resolution of the dispute”; and (5) hosting annual meetings between the Appellate Body and the DSB where members can discuss the Appellate Body's jurisprudence.Footnote 23 Stressing the proposal's importance, Commissioner Malmström of the European Union stated that “[t]he appellate body function of the WTO dispute settlement system is moving towards a cliff's edge” and that “[w]ithout this core function of the WTO, the world would lose a system that has ensured stability in global trade for decades.”Footnote 24
The United States responded with disinterest to the proposed amendments, although it provided little reasoning as to why the proposals were unacceptable or unworkable:
We recognize the proposals presented by some WTO Members at the December 12 meeting of the General Council. These proposals to some extent acknowledge the systemic concern the United States has been raising in the WTO for years—namely, that the Appellate Body has strayed from the role agreed for it by WTO Members.
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However, on a close reading, the proposals would not effectively address the concerns that WTO Members have raised. The United States has made its views on these issues very clear: if WTO Members say that we support a rules-based trading system, then the Appellate Body must follow the rules we agreed in 1995.Footnote 25
Despite the apparent U.S. intransigence, member states continued to request a selection process be launched to fill the body's four vacancies.Footnote 26 Beginning in June 2019, member states requested two additional selection processes be launched for Mr. Ujal Singh Bhatia and Mr. Thomas Graham, who both have their second four-year terms ending on December 10, 2019.Footnote 27 At an August 15 meeting, the United States rejected this proposal to fill the now six vacancies that will exist on the Appellate Body.Footnote 28
Several member states have questioned whether the U.S. practice of Appellate Body blocking violates Article 17(2) of the DSU, which states that “[v]acancies shall be filled as they arise.”Footnote 29 At a DSB meeting earlier this year, over twenty WTO member states tried to present the argument that Article 17(2) places a legal obligation on the United States and all other members to fill appellate body vacancies.Footnote 30 The United States responded to these concerns with the following:
We note that several Members, including Mexico, the EU, Canada, and China, have referenced the “shall” in the third sentence of Article 17.2 of the DSU.
We would ask these Members to share their views on the “shall” in the first sentence of that article. That sentence reads, in part, that “[t]he DSB shall appoint persons to serve on the Appellate Body…”.
Do these Members agree that this provision makes clear that it is the DSB that has the authority to appoint and reappoint members of the Appellate Body? And that the DSB—not the Appellate Body—has the responsibility to decide whether a person whose term of appointment has expired should continue serving, as if a member of the Appellate Body, on any pending appeals?
Can these Members share their views on the “shall” in Article 17.5 of the DSU? As the text of Article 17.5 provides that “[i]n no case shall the proceedings exceed 90 days”, do these Members agree that the Appellate Body breaches this provision when it issues a report beyond the 90-day deadline?
What are these Members’ views on the “shall” in Article 17.6? This article provides that “[a]n appeal shall be limited to issues of law covered in the panel report and legal interpretations developed by the panel.” Do these Members agree that the Appellate Body does not respect this text when it engages in review of panel findings of fact?
We look forward to hearing these Members’ views on these questions.Footnote 31
Although the United States skirted the issue of whether it has an obligation to fill vacancies on the Appellate Body, a recent statement by U.S. Ambassador Dennis Shea at the WTO General Council Meeting recognized that the term “shall” is “mandatory” with respect to the rule requiring the Appellate Body to issue a report within ninety days of an appeal.Footnote 32
Some practitioners and scholars have suggested various workarounds that could be used if the ongoing disagreements are not resolved. During his farewell speech, former Appellate Body member Peter Van den Bossche suggested that “if consensus among all WTO members on such reforms is not possible, a coalition of willing WTO members should consider establishing a new parallel dispute settlement system that would copy the existing, but dysfunctional, DSU, in order to settle WTO disputes between them in an orderly and rules-based manner.”Footnote 33 Jennifer Hillman has suggested turning to an arbitration process in place of the dispute settlement mechanism using Article 25 of the DSU.Footnote 34 Ernst-Ulrich Petersmann has suggested interpreting the foundational agreements underlying the WTO in a way that offers an escape valve from the consensus procedure with respect to the selection of Appellate Body members.Footnote 35
The Trump administration has been less than clear in articulating a path forward.Footnote 36 As of mid-August, there is no indication that the United States will agree to a solution before this December when the terms for two of the three remaining Appellate Body members end.Footnote 37 When criticized over the summer for its lack of engagement to date in finding a workable solution, the United States submitted:
[W]e have made clear our willingness to discuss these concerns further with any Member in order to deepen each other's understanding of these substantive issues. …
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Unfortunately, one, or perhaps a few, WTO Members have indicated they do not share the concerns of the United States that the Appellate Body has deviated from the DSU text. These Members have not, however, adequately or persuasively explained how they could read the plain DSU text differently. …
So the United States continues, as it has always done, to be engaged on these important substantive issues, including by meeting regularly with the Facilitator and Members to exchange views on the issues under discussion.
… In other words, Members need to engage in a deeper discussion of why the Appellate Body has felt free to depart from what Members agreed to.
Engagement is a two-way street. Without further engagement from WTO Members on the cause of the problem, there is no reason to believe that simply adopting new or additional language, in whatever form, will be effective in addressing the concerns that the United States and other Members have raised.Footnote 38
The fate of the WTO Appellate Body adds more uncertainty to the brewing global trade developments under Trump's administration. Trade negotiations have continued between the United States and China and appeared to make progress in late July of 2019 when China agreed to increase purchases of U.S. agricultural exports.Footnote 39 But then, in early August, Trump tweeted that the United States will “put[] a small additional Tariff of 10% on the remaining 300 Billion Dollars of goods and products coming from China into our Country” in addition to the “250 Billion Dollars already Tariffed at 25%,” which would go into effect on September 1 or December 15, depending on the article.Footnote 40 When China retaliated by placing tariffs on $75 billion of U.S. products, Trump tweeted again later that month that “[s]tarting on October 1st, the 250 BILLION DOLLARS of goods and products from China, currently being taxed at 25%, will be taxed at 30%,” and that the products “being taxed from September 1st at 10% will now be taxed at 15%.”Footnote 41 With respect to trade relations across the Atlantic, Trump recently announced that the United States signed an agreement with the European Union “mak[ing] it easier to export American beef,” with the goal that duty-free American beef exports would increase by ninety percent over the next seven years.Footnote 42 In statements to reporters, however, Trump described the beef agreement as only breaking the “first barrier” and that “[a]uto tariffs are never off the table.”Footnote 43 Adding to the force of Trump's statements, earlier this year the U.S. Court of International Trade assessed the legality of Trump's 2018 steel and aluminum tariffs and held that Congress does have the constitutional authority to delegate such tariff-imposing responsibilities to the president.Footnote 44