Hostname: page-component-cd9895bd7-gxg78 Total loading time: 0 Render date: 2024-12-27T22:40:23.309Z Has data issue: false hasContentIssue false

Why Some Persistent Problems Persist

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  25 July 2019

ROBERT POWELL*
Affiliation:
University of California, Berkeley
*
*Robert Powell, Professor, Travers Department of Political Science, University of California, Berkeley, RPowell@Berkeley.edu.

Abstract

Recent work on counter-insurgency, client states, foreign aid, and proxy wars uses a principal–agent framework to study the principal’s ability to induce an agent to exert effort on the principal’s behalf. This work broadly emphasizes the moral hazard problem and the actors’ limited commitment power. The latter is usually addressed through the logic of repeated games in which reneging on an agreement triggers future punishment. This study analyzes a related incentive problem that undermines the principal’s ability to induce an agent to exert effort on its behalf. The repeated-game’s enforcement mechanism tends to break down if the principal is trying to get the agent to resolve a problem that, if resolved, (i) creates an ongoing problem for the agent and (ii) simultaneously significantly reduces the agent’s ability to impose future costs on the principal. The principal cannot induce the agent to exert much effort in these circumstances, and the problem persists.

Type
Research Article
Copyright
Copyright © American Political Science Association 2019 

Access options

Get access to the full version of this content by using one of the access options below. (Log in options will check for institutional or personal access. Content may require purchase if you do not have access.)

Footnotes

I thank Chris Blattman, Melissa Carlson, Jim Fearon, Mark Fey, Sean Gailmard, Desha Girod, Bard Harstad, Ben Hermalin, Shachar Kariv, Andrew Little, Carter Malkasian, Anne Meng, Harun Onder, Jack Paine, Chris Shannon, Paul Thissen, John Yoo and seminar participants at Berkeley and Rochester for very helpful comments, discussion, and criticism. I gratefully acknowledge the support of the National Science Foundation (SES 1456516).

References

REFERENCES

Abreu, Dilip. 1988. “On the Theory of Infinitely Repeated Games with Discounting,” Econometrica 56 (2): 383–96.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Acemoglu, Daron. 2003. “Why Not a Political Coase Theorem? Social Conflict, Commitment, and Politics,” Journal of Comparative Economics 31 (4): 620–52.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Acemoglu, Daron, and Robinson, James A.. 2000. “Why Did the West Extend the Franchise,” Quarterly Journal of Economics 115 (4): 1167–99.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Acemoglu, Daron, and Robinson, James. 2001. “A Theory of Political Transitions,” The American Economic Review 91 (4): 938–63.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Acemoglu, Daron, and Robinson, James. 2006. The Economic Origins of Democracy . New York: Cambridge University Press.Google Scholar
Acemoglu, Daron, Golosov, Michael, and Tsyvinski, Aleh. 2008. “Political Economy of Mechanisms,” Econometrica 76 (3): 619–41.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Berman, Eli, and Matanock, Alia. 2015. “The Empiricists Insurgency,” Annual Review of Political Science 18: 443–64.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Berman, Eli, and Lake, David A.. 2019. Proxy Wars: Suppressing Transnational Violence through Local Agents . Ithaca, NY: Cornell University Press.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Berman, Eli, Lake, David A., Padró-i-Miquel, Gerard, and Yared, Pierre. 2019. “Principals, Agents, and Indirect Foreign Policies.” In Proxy Wars: Suppressing Transnational Violence through Local Agents, eds. Berman, Eli and Lake, David A.. Ithaca, NY: Cornell University Press, 1–27.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Biddle, Stephen. 2017. “Building Security Forces and Stabilizing Nations: The Problem of Agency,” Dædalus Fall: 126–38.Google Scholar
Biddle, Stephen, MacDonald, Julia, and Baker, Ryan. 2017. “Small Footprint, Small Payoff: The Military Effectiveness of Security Force Assistance,” Journal of Strategic Studies 41 (1–2): 89–142.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Bolton, Patrick, and Dewatripont, Mathias. 2005. Contract Theory. Cambridge, MA: MIT Press.Google Scholar
Bumiller, Elizabeth, and Perlez, Jane. 2011. “Pakistans Spy Agency Is Tied to Attack on U.S. Embassy,” New York Times (September 22). Available at: https://www.nytimes.com/2011/09/23/world/asia/mullen-asserts-pakistani-role-in-attack-on-us-embassy.html. Accessed May 26, 2018.Google Scholar
Byman, Daniel L. 2006. “Friends like These: Counterinsurgency and the War on Terrorism,” International Security 31 (2): 79–115.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Coll, Steve. 2004. Ghost Wars . New York: Penguin Press.Google Scholar
Coll, Steve. 2018. Directorate S . New York: Penguin Press.Google Scholar
Cordovez, Diego, and Harrison, Selig. 1995. Out of Afghanistan . New York: Oxford University Press.Google Scholar
Crocker, Ryan. 2018. Interview, Morning edition, National Public Radio, January 2.Google Scholar
Fearon, James D. 1995. “Rationalist Explanations for War,” International Organization 49 (3): 379–414.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Fearon, James D. 2004. “Why Do Some Civil Wars Last So Long?Journal of Peace Research 41 (3): 275–302.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Fearon, James D. 2017. “The Big Problem with the North Koreans Isn’t that We Can’t Trust Them. It’s that They Can’t Trust Us,” Washington Post (August 16). Available at: https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/monkey-cage/wp/2017/08/16/the-big-problem-with-north-korea-isnt-that-we-cant-trust-them-its-that-they-cant-trust-us/?utm_term.cc89f494009d. Accessed May 29, 2018.Google Scholar
Girod, Desha. 2018. “The Political Economy of Aid Conditionality,” Oxford Research Encyclopedia of Politics. https://doi.org/DOI: 10.1093/acrefore/9780190228637.013.597Google Scholar
Gordon, Michael, and Sanger, David. 2015. “Deal Reached on Iran Nuclear Program; Limits on Fuel Would Lessen with Time,” New York Times (July 14).Google Scholar
Haqqani, Husain. 2013. Magnificent Delusions . New York: Public Affairs.Google Scholar
Hecker, Sigfried, Carlin, Robert, and Serbin, Elliot. 2018. “A Comprehensive History of North Koreas Nuclear Program: 2018 Update,” Center for Security and International Security, Stanford University. Available at: https://cisac.fsi.stanford.edu/content/dprk-history-2018-update. Accessed May 5, 2019.Google Scholar
Kersting, Erasmus, and Kilby, Christopher. 2014. “Aid and Democracy Redux,” European Economic Review 67 (April): 125–43.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Kronstadt, Alan K. 2008. “Direct Overt U.S. Aid and Military Reimbursements to Pakistan, FY 2002–FY 2009.” Congressional Research Service, Washington, D.C., October 16. Available at: https://securityassistance.org/sites/default/files/PakAid2002_2009.pdf. Accessed May 29, 2018.Google Scholar
Kronstadt, Alan K. 2011. “Direct Overt U.S. Aid and Military Reimbursements to Pakistan, FY 2002–FY 2012.” Congressional Research Service, Washington, D.C., May 6. Available at: https://info.publicintelligence.net/CRS-PakistanAid.pdf. Accessed May 29, 2018.Google Scholar
Kronstadt, Alan K., and Epstein, Susan. 2014. “Direct Overt U.S. Aid and Military Reimbursements to Pakistan, FY 2002–FY 2015.” Congressional Research Service, Washington, D.C., March 6. Available at: https://archive.org/details/223452DirectOvertUSAidAppropriationsforandMilitaryReimbursementstoPakistanFY2002-FY2015-crs. Accessed May 29, 2018.Google Scholar
Kronstadt, Alan K., and Epstein, Susan. 2015. “Direct Overt U.S. Aid and Military Reimbursements to Pakistan, FY 2002–FY 2016.” Congressional Research Service, Washington, D.C., February 10. Available at: https://securityassistance.org/sites/default/files/pakaid.pdf. Accessed May 29, 2018.Google Scholar
Kronstadt, Alan K., and Epstein, Susan. 2016. “Direct Overt U.S. Aid and Military Reimbursements to Pakistan, FY 2002–FY 2017.” Congressional Research Service, Washington, D.C., February 24. Available at: https://securityassistance.org/sites/default/files/pakaid%20FY11-FY17.pdf. Accessed May 29, 2018.Google Scholar
Kronstadt, Alan K., and Epstein, Susan. 2017. “Direct Overt U.S. Aid and Military Reimbursements to Pakistan, FY 2002–FY 2018.” Congressional Research Service, Washington, D.C., September 6. Available at: https://securityassistance.org/sites/default/files/pakaid_9_17.pdf. Accessed May 29, 2018.Google Scholar
Kux, Dennis. 2001. The United States and Pakistan 1947–2000 . Baltimore, MD: Johns Hopkins University Press.Google Scholar
Ladwig, Walter. 2016. “Influencing Clients in Counterinsurgency,” International Security 41 (1): 99–146.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Ladwig, Walter. 2017. The Forgotten Front: Patron Client Relations in Counterinsurgency . New York: Cambridge University Press.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Mailaith, George, and Samuelson, Larry. 2006. Repeated Games and Reputations . New York: Oxford University Press.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Markey, Daniel. 2013. No Exit from Pakistan . New York: Cambridge University Press.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Morgenthau, Hans. 1962. “A Political Theory of Foreign,” American Political Science Review 56 (2): 301–9.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Nauert, Heather. 2018. US Department of State Press Briefing. Washington, D.C., January 4. Available at: https://www.state.gov/r/pa/prs/dpb/2018/01/276852.html. Accessed on May 27, 2018.Google Scholar
Nicholson, Justin. 2018. “Failing by Succeeding: The Compliance Dilemma in Counterinsurgency Policy.” Manuscript, Department of Political Science, University of Rochester.Google Scholar
Padró-i-Miquel, Gerard, and Yared, Pierre. 2012. “The Political Economy of Indirect Control,” Quarterly Journal of Economics 127 (2): 947–1015.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Powell, Robert. 2004. “The Inefficient Use of Power: Costly Conflict with Complete Information,” American Political Science Review, 98 (2): 231–41.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Powell, Robert. 2006. “War as a Commitment Problem,” International Organization 60 (1): 169–203.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Powell, Robert. 2012. “Commitment Problems and Shifting Power as a Cause of Conflict.” In Oxford Handbook on Defense Economics, eds. Skaperdis, Stergios and Garfinkel, Michele. New York: Oxford University Press, 4358.Google Scholar
Rashid, Ahmed. 2008. Descent into Chaos . New York: Viking.Google Scholar
Salehyan, Idean. 2010. “The Delegation of War to Rebel Organizations,” Journal of Conflict Resolution 54 (3): 493–515.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Samore, Gary et. al. 2015. “The Iran Nuclear Deal: A Definitive Guide,” Belfer Center for Science and International Affairs, Harvard Kennedy School. https://www.belfercenter.org/sites/default/files/files/publication/IranDealGuide2017.pdf. Accessed June 1, 2019.Google Scholar
Thornton, Thomas. 1982. “Between the Stools? U.S. Policy towards Pakistan during the Carter Administration,” Asian Survey 22 (10): 959–77.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
USAID. 2016. “U.S. Overseas Loans and Grants, Obligations and Loan Authorizations, July 1, 1945–September 30, 2016.” U.S. Agency for International Development, Washington, D.C. Available at: https://pdf.usaid.gov/pdf_docs/pbaah600.pdf. Accessed May 29, 2018.Google Scholar
Walsh, Declan. 2008. “Up to 70% of US Aid to Pakistan ‘mispent.”’ The Guardian (February 27). Available at: https://www.theguardian.com/world/2008/feb/28/pakistan.usa. Accessed May 29, 2018.Google Scholar
Welna, David. 2016. “‘Complete, Verifiable, Irreversible’ A Tough Goal for North Korea Summit,” All Things Considered (June 6). Available at: https://www.npr.org/2018/06/06/617619192/complete-verifiable-irreversible-a-tough-goal-for-north-korea-summit. Accessed May 1, 2019.Google Scholar
Wright, Joseph. 2009. “How Foreign Aid Can Foster Democratization in Authoritarian Regimes,” American Journal of Political Science 53 (3): 552–71.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Submit a response

Comments

No Comments have been published for this article.