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Additivity of Chain-Ladder Projections

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  29 August 2014

Björn Ajne*
Affiliation:
Skandia, Stockholm
*
Skandia, S-103 50 Stockhom
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Abstract

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In this paper some results are given on the addivity of chain-ladder projections. Given two claims development triangles, when do their chain-ladder projections add up to the projections of the combined triangle, that is the triangle being the element-wise sum of the two given triangles?

Necessary and sufficient conditions for equality are given. These are of a fairly simply form and are directly connected to the ordinary chain-ladder calculations. In addition, sufficient conditions of the same form are given for inequality between the combined projection vector and the sum of the two original projections vectors.

Type
Workshop
Copyright
Copyright © International Actuarial Association 1994

References

Ajne, B. (1991) A Note on the Additivity of Chain-ladder Projections. Paper presented to the 23rd ASTIN Colloquium (Speaker's corner).Google Scholar
Andersson, K. (1992) A Direttissima in Chain-ladder and the Danger of Direttissimas. Personal communication.Google Scholar
Bühlmann, H. (1993) Claims Reserves: Theory and Practice. Mimeographed paper.Google Scholar
Mack, T. (1991) A Simple Parametric Model for Rating Automobile Insurance or Estimating IBNR Claims Reserves. ASTIN Bulletin 21, 93109.CrossRefGoogle Scholar