Hostname: page-component-78c5997874-v9fdk Total loading time: 0 Render date: 2024-11-10T12:08:21.443Z Has data issue: false hasContentIssue false
  • English
  • Français

Areas of potential suitability and survival of Dendroctonus valens in china under extreme climate warming scenario

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  21 April 2015

S.Y. He ,
X.Z. Ge ,
T. Wang ,
J.B. Wen  and
S.X. Zong
S.Y. He
Affiliation:
Key Laboratory of Beijing for the Control of Forest Pests, Beijing Forestry University, Beijing 100083, People's Republic of China
X.Z. Ge
Affiliation:
Key Laboratory of Beijing for the Control of Forest Pests, Beijing Forestry University, Beijing 100083, People's Republic of China
T. Wang
Affiliation:
Mentougou Forestry Station, Beijing 102300, People's Republic of China
J.B. Wen
Affiliation:
Key Laboratory of Beijing for the Control of Forest Pests, Beijing Forestry University, Beijing 100083, People's Republic of China
S.X. Zong*
Affiliation:
Key Laboratory of Beijing for the Control of Forest Pests, Beijing Forestry University, Beijing 100083, People's Republic of China
*
*Author for correspondence Fax: +86-10-62336302 E-mail: zongsx@126.com
Get access Rights & Permissions [Opens in a new window]

Abstract

The areas in China with climates suitable for the potential distribution of the pest species red turpentine beetle (RTB) Dendroctonus valens LeConte (Coleoptera: Scolytidae) were predicted by CLIMEX based on historical climate data and future climate data with warming estimated. The model used a historical climate data set (1971–2000) and a simulated climate data set (2010–2039) provided by the Tyndall Centre for Climate Change (TYN SC 2.0). Based on the historical climate data, a wide area was available in China with a suitable climate for the beetle in which every province might contain suitable habitats for this pest, particularly all of the southern provinces. The northern limit of the distribution of the beetle was predicted to reach Yakeshi and Elunchun in Inner Mongolia, and the western boundary would reach to Keerkezi in Xinjiang Province. Based on a global-warming scenario, the area with a potential climate suited to RTB in the next 30 years (2010–2039) may extend further to the northeast. The northern limit of the distribution could reach most parts of south Heilongjiang Province, whereas the western limit would remain unchanged. Combined with the tendency for RTB to spread, the variation in suitable habitats within the scenario of extreme climate warming and the multiple geographical elements of China led us to assume that, within the next 30 years, RTB would spread towards the northeast, northwest, and central regions of China and could be a potentially serious problem for the forests of China.

Keywords

climate warmingCLIMEX3.0Dendroctonus valensdistributionhistorical climate
Type
Research Papers
Information
Bulletin of Entomological Research , Volume 105 , Issue 4 , August 2015 , pp. 477 - 484
Check for updates
Copyright
Copyright © Cambridge University Press 2015 

Access options

Get access to the full version of this content by using one of the access options below. (Log in options will check for institutional or personal access. Content may require purchase if you do not have access.)

References

Allen, R.G., Pereira, L.S., Raes, D. & Smith, M. (1998) Crop Evapotranspiration: Guidelines for Computing Crop Water Requirements. FAO Irrigation and Drainage Paper. Food and Agriculture Organization, Rome, Italy, pp. 35–36.Google Scholar
Chen, Y. & Ma, C.S. (2010) Effect of global warming on insect: a literature review. Acta Ecologica Sinica 30, 2159–2172.Google Scholar
Cibrian-Tovar, D., Mendez-Montiel, J.T., Campos Bolans, R., Yates, H.O. III, Flores Lara, J. (Eds) (1995) Forest Insects of Mexico, [Insectos Forestales de Mexico]. Chapingo, Mexico, Universidad Autonoma Chapingo, 453 pp.Google Scholar
Furniss, R.C. & Carolin, V.M. (1977) Western forest insects. pp. 362–363 in U. S. Department of Agriculture Forest Service. Miscellaneous Publication No. 1339, Washington, DC.Google Scholar
IPCC (2007) Climate change 2007. The physical science basis: contribution of working group I to the fourth assessment report of the intergovernmental panel on climate change. Cambridge, UK: Cambridge University Press.Google Scholar
Liu, M.G., Wen, X.J., Zhao, Y.F., Wan, Z.L., Li, S.L., Li, M.C. & Guo, X.J. (2004) Phenological observation and influence of the temperature and humidity to Dendroctonus valens Leconte. Flying. The Journal of Hebei Forestry Science and Technology 1, 14–15.Google Scholar
Liu, S.C. (2003) Summary of study on Dendroctonus valens Imago. Shanxi Forestry Science and Technology 1, 24–27.Google Scholar
Liu, Z.D. & Sun, J.H. (2008) Some suggestions on Dendroctonus valens intrusion behavior ecology research. The Abstract Book of the Second National Congress on Biological Invasion.Google Scholar
Miao, Z.W., Zhou, W.M., Huo, L.Y., Wang, X.L., Fan, J.X. & Zhao, M.M. (2001) Study on the biological characteristic of Dendroctonus valens . Shanxi Forestry Science and Technology 1, 34–38.Google Scholar
Miao, Z.W., Zhou, W.M., Fan, J.X., Wang, X.L., Zhao, M.M. & Lu, X.L. (2002) The development and prediction research on the eggs and pupals of Dendroctonus valens . Practical Forestry Technology 2, 11–13.Google Scholar
Mika, A.M. & Newman, J.A. (2010) Climate change scenarios and models yield conflicting predictions about the future risk of an invasive species in North America. Agricultural and Forest Entomology 12, 213–221.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Mika, A.M., Weiss, R.M., Olfert, O., Hallett, R.H. & Newman, J.A. (2008) Will climate change be beneficial or detrimental to the invasive swede midge in North America? Contrasting predictions using climate projections from different general circulation models. Global Change Biology 14, 1721–1733.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Ni, W.L., Chen, H.J., Qu, W.W., Wan, F.H., Mei, A., Pu, C. & Li, Z.H. (2010) The potential geographical distribution of the Monacrostichus citricola Bezzi based on the CLIMEX, in China. Plant Quarantine 24(4), 20–25.Google Scholar
Pan, J., Wang, T., Wen, J.B., Luo, Y.Q. & Zong, S.Y. (2011) Changes in invasion characteristics of Dendroctonus valens after introduction. Acta Ecologica Sinica 31(7), 1970–1975.Google Scholar
Stephens, A.E.A., Kriticos, D.J. & Leriche, A. (2007) The current and future potential geographical distribution of the oriental fruit fly, Bactrocera dorsalis (Diptera: Tephritidae). Bulletin of Entomological Research 97, 369–378.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Sutherst, R.W., Maywald, G.F. & Kriticos, D. (2007) CLIMEX VERSION 3.0 User's Guide. P43. Melbourne, Hearne Scientific Software Pty Ltd.Google Scholar
Wang, H.B., Zhang, Z., Kong, X.B., Liu, S.C. & Shen, Z.R. (2007) Preliminary deduction of potential distribution and alternative hosts of invasive pest, Dendroctonus valens (Coleoptera: Scolytidae). Scientia Silvae Sinicae 43(10), 71–76.Google Scholar
Wang, J.H., Wang, J.P., Han, H.J., Liu, G.S. & Liu, G.M. (2002) Primary report on control of Red Turpentine Beetle (RTB). Shanxi Agricultural Science 30(3), 66–69.Google Scholar
Wang, S.Y. & Xiong, Z. (2004) The preliminary analysis of 5 coupled ocean-atmosphere global climate models simulation of regional climate in Asia. Climatic and Environmental Research 9(2), 240–250.Google Scholar
Wu, J.G., Zhao, M.M., Zhang, C.M., Guo, B.P., Li, J.Z., Niu, X., Li, L.F. & Lu, X.L. (2002) Damage of Dendroctonus valens on Pinus tabulaeformis and its distribution on trunk and root before and after overwintering period. Forest Pest and Disease 21(3), 38–41.Google Scholar
Yao, J., Zhang, L.W. & Yu, X.F. (2008) Advances in red turpentine bark beetle, Dendroctonus valens LeConte. Journal of Anhui Agricultural University 35(3), 416–420.Google Scholar
Zhang, L.Y., Chen, Q.C. & Zhang, X.B. (2002) Studies on the morphological characters and bionomics of Dendroctonus valens Leconte. Scientia Silvae Sinicae 38(4), 95–99.Google Scholar
Zhang, Q., Chen, A.L., Hao, S.H. & Zhang, X. (2004) Progresses on Dendroctonus valens . Journal of Northwest Forestry University 19(4), 109–112.Google Scholar
Zhao, J.X., Yang, Z.Q. & Jean-Claude, G. (2009) The cold-hardiness of Dendroctonus valens (Coleoptera: Scolytidae): and Rhizophagus grandis (Coleoptera: Rhizophagidae). Journal of Environmental Entomology 31(1), 20–28.Google Scholar