Hostname: page-component-cd9895bd7-mkpzs Total loading time: 0 Render date: 2024-12-27T11:21:51.634Z Has data issue: false hasContentIssue false

Neither synthesis nor rivalry: Complementary policy models and technological learning in the Mexican and Brazilian petroleum and automotive industries

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  19 November 2018

Abstract

Although technological learning is indispensable for economic transformation in developing countries, recent research on industrial policy both lacks consensus regarding policy models and engages in little long-term analysis of policy impacts. This study contributes to this literature through a controlled case comparison of the varied addition of new and unique functional capacities in the Mexican and Brazilian automotive and petroleum industries from 1975 to 2000. It offers a dynamic industrial policy perspective that underscores the explanatory role of alternating state- and market-led industrial policy approaches and their associated cumulative processes of “exploration” and “exploitation” (March (1991)). It also suggests that two background conditions—prior investments in learning and exogenous shocks that undermine the status quo—intervene decisively in the successful sequencing of policy approaches. The study concludes by proposing a framework that recognizes three main learning pathways formed through different configurations of the main independent variable and background conditions. This framework can be deployed as a rough predictive tool to assess how other industries might most effectively increase their technological sophistication.

Type
Research Article
Copyright
Copyright © V.K. Aggarwal 2018 and published under exclusive license to Cambridge University Press 

Access options

Get access to the full version of this content by using one of the access options below. (Log in options will check for institutional or personal access. Content may require purchase if you do not have access.)

Footnotes

The authors would like to thank attendees at the 2016 Red de Economía Política de América Latina (REPAL) and Society for the Advancement of Socio-Economics (SASE) conferences, participants in the Sam Nunn School of International Affairs junior faculty workshop, and the anonymous reviewers as well as the editors of Business and Politics.

References

Aboites, Jaime, and Beltrán, Tomás A.. 2011. “La erosión institucional de la Triada Innovadora (Fundamentos y Debate).” Mundo Siglo XXI 7 (25): 3140.Google Scholar
Addis, Caren. 1993. “Local Models--Auto Parts Firms and Industrialization in Brazil.” Thesis, Massachusetts Institute of Technology. http://dspace.mit.edu/handle/1721.1/12416.Google Scholar
Adler, Emanuel. 1987. The Power of Ideology: The Quest for Technological Autonomy in Argentina and Brazil. University of California Press.Google Scholar
Altenburg, Tilman, Schmitz, Hubert, and Stamm, Andreas. 2008. “Breakthrough? China's and India's Transition from Production to Innovation.” World Development 36 (2): 325–44. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.worlddev.2007.06.011.Google Scholar
Amsden, Alice. 2001. The Rise of “The Rest”: Challenges to the West from Late-Industrializing Economies. Oxford, United Kingdom: Oxford University Press.Google Scholar
Anderson, Perry. 2011. “Lula's Brazil.” London Review of Books, Bloomsbury, United Kingdom.Google Scholar
ANFAVEA (Brazilian Automotive Industry Association). 2017. “Brazilian Automotive Industry Yearbook (Anuário Da Indústria Automobilística Brasileira).” São Paolo, Brazil.Google Scholar
Babb, Sarah. 2001. Managing Mexico: Economists from Nationalism to Neoliberalism. Princeton, NJ: Princeton University Press.Google Scholar
Ban, Cornel. 2013. “Brazil's Liberal Neo-Developmentalism: New Paradigm or Edited Orthodoxy?Review of International Political Economy 20 (2): 298331. https://doi.org/10.1080/09692290.2012.660183.Google Scholar
Barragán, Salvador, and Usher, John. 2009. “El Papel de Las Empresas Multinacionales En Los Países Huéspedes: Derramas Relacionadas Con La Presencia de Las Empresas Productoras de Automóviles En México.” Contaduría Y Administración (228): 83104.Google Scholar
Batista, Jorge Chami. 1992. Debt and Adjustment Policies in Brazil. Boulder, CO: Westview Press.Google Scholar
Bennett, Douglas C., and Sharpe, Kenneth E.. 1985. Transnational Corporations versus the State: The Political Economy of the Mexican Auto Industry. Princeton, NJ: Princeton University Press.Google Scholar
Birdsall, Nancy, and Fukuyama, Francis. 2011. “The Post-Washington Consensus: Development After the Crisis.” Foreign Affairs 90 (2): 4553.Google Scholar
Brainard, Lael, and Martinez-Diaz, Leonardo. 2009Brazil: The ‘B’ Belongs in the BRICs.” In Brazil as an Economic Superpower?, edited by Brainard, Lael and Martinez-Diaz, Leonardo, 116. Washington, D.C.: The Brookings Institution.Google Scholar
Bridgman, Benjamin, Victor, Gomes, and Arilton, Teixeira. 2011. “Threatening to Increase Productivity: Evidence from Brazil’s Oil Industry.World Development 39 (8): 13721385. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.worlddev.2011.01.001.Google Scholar
Carrillo, Jorge. 2004. “Transnational Strategies and Regional Development: The Case of GM and Delphi in Mexico.Industry and Innovation 11 (1–2): 127–53. https://doi.org/10.1080/1366271042000200484.Google Scholar
Carrillo, Jorge V. 1995. “Industrial Organization and Manufacturing Competitiveness in Developing Countries Flexible Production in the Auto Sector: Industrial Reorganization at Ford-Mexico.” World Development 23 (1): 87101. https://doi.org/10.1016/0305-750X(94)00108-B.Google Scholar
Chang, Ha-Joon. 2003. “Kicking Away the Ladder: Infant Industry Promotion in Historical Perspective.” Oxford Development Studies 31 (1): 2132. https://doi.org/10.1080/1360081032000047168.Google Scholar
Cimoli, Mario, Dosi, Giovanni, Nelson, Richard, and Stiglitz, Joseph. 2009a. “Institutions and Policies Shaping Industrial Development: An Introductory Note.” In Industrial Policy and Development: The Political Economy of Capabilities Accumulation, edited by Cimoli, Mario, Dosi, Giovanni, and Stiglitz, Joseph E. Initiative for Policy Dialogue. Oxford; Toronto: Oxford University Press, 1938.Google Scholar
Cimoli, Mario, Dosi, Giovanni, and Stiglitz, Joseph E. 2009b. Industrial Policy and Development: The Political Economy of Capabilities Accumulation. Oxford, United Kingdom: Oxford University Press.Google Scholar
Ciravegna, Luciano. 2003. “Global and Regional Integration of Production in the Mercosur Automotive Value Chains: The Case of Fiat.” In EADI Workshop. Università del Piemonte Orientale, Novara.Google Scholar
Consoni, Flavia, and Quadros, Ruy. 2006. “From Adaptation to Complete Vehicle Design: A Case Study of Product Development Capabilities in a Carmaker in Brazil.” International Journal of Technology Management 36 (1–3): 91107. https://doi.org/10.1504/IJTM.2006.009963.Google Scholar
Coutinho, Luciano, Carlos Ferraz, João, Nassif, André, and Oliva, Rafael. “Industrial Policy and Economic Transformation.” In The Oxford Handbook of Latin American Political Economy, edited by Santiso, Javier and Dayton-Johnson, Jeff. New York: Oxford University Press, 100132.Google Scholar
Cyert, Richard M., and March, James G.. 1963. Behavioral Theory of the Firm. Cambridge, MA: Wiley-Blackwell.Google Scholar
Da Motta Veiga, Pedro. 2009. “Brazil's Trade Policy: Moving Away from Old Paradigms?” In Brazil as an Economic Superpower?, edited by Brainard, Lael and Martinez-Diaz, Leonardo. Washington, D.C.: The Brookings Institution, 113–36.Google Scholar
Dantas, Eva, and Bell, Martin. 2009Latecomer Firms and the Emergence and Development of Knowledge Networks: The Case of Petrobras in Brazil.” Research Policy 38 (5): 829–44. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.respol.2009.01.007.Google Scholar
Dantas, Eva, and Bell, Martin. 2011. “The Co-Evolution of Firm-Centered Knowledge Networks and Capabilities in Late Industrializing Countries: The Case of Petrobras in the Offshore Oil Innovation System in Brazil.” World Development 39 (9): 1,570–91. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.worlddev.2011.02.002.Google Scholar
Domínguez, Jorge I., and Lawson, Chappell H.. 2004. Mexico's Pivotal Democratic Election: Candidates, Voters, and the Presidential Campaign of 2000. Stanford, CA: Stanford University Press.Google Scholar
Doner, Richard F. 2009. The Politics of Uneven Development: Thailand's Economic Growth in Comparative Perspective, 1st edition. New York: Cambridge University Press.Google Scholar
Doner, Richard F., Ritchie, Bryan K., and Slater, Dan. 2005. “Systemic Vulnerability and the Origins of Developmental States: Northeast and Southeast Asia in Comparative Perspective.” International Organization 59 (2): 327–61. https://doi.org/10.1017/S0020818305050113.Google Scholar
Fishlow, Albert. 2011. Starting Over: Brazil Since 1985. 1st edition,. Washington, D.C: Brookings Institution Press.Google Scholar
Flores-Macías, Francisco José. 2010. “Explaining the Behavior of State-Owned Enterprises : Mexico's Pemex in Comparative Perspective.” Thesis, Massachusetts Institute of Technology. http://dspace.mit.edu/handle/1721.1/62472.Google Scholar
Frieden, Jeffry A. 1987. “The Brazilian Borrowing Experience: From Miracle to Debacle and Back.” Latin American Research Review 22 (1): 95131.Google Scholar
Fuentes, A., and Pipkin, S.. 2016. “Self-Discovery in the Dark: The Demand Side of Industrial Policy in Latin America.” Review of International Political Economy 23 (1): 153183.Google Scholar
Furtado, André Tosi, and de Freitas, Adriana Gomes. 2000. “The Catch-up Strategy of Petrobrás through Cooperative R&D.” The Journal of Technology Transfer 25 (1): 2336. https://doi.org/10.1023/A:1007882903341.Google Scholar
Galano, Anthony III. 1994. “International Monetary Fund Response to the Brazilian Debt Crisis: Whether the Effects of Conditionality Have Undermined Brazil's National Sovereignty?Pace International Law Review 6 (2): 323.Google Scholar
Galli, E. 2011. “Frame analysis in environmental conflicts: the case of ethanol production in Brazil.” Doctoral dissertation, KTH Royal Institute of Technology.Google Scholar
Gatti, Wilian Jr. 2011. “O Envolvimiento de Fornecedores No Desenvolvimento Da Tecnologia Flex Fuel Nas Montadoras Brasileiras.” Revista Gestão & Tecnologia 11 (1): 87105.Google Scholar
Gereffi, Gary. 1999. “International Trade and Industrial Upgrading in the Apparel Commodity Chain.” Journal of International Economics 48 (1): 3770. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0022-1996(98)00075-0.Google Scholar
Gereffi, Gary, Humphrey, John, and Sturgeon, Timothy. 2005. “The Governance of Global Value Chains.” Review of International Political Economy 12 (1): 78104. https://doi.org/10.1080/09692290500049805.Google Scholar
Goldemberg, José. 2007. “Ethanol for a Sustainable Energy Future.” Science 315 (5,813): 808–10. https://doi.org/10.1126/science.1137013.Google Scholar
Grayson, George W. 1980. The Politics of Mexican Oil. Pittsburgh, PA: University Of Pittsburgh Press.Google Scholar
Haber, Stephen, Klein, Herbert S., Maurer, Noel, and Middlebrook, Kevin J.. 2008. Mexico since 1980, 1st edition. New York: Cambridge University Press.Google Scholar
Hall, Peter A. 1993. “Policy Paradigms, Social Learning, and the State: The Case of Economic Policymaking in Britain.” Comparative Politics 25 (3): 275–96. https://doi.org/10.2307/422246.Google Scholar
Hausmann, Ricardo, and Rodrik, Dani. 2003. “Economic Development as Self-Discovery.” Journal of Development Economics 72 (2): 603–33. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0304-3878(03)00124-X.Google Scholar
Humphrey, John, and Schmitz, Hubert. 2002. “How Does Insertion in Global Value Chains Affect Upgrading in Industrial Clusters?Regional Studies 36 (9): 1,017–27. https://doi.org/10.1080/0034340022000022198.Google Scholar
Kaplinsky, Raphael, and Morris, Mike. 2000. A Handbook for Value Chain Research. Sussex, United Kingdom: University of Sussex, Institute of Development Studies.Google Scholar
Kingstone, Peter R. 1999. Crafting Coalitions for Reform. University Park, PA: The Pennsylvania State University Press.Google Scholar
Kraemer-Mbula, Erika, and Wamae, Watu. 2010. Innovation and the Development Agenda. Ottawa, Canada: OECD Publishing / International Development Research Centre.Google Scholar
Lall, Sanjaya. 1992. “Technological Capabilities and Industrialization.” World Development 20 (2): 165–86. https://doi.org/10.1016/0305-750X(92)90097-F.Google Scholar
Lema, Rasmus, Quadros, Ruy, and Schmitz, Hubert. 2012. “Shifts in Innovation Power to Brazil and India: Insights from the Auto and Software Industries.” IDS Research Reports 2012 (73): 184. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.2040-0217.2012.00073_2.x.Google Scholar
Lustig, Nora Claudia. 1998. Mexico: The Remaking of an Economy, 2nd edition. Washington, D.C.: Brookings Institution Press.Google Scholar
Malerba, Franco, and Nelson, Richard. 2011. “Learning and Catching up in Different Sectoral Systems: Evidence from Six Industries.” Industrial and Corporate Change 20 (6): 1,645–75. https://doi.org/10.1093/icc/dtr062.Google Scholar
March, James G. 1991. “Exploration and Exploitation in Organizational Learning.” Organization Science 2 (1): 7187. https://doi.org/10.1287/orsc.2.1.71.Google Scholar
McDermott, Gerald A. 2007. “The Politics of Institutional Renovation and Economic Upgrading: Recombining the Vines That Bind in Argentina.” Politics & Society 35 (1): 103144.Google Scholar
McDermott, Gerald A., and Corredoira, Rafael A.. 2010. “Network Composition, Collaborative Ties, and Upgrading in Emerging-Market Firms: Lessons from the Argentine Autoparts Sector.” Journal of International Business Studies 41 (2): 308329.Google Scholar
Mendonça, Roberto Wagner, and de Oliveira, Luiz Guilherme. 2013. “Local Content Policy in the Brazilian Oil and Gas Sectoral System of Innovation.” Latin American Business Review 14 (3–4): 271–87. https://doi.org/10.1080/10978526.2013.833477.Google Scholar
Ministry of Economy and ProMéxico. 2016. The Mexican Automotive Industry: Current Situation, Challenges and Opportunities. Mexico City: Prómexico.Google Scholar
Moreno-Brid, Juan Carlos, and Ros, Jaime. 2009. Development and Growth in the Mexican Economy: A Historical Perspective: A Historical Perspective. Oxford, United Kingdom: Oxford University Press.Google Scholar
Nem Singh, Jewellord Tolentino. 2014Towards Post-Neoliberal Resource Politics? The International Political Economy (IPE) of Oil and Copper in Brazil and Chile.” New Political Economy 19 (3): 329–58. https://doi.org/10.1080/13563467.2013.779649.Google Scholar
Oliveira, Adilson de. 2012. “Brazil's Petrobras: Strategy and Performance.” In Oil and Governance: State-Owned Enterprises and the World Energy Supply, edited by Victor, David G. and Hults, David R.. New York: Cambridge University Press, 515–56.Google Scholar
Pack, Howard, and Saggi, Kamal. 2006. “Is There a Case for Industrial Policy? A Critical Survey.” The World Bank Research Observer 21 (2): 267–97. https://doi.org/10.1093/wbro/lkl001.Google Scholar
Pastor, Manuel. 1989. “Latin America, the Debt Crisis, and the International Monetary Fund.” Latin American Perspectives 16 (1): 79110.Google Scholar
Peres, Wilson, and Primi, Annalisa. 2009. Theory and Practice of Industrial Policy: Evidence from the Latin American Experience. Serie Desarrollo Productivo 187. Santiago, Chile: ECLAC. http://repositorio.cepal.org//handle/11362/4582.Google Scholar
Perez-Aleman, Paola, and Chaves Alves, Flavia. 2017. “Reinventing Industrial Policy at the Frontier: Catalysing Learning and Innovation in Brazil.” Cambridge Journal of Regions, Economy and Society 10 (1): 151–71. https://doi.org/10.1093/cjres/rsw038.Google Scholar
Philip, George. 1999. “The Political Constraints on Economic Policy in Post-1982 Mexico: The Case of Pemex.” Bulletin of Latin American Research 18 (1): 3550. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1470-9856.1999.tb00186.x.Google Scholar
Pinheiro, Armando Castelar, Bonelli, Regis, and Schneider, Ben Ross. 2004. “Pragmatic Policy in Brazil: The Political Economy of Incomplete Market Reform.” Texto Para Discussão (TD). Rio de Janeiro, Brazil: Instituto de Pesquisa Econômica Aplicada. http://repositorio.ipea.gov.br/handle/11058/1874.Google Scholar
Posthuma, Anne Caroline. 1995. “Restructuring and Changing Market Conditions in the Brazilian Auto Components Industry.” ECLAC/UNIDO Industrial and Technological Development Unit. http://repositorio.cepal.org//handle/11362/30372.Google Scholar
Prager, Gerald D. 1992. “Pemex at the Crossroads: A National Oil Industry in Crisis.” Houston Journal of International Law 15 (1993, 1992): 115.Google Scholar
Priest, Tyler. 2016. “Petrobras in The History of Offshore Oil.” In New Order and Progress: Development and Democracy in Brazil, edited by Ross Schneider, Ben, 1st edition. New York: Oxford University Press, 5377.Google Scholar
Quintanilla, Juan M., and Bauer, Mariano E.. 1995. “Mexican Oil and Energy Policy.” Challenge 38 (3): 2231. https://doi.org/10.1080/05775132.1995.11471824.Google Scholar
Randall, Laura. 1993. The Political Economy of Brazilian Oil. Westpost, CT: Praeger.Google Scholar
Reyes Hernández, Miguel, Moreno, Humberto Morales, López López, Miguel A., and Jiménez, Jorge Abascal. 2014. “The Denationalization of Pemex: Implications and Scope for Mexico.” Latin American Policy 5 (1): 132–56. https://doi.org/10.1111/lamp.12035.Google Scholar
Rocha, Geisa Maria. 1994. “Redefining the Role of the Bourgeoisie in Dependent Capitalist Development: Privatization and Liberalization in Brazil.” Latin American Perspectives 21 (1): 7298. https://doi.org/10.1177/0094582X9402100106.Google Scholar
Rodrik, Dani. 2004. “Industrial Policy for the Twenty-First Century.” SSRN Scholarly Paper. Rochester, NY: Social Science Research Network. http://papers.ssrn.com/abstract=666808.Google Scholar
Rodrik, Dani. 2014. “The Past, Present, and Future of Economic Growth.” Challenge 57 (3): 539. https://doi.org/10.2753/0577-5132570301.Google Scholar
Rosenstein-Rodan, P. N. 1943. “Problems of Industrialisation of Eastern and South-Eastern Europe.” The Economic Journal 53 (210/211): 202–11. https://doi.org/10.2307/2226317.Google Scholar
Ruiz Garcia, Claudia. 2015. “Internal and External Sources of Capacity Building in the Mexican Auto-Parts Industry.” Doctoral, University of Sussex. http://sro.sussex.ac.uk/53947/.Google Scholar
Schneider, Ben Ross. 2015. Designing Industrial Policy in Latin America: Business-State Relations and the New Developmentalism. New York: Palgrave Macmillan.Google Scholar
Sen, Amartya. 1983. “Development: Which Way Now?The Economic Journal 93 (372): 745–62. https://doi.org/10.2307/2232744.Google Scholar
Shapiro, Helen. 1994. Engines of Growth: The State and Transnational Auto Companies in Brazil. New York: Cambridge University Press.Google Scholar
Shields, David. 2006. “Pemex: Problems and Policy Options.” Policy Papers. Berkeley, CA: Center for Latin American Studies, University of California, Berkeley. http://escholarship.org/uc/item/3tw2m8qj.Google Scholar
Stiglitz, Joseph. 2008. “Is There a Post-Washington Consensus Consensus?” In The Washington Consensus Reconsidered: Towards a New Global Governance, edited by Serra, Narcís and Stiglitz, Joseph. Oxford, United Kingdom: Oxford University Press, 4156.Google Scholar
Stiglitz, Joseph E., Lin, Justin Y., and Monga, Celestin. 2013. “The Rejuvenation of Industrial Policy.” SSRN Scholarly Paper. Rochester, NY: Social Science Research Network. http://papers.ssrn.com/abstract=2333944.Google Scholar
Teichman, Judith A. 1988. Policymaking in Mexico: From Boom to Crisis. Boston, MA: Unwin Hyman.Google Scholar
Ubiraci Sennes, Ricardo, and Narciso, Thais. 2009. “Brazil as an International Energy Player.” In Brazil as an Economic Superpower?, edited by Brainard, Lael and Martinez-Diaz, Leonardo. Washington, D.C.: The Brookings Institution, 1755.Google Scholar
Victor, David G., Hults, David R., and Thurber, Mark C.. 2012. Oil and Governance: State-Owned Enterprises and the World Energy Supply. New York: Cambridge University Press.Google Scholar
Wade, Robert H. 2012. “Return of Industrial Policy?International Review of Applied Economics 26 (2): 223–39. https://doi.org/10.1080/02692171.2011.640312.Google Scholar
Warwick, Ken. 2013. “Beyond Industrial Policy: Emerging Issues and New Trends.” OECD Science, Technology and Industry Policy Papers. Paris: OECD Publishing. http://www.oecd-ilibrary.org/science-and-technology/beyond-industrial-policy_5k4869clw0xp-en.Google Scholar
Whittaker, D. Hugh, Zhu, Tianbiao, Sturgeon, Timothy, Tsai, Mon Han, and Okita, Toshie. 2010. “Compressed Development.” Studies in Comparative International Development 45 (4): 439–67.Google Scholar
World Bank. 2016b. “World Bank Open Data.” http://data.worldbank.org/.Google Scholar
Yu, A. S. O., Nascimento, P. T. de Souza, Nigro, F. E. B., Frederick, B. W. B., Varandas, A., Vieira, S. F. A., and Rocha, R. L.. 2010. “The Evolution of Flex-Fuel Technology in Brazil: The Bosch Case.” In PICMET 2010 Technology Management for Global Economic Growth. Phuket, Thailand, 111.Google Scholar
Zilbovicius, Mauro, Marx, Roberto, and Salerno, Mario Sergio. 2002. “A Comprehensive Study of the Transformation of the Brazilian Automotive Industry.” International Journal of Automotive Technology and Management 2 (1): 1023. https://doi.org/10.1504/IJATM.2002.000054.Google Scholar