Published online by Cambridge University Press: 10 November 2009
The authors tested predictions concerning the effects of respondents' identification with governing versus opposition political parties on feelings of political efficacy and trust, using data from the 1984 Canadian National Election Study. Dependent variables were political competence, perceived system responsiveness, and political trust, each measured federally and provincially. Respondents who supported the party in power scored significantly higher on perceived responsiveness and trust than those who supported opposition parties, although mainly at the provincial level. Whether respondents' preferred party was in power or not interacted with strength of party identification on the responsiveness and trust measures, both federally and provincially, as expected. Effects were much less pronounced for feelings of political competence. The authors suggest an interpretation to explain the weaker and inconsistent federal results. The article concludes with some observations concerning the relationship between partisanship, on the one hand, and efficacy and trust, on the other.
Les auteurs ont éprouvés les prédictions concernant les effets des répondants s'identifiant avec le parti gouvernant versus les partis à l'opposition, sur leurs sentiments d'efficacité et de confiance politique, utilisant les données de l'étude nationale électorale canadienne de 1984. Les variables dépendantes furent la compétence politique, la réponse perçue du système, et la confiance politique, chacune étant mesurée au niveau fédéral et provincial. Les répondants qui ont supportés les partis au pouvoir, ont marqués de façon hautement plus significative sur la réponse perÉue et la confiance, que ceux qui ont supportés les partis d'opposition, quoique surtout au niveau provincial. Que le parti de préférence du répondant fut au pouvoir ou non, il fut démontré qu'il y a une interaction avec le parti d'identification sur les mesures de réponse et de confiance, tant du côté fédéral que provipcial, tel qu'attendu. Ces effets furent beaucoup moins prononcés au niveau des sentiments de compétence politique. Les auteurs suggérent une interprétation afin d'expliquer les résultats plus faible et parfois inconsistant au niveau fédéral. Cet article conclu avec certaines observations concernant la relation entre être partisan, d'un côte, et l'efficacité et la confiance, de l'autre.
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6 Using data from the 1974 Canadian National Election Study, Kornberg, Clarke and LeDuc found that people who strongly identified with the Liberal party, then in power in Ottawa, were more likely to score higher on a feeling thermometer toward the federal government, than were supporters of other parties. They interpreted these findings by supposing that the “average citizens” in their study probably did not distinguish between “regime” and the “government of the day.” especially since the Liberal party had “formed the national government for 34 of the last 40 years.” See Kornberg, Allan, Clarke, Harold D. and LeDuc, Lawrence, “Some Correlates of Regime Support in Canada,” British Journal of Political Science 8 (1978), 201, 208CrossRefGoogle Scholar: see also Simeon and Elkins, Small Worlds, 58, 62. In his 1986 book. Public Opinion. Johnston subsumed efficacy under the rubric of “political support,” along with a wide variety of cognate variables. However, he did not take respondents' party attachments into account in his efforts to explain political support. In the United States, Aberbach found some evidence in 1958 and especially in 1964 for the partisan effect on the trust variable. These effects were demonstrated without benefit of statistical controls. Also in the United States, studies by Miller on political cynicism and by Wright on efficacy and trust have failed to find any effects for partisanship. See Aberbach, Joel D., “Alienation and Political Behavior,” American Political Science Review 63 (1969). 94CrossRefGoogle Scholar; Miller, Arthur H., “Political Issues and Trust in Government: 1964–1970,” American Political Science Review 68 (1974), 964CrossRefGoogle Scholar; Wright, James D., The Dissent of the Governed: Alienation and Democracy in America (New York: Academic Press, 1976), 153–55.Google Scholar
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10 Coleman and Davis, “Structural Contexts,” 190–94: Craig and Maggiotto, “Measuring Personal Efficacy,” 86.
11 Compare, Kornberg, Clarke and LeDuc, “Some Correlates,” 201, 208.
12 These might be reflected, for example, in the dramatic changes in the parties' standings in the polls during the month prior to election day. See B. J. Kay, S. D. Brown, J. E. Curtis, R. D. Lambert and J. M. Wilson. “The Character of Electoral Change: A Preliminary Report from the 1984 National Election Study,” paper presented at the Annual Meetings of the Canadian Political Science Association, Montreal, 1985, Figure I; Frizzell, Alan and Westell, Anthony, The Canadian General Election of 1984: Politicians, Parties, Press and Polls (Ottawa: Carleton University Press, 1985), chap. 4. On the relationship of party identification to efficacy and trust, see Simeon and Elkins, “Provincial Political Cultures,” 64–66.Google Scholar
13 Craig and Maggiotto, “Measuring Personal Efficacy.” 87; Kornberg et al., Representative Democracy, 82.
14 See, for example. Milbrath and Goel. Political Participation. 57–66: Abramson, Paul R. and Aldrich, John H.. “The Decline of Electoral Participation in America.” American Political Science Review 76 (1982), 502–21CrossRefGoogle Scholar: Guterbock, Thomas M. and London, Bruce, “Race, Political Orientation, and Participation: An Empirical Test of Four Competing Theories,” American Sociological Review 48 (1983), 439–53.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
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16 We wished to establish that our findings were not distorted by the practice of substituting the mean value for three items when the fourth item had produced a missing value. We therefore repeated all of the analyses for each of the trust scales only for those respondents who had answered all four items comprising the scale. These analyses yielded essentially the same pattern of results described in this study.
17 The partisanship variable was constructed from party identification rather than how people voted so that we could test the predictions involving strength of party identification. We performed supplementary analyses, however, in which respondents' federal votes were used to define partisanship. This alternative version of the partisanship variable was significantly associated with system responsiveness (F=5.65; p<.05), but not with political trust (F=0.32). Neither was it related with political competence (F=0.05). It does not appear from these findings that we have sacrificed stronger effects in order to test predictions involving strength of party identification.
18 We wondered whether the federal predictors would also be associated with the provincially-defined dependent measures. The effects for federal partisanship in these cross-over analyses were F=7.47 (p<.01) for competence, F=30.95 (p<.001) for responsiveness and F=47.87(p<.001) for trust. The Fs for the MP predictor were 2.22 (ns), 3.61 (ns)and 10.50 (p<.01), respectively. Once again, respondents who identified with their MPs' parties trusted their (provincial) governments less than respondents who identified with one of the other parties. In still other analyses, we observed that inclusion of the federal partisanship predictors along with the provincial predictors did not seriously impair the effects produced by the latter variables. To complete the cross-over picture, the provincial partisan measure failed as a predictor of the three federally-defined dependent variables.
19 In supplementary analyses, we checked for the effects of gender and age (coded 18–29; 30–39; 40–55; 56+) at both levels of government. First, neither variable affected the pattern of findings reported here. Second, gender had a significant effect on competence at the federal level (F=6.45; p<.01), but not on responsiveness or trust. Women felt less politically competent than men. When we analyzed the provincial-level variables for the national sample, gender was significantly associated with competence (F=6.12: p<.01) and trust (F=4.50; p<.05), but not with responsiveness. While women were lower on political competence and trust than men, they were higher on perceived responsiveness. Third, age was a significant predictor for competence at the federal level (F=7.26; p<.001), but it was inconsequential for the other two measures. In general, the oldest respondents tended to feel less effective. For the provincial-level variables, age was significantly associated with competence (F=7.55; p<.001) and trust (F=3.39; p<.05), but not with responsiveness. Older respondents tended to feel less competent and expressed more trust. On the relationships of demographic variables, especially gender and age, to efficacy and/or trust, see, for example, Cole, “Toward a Model of Political Trust,” 813; Sinclair. “Political Powerlessness.” 130–31; Kornberg, Mishler and Clarke, Representative Democracy, 82.
20 The three tables discussed here may be obtained from the authors.
21 For example, as discussed in Craig and Maggiotto, “Measuring Personal Efficacy,” 86.
22 Regional effects on efficacy and trust and differences between provincial and federal levels of these variables is the subject matter of a separate study.
23 We calculated partial correlations between the partisanship and dependent variables, controlling for education, strength of party identification, attention to politics, age, sex (provincially) and MP (federally). The correlations were calculated at the federal and the provincial levels with the variables appropriate to each level, and in spite of the fact that partisanship, sex and MP are binary variables. Federal partisanship was significant for responsiveness (r=.064: p<.001) and t rust (r=.037: p<.05), although its impact in both cases was obviously weak. Provincial partisanship, on the other hand, was significant at p<.001 for responsiveness (r= .218), trust (r= .249) and competence (r=.115). Provincially, nine of the ten correlations for responsiveness were significant at p<.05 or better. Only the figure for Prince Edward Island (r=-.093) failed to reach significance. As well, nine of the partial correlations for provincial trust were significant at p<.05 or better, including correlations of .274 in Quebec, .308 in New Brunswick and .342 in British Columbia. Only the partial correlation for PEI fell short of significance (r= .155).
24 The proximity principle is discussed in Brown and McMenemy, “Generality or Specificity,” 369–72.
25 On this point, we analyzed data from the 1974 Canadian National Election Study because the interviews were conducted following an election in which the incumbent Liberals were returned to power. The four trust items did not appear in this survey: as well, the four efficacy items were administered to only a half sample. Partisanship produced significant effects for perceived system responsiveness (F= 16.42, p<.001) and political competence (F=5.44, p<.05). When we constructed the partisanship variable in terms of respondents' reported vote in the 1974 election instead of their party identification, the effect was significant for responsiveness (F= 12.98, p<.001), but not for competence (F= 1.52). Analyses of the merged 1965 and 1968 data are presented in Simeon and Elkins, Small Worlds, 58, 62.
26 We assessed the effects of the partisanship variable in supplementary analyses, with “months since the last provincial election” as one of the control variables. Partisanship was unimpaired as a predictor of the three dependent variables. Since there were significant interactions between partisanship and months for responsiveness (F=3.66; p<.05) and for trust (F=4.03; p<.01), we constructed an interaction index from these two predictors. In separate analyses using this index, with controls, there appeared to be curvilinear relationships between time, on the one hand, and competence and trust, on the other, within levels of the partisanship variable. The responsiveness and trust scores were lowest for the most recent (1983) and the most remote (1981) provincial elections.
27 Kornberg, Clarke and LeDuc found that reportedinteraction with MPs and regime support were negatively associated. They speculated that this unexpected finding might be due to often unsatisfactory or mistaken attempts on the part of constituents to obtain the assistance of their MPs. See Kornberg et al., “Some Correlates,” 208, 209.
28 See Easton, David, “A Re-assessment of the Concept of Political Support,” British Journal of Political Science 5 (1975), 435–57; also Kornberg, Clarke and LeDuc, “Some Correlates,” 201, 208, and footnote 10 above.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
29 For example, see Manzer, Socio-Political Report, 322.
30 Noelle-Neumann, Elisabeth, The Spiral of Silence: Public Opinion—Our Social Skin (Chicago: University of Chicago Press, 1984), 1–8.Google Scholar
31 Ibid., 23–33.
32 Ibid., 170–73.