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The Politics of Tax States in the Canadian Provinces after the Golden Age

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  14 March 2016

Rodney Haddow
Rodney Haddow*
Affiliation:
University of Toronto
*
Department of Political Science, University of Toronto, 100 St. George St., Toronto, ON, M5S 3G3, Email: r.haddow@utoronto.ca
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Abstract

This article evaluates the impact of partisanship, globalization and postindustrialism on provincial revenues since 1980. It is often argued that the first of these no longer has an effect, while the second and third erode fiscal capacity. These arguments are assessed with multilevel models, hitherto little used for macro-level estimations in political science. This approach is particularly suited to testing these influences. The study finds that partisanship is, in fact, strongly associated with provincial revenues. Globalization and postindustrialism have a more muted effect, though alternative estimations support somewhat different conclusions regarding the former. The social preconditions of partisanship's impact, moreover, deserve more attention.

Résumé

Cet article évalue l'impact de l'esprit de parti, de la mondialisation et de la désindustrialisation sur les revenus provinciaux depuis 1980. Parmi ces facteurs, la littérature suggère que le premier n'a plus d'effet, alors que les deuxième et troisième minent la capacité fiscale des États. Ces arguments sont examinés à l'aide de modèles multi-niveaux, une approche particulièrement bien adaptée à l’étude de ces facteurs, bien que traditionnellement peu utilisée dans les estimations de données de niveau macro en science politique. L'étude conclut, d'une part, que l'esprit de parti et les revenus provinciaux sont fortement associés. D'autre part, l'article démontre que la mondialisation et la désindustrialisation ont un effet moindre, bien que d'autres estimations fournissent un portrait plus nuancé concernant l'impact de la mondialisation. Enfin, les conditions sociales déterminant l'effet l'esprit de parti méritent une plus grande attention de la part des chercheurs.

Type
Research Article
Information
Canadian Journal of Political Science/Revue canadienne de science politique , Volume 49 , Issue 1 , March 2016 , pp. 63 - 88
Copyright
Copyright © Canadian Political Science Association (l'Association canadienne de science politique) and/et la Société québécoise de science politique 2016 

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