Hostname: page-component-cd9895bd7-mkpzs Total loading time: 0 Render date: 2024-12-27T07:47:16.018Z Has data issue: false hasContentIssue false

DEMOGRAPHIC CHANGE AND PERCEPTIONS OF RACISM

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  25 August 2021

Christopher Maggio*
Affiliation:
The Graduate Center, City University of New York, NY, USA London School of Economics and Political Science, London, UK
*
Corresponding author: Christopher Maggio, The Graduate Center, City University of New York, 365 Fifth Avenue, New York, NY, 10018. London School of Economics and Political Science, Houghton Street, London WC2A 2AE. E-mail: cmaggio@gradcenter.cuny.edu; C.Maggio@lse.ac.uk

Abstract

Various research has demonstrated that rapid racial demographic change may aid in triggering various forms of backlash under certain conditions. This has led scholars to speak of Whites “defending” their local environment in the face of eroding racial dominance. However, little research has addressed how perceptions of racism among minorities may be triggered under conditions of demographic change. This study attempts to fill this gap in the literature by examining the relationship between racial demographic change for Blacks, Hispanics, and Asians and perceptions of racial problems among these groups in the United States. Using standard OLS regressions, ordered logistic regressions, multinomial logistic regressions, and techniques accounting for selection into treatment, I find that Blacks and Hispanics living in counties undergoing rapid growth of Black and Hispanic populations, respectively, have higher perceptions of racial problems. Asians show no evidence of increased perceptions of racial problems in counties undergoing rapid Asian growth. For Blacks, this relationship is concentrated among those without at least a four-year degree and residents of counties with lower initial White populations (and higher initial Black populations). For Hispanics, it is similarly concentrated among those without at least a four-year degree, but also is likely stronger among residents of counties with higher initial White populations (and lower initial Hispanic populations), highlighting unique racial dynamics. This research adds to a growing body of work showing the importance of examining demographic change at the local level in order to understand some of today’s most pressing political and social issues.

Type
State of the Art
Copyright
© The Author(s), 2021. Published by Cambridge University Press on behalf of Hutchins Center for African and African American Research

Access options

Get access to the full version of this content by using one of the access options below. (Log in options will check for institutional or personal access. Content may require purchase if you do not have access.)

References

REFERENCES

Allport, Gordon Willard (1954). The Nature of Prejudice. Boston, MA: Addison-Wesley Publishing Company.Google Scholar
Almeida, Joanna, Biello, Katie B., Pedraza, Francisco, Wintner, Suzanne, and Viruell-Fuentes, Edna (2016). The Association Between Anti-Immigrant Policies and Perceived Discrimination Among Latinos in the U.S.: A Multilevel Analysis. SSM-Population Health, 2: 897903.CrossRefGoogle ScholarPubMed
Ansolabehere, Stephen, and Schaffner, Brian (2017). Cooperative Congressional Election Study Common Content, 2016. https://dataverse.harvard.edu/dataset.xhtml?persistentId=doi%3A10.7910/DVN/GDF6Z0 (accessed February 10, 2019).Google Scholar
Baldassarri, Delia, and Park, Barum (2020). Was There a Culture War?: Polarization and Secular Trends in U.S. Public Opinion. Journal of Politics, 82(3).CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Benner, Aprile D., and Graham, Sandra (2011). Latino Adolescents’ Experiences of Discrimination Across the First 2 Years of High School: Correlates and Influences on Educational Outcomes. Child Development, 82(2): 508519.CrossRefGoogle ScholarPubMed
Blalock, Hubert M. (1956). Economic Discrimination and Negro Increase. American Sociological Review, 21(5): 584588.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Blalock, Hubert M. (1967). Toward a Theory of Minority-Group Relations. Hoboken, NJ: Wiley.Google Scholar
Bobo, Lawrence D., Charles, Camille Z., Krysan, Maria, and Simmons, Alicia D. (2012). The Real Record on Racial Attitudes. In Marsden, Peter V. (Ed.) Social Trends in American Life: Findings from the General Social Survey Since 1972, pp. 3883. Princeton, NJ: Princeton University Press.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Bryant, Z. Lois, and Coleman, Marilyn (1988). The Black Family as Portrayed in Introductory Marriage and Family Textbooks. Family Relations, 3: 255259.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Camacho, Gabriel, Allen, Aerielle, and Quinn, Diane (2019). Neighborhood Ethnic Composition and Perceived Discrimination Among Young Adult Latina/os: The Mediating Role of Ethnic Centrality. Hispanic Journal of Behavioral Sciences, 41(3): 331343.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Chavez, Leo R. (2008). The Latino Threat: Constructing Immigrants, Citizens, and the Nation. Palo Alto, CA: Stanford University Press.Google Scholar
Chou, Rosalind S., and Feagin, Joe R. (2008). The Myth of the Model Minority: Asian Americans Facing Racism. Boulder, CO: Paradigm Publishers.Google Scholar
Crenshaw, Kimberlé (1990). Mapping the Margins: Intersectionality, Identity Politics, and Violence Against Women of Color. Stanford Law Review, 43: 12411299.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Dailey, Amy B., Kasl, Stanislav V., Holford, Theodore R., Lewis, Tene T., and Jones, Beth A. (2010). Neighborhood-and Individual-Level Socioeconomic Variation in Perceptions of Racial Discrimination. Ethnicity & Health, 15(2): 145163.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Deitch, Elizabeth A., Barsky, Adam, Butz, Rebecca M., Chan, Suzanne, Brief, Arthur P., and Bradley, Jill C. (2003). Subtle yet Significant: The Existence and Impact of Everyday Racial Discrimination in the Workplace. Human Relations, 56(11): 12991324.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
DeSante, Christopher D., and Smith, Candis Watts (2017). Fear, Institutionalized Racism, and Empathy: The Underlying Dimensions of Whites’ Racial Attitudes. PS: Political Science & Politics, 17.Google Scholar
Dixon, Jeffrey C., and Rosenbaum, Michael S. (2004). Nice to Know You?: Testing Contact, Cultural, and Group Threat Theories of Anti-Black and Anti-Hispanic Stereotypes. Social Science Quarterly, 85(2): 257280.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Ebert, Kim, and Ovink, Sarah M. (2014). Anti-Immigrant Ordinances and Discrimination in New and Established Destinations. American Behavioral Scientist, 58(13): 17841804.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
English, Devin, Lambert, Sharon F., Evans, Michele K., and Zonderman, Alan B. (2014). Neighborhood Racial Composition, Racial Discrimination, and Depressive Symptoms in African Americans. American Journal of Community Psychology, 54 (3–4): 219228.CrossRefGoogle ScholarPubMed
Enos, Ryan D. (2016). What the Demolition of Public Housing Teaches Us About the Impact of Racial Threat on Political Behavior. American Journal of Political Science, 60(1): 123142.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Enos, Ryan D. (2017). The Space Between Us: Social Geography and Politics. Cambridge, UK: Cambridge University Press.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Feagin, Joe R. (1991). The Continuing Significance of Race: Antiblack Discrimination in Public Places. American Sociological Review, 56(1): 101116.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Fossett, Mark A., and Kiecolt, K. Jill (1989). The Relative Size of Minority Populations and White Racial Attitudes. Social Science Quarterly, 70(4): 820835.Google Scholar
Fox, Cybelle (2004). The Changing Color of Welfare?: How Whites’ Attitudes Toward Latinos Influence Support for Welfare. American Journal of Sociology, 110(3): 580625.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Frey, William (2004). The New Great Migration: Black Americans’ Return to the South, 1965–2000. Brookings. https://www.brookings.edu/research/the-new-great-migration-black-americans-return-to-the-south-1965-2000/ (accessed April 12, 2020).Google Scholar
Frymer, Paul, and Grumbach, Jacob (2021). Labor Unions and White Racial Politics. American Journal of Political Science. 65(1): 225240 CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Gaertner, Samuel, and Dovidio, John (1986). The Aversive Form of Racism. In Dovidio, John and Gaertner, Samuel (Eds.) Key Readings in Social Psychology. Stereotypes and Prejudice: Essential Readings, pp. 6189. Orlando, FL: Academic Press.Google Scholar
Gay, Claudine (2004). Putting Race in Context: Identifying the Environmental Determinants of Black Racial Attitudes. American Political Science Review, 98(4): 547562.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Glaser, James M. (1994). Back to the Black Belt: Racial Environment and White Racial Attitudes in the South. The Journal of Politics, 56(1): 2141.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Grattet, Ryken (2009). The Urban Ecology of Bias Crime: A Study of Disorganized and Defended Neighborhoods. Social Problems, 56(1): 132150.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Green, Donald P., Strolovitch, Dara Z., and Wong, Janelle S. (1998). Defended Neighborhoods, Integration, and Racially Motivated Crime. American Journal of Sociology, 104(2): 372403.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Ha, Shang E. (2010). The Consequences of Multiracial Contexts on Public Attitudes Toward Immigration. Political Research Quarterly, 63(1): 2942.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Hainmueller, Jens, and Hiscox, Michael J. (2010). Attitudes Toward Highly Skilled and Low-Skilled Immigration: Evidence from a Survey Experiment. American Political Science Review, 104(01): 6184.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Hainmueller, Jens, Hiscox, Michael J., and Margalit, Yotam (2015). Do Concerns About Labor Market Competition Shape Attitudes Toward Immigration?: New Evidence. Journal of International Economics, 97(1): 193207.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Hopkins, Daniel J. (2010). Politicized Places: Explaining Where and When Immigrants Provoke Local Opposition. American Political Science Review, 104(01): 4060.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Hopkins, Daniel J., Mummolo, Jonathan, Esses, Victoria M., Kaiser, Cheryl R., Marrow, Helen B., and McDermott, Monica (2016). Out of Context: The Absence of Geographic Variation in Us Immigrants’ Perceptions of Discrimination. Politics, Groups, and Identities, 4(3): 363392.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Horowitz, Juliana Menasce, Brown, Anna, and Cox, Kiana (2019). Views on Race in America 2019. Pew Research Center: Social & Demographic Trends Project. https://www.pewsocialtrends.org/2019/04/09/race-in-america-2019/ (accessed June 15, 2020).Google Scholar
Hosoda, Megumi, Nguyen, Lam T., and Stone-Romero, Eugene F. (2012). The Effect of Hispanic Accents on Employment Decisions. Journal of Managerial Psychology, 27(4): 347364.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Huber, Chuck, and Drukker, David (2015). Introduction to Treatment Effects in Stata: Part 1. The Stata Blog. July 7. https://blog.stata.com/2015/07/07/introduction-to-treatment-effects-in-stata-part-1/ (accessed Feb 12, 2019).Google Scholar
Hunt, Matthew O., Wise, Lauren A., Jipguep, Marie-Claude, Cozier, Yvette C., and Rosenberg, Lynn (2007). Neighborhood Racial Composition and Perceptions of Racial Discrimination: Evidence from the Black Women’s Health Study. Social Psychology Quarterly, 70(3): 272289.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Iceland, John (2009). Where We Live Now: Immigration and Race in the United States. Berkeley, CA: University of California Press.Google Scholar
Jiménez, Tomás (2010). Replenished Ethnicity: Mexican Americans, Immigration, and Identity. Berkeley, CA: University of California Press.Google Scholar
Jones, Jennifer A. (2019). The Browning of the New South. Chicago, IL: The University of Chicago Press.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Kendi, Ibram X. (2017). Stamped from the Beginning: The Definitive History of Racist Ideas in America. New York: Random House.Google Scholar
Key, Valdimer Orlando Jr. (1949). Southern Politics in State and Nation. New York: Knopf.Google Scholar
Kurotani, Sawa (2005). The South Meets the East: Japanese Professionals in North Carolina’s Research Triangle. In Peacock, James L., Watson, Harry L., and Matthews, Carrie R. (Eds.) The American South in a Global World, pp. 175191. Chapel Hill, NC: The University of North Carolina Press.Google Scholar
Leip, David (2017). 2016 Presidential Election Data. Dave Leip’s Atlas of U.S. Presidential Elections. http://uselectionatlas.org (accessed February 14, 2020).Google Scholar
Lopez, Mark Hugo, Gonzalez-Barrera, Ana, and Krogstad, Jens Manuel (2018). More Latinos Have Serious Concerns About Their Place in America Under Trump. Pew Research Center: Hispanic Trends. https://www.pewresearch.org/hispanic/2018/10/25/latinos-and-discrimination/ (accessed June 15, 2020).Google Scholar
Louie, Vivian (2012). Keeping the Immigrant Bargain: The Costs and Rewards of Success in America. New York: Russell Sage Foundation.Google Scholar
Lyons, Christopher J. (2008). Defending Turf: Racial Demographics and Hate Crime Against Blacks and Whites. Social Forces, 87(1): 357385.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Marrow, Helen (2011). New Destination Dreaming: Immigration, Race, and Legal Status in the Rural American South. Palo Alto, CA: Stanford University Press.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Maggio, Christopher (2021). Demographic Change and the 2016 Presidential Election. Social Science Research, 95: 102459.CrossRefGoogle ScholarPubMed
Massey, Douglas S. (2008). New Faces in New Places: The Changing Geography of American Immigration. New York: Russell Sage Foundation.Google Scholar
McDermott, Monica (2011). Racial Attitudes in City, Neighborhood, and Situational Contexts. The ANNALS of the American Academy of Political and Social Science, 634(1): 153173.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
McElwee, Sean (2018). The Rising Racial Liberalism of Democratic Voters. The New York Times. May 23. https://www.nytimes.com/2018/05/23/opinion/democrats-race.html (accessed April 12, 2020).Google Scholar
McIntosh, Kriston, Moss, Emily, Nunn, Ryan, and Shambaugh, Jay (2020). Examining the Black-White Wealth Gap. Brookings. https://www.brookings.edu/blog/up-front/2020/02/27/examining-the-black-white-wealth-gap/ (accessed April 12, 2020).Google Scholar
McIntosh, Peggy (1989). White Privilege: Unpacking the Invisible Knapsack. Peace and Freedom. https://psychology.umbc.edu/files/2016/10/White-Privilege_McIntosh-1989.pdf (accessed January 14, 2021).Google Scholar
Newman, Benjamin J. (2013). Acculturating Contexts and Anglo Opposition to Immigration in the United States. American Journal of Political Science, 57(2): 374390.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Newman, Benjamin J., Shah, Sono, and Collingwood, Loren (2018). Race, Place, and Building a Base: Latino Population Growth and the Nascent Trump Campaign for President. Public Opinion Quarterly, 82(1): 122134.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Newman, Benjamin J., and Velez, Yamil (2014). Group Size Versus Change?: Assessing Americans’ Perception of Local Immigration. Political Research Quarterly, 67(2): 293303.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Pachter, Lee M., Szalacha, Laura A., Bernstein, Bruce A., and Coll, Cynthia García (2010). Perceptions of Racism in Children and Youth (PRaCY): Properties of a Self-Report Instrument for Research on Children’s Health and Development. Ethnicity & Health, 15(1): 3346.CrossRefGoogle ScholarPubMed
Pérez, Debra Joy, Fortuna, Lisa, and Alegria, Margarita (2008). Prevalence and Correlates of Everyday Discrimination Among U.S. Latinos. Journal of Community Psychology, 36(4): 421433.CrossRefGoogle ScholarPubMed
Perry, Barbara (2014). Exploring the Community Impacts of Hate Crime. In Hall, Nathan, Corb, Abbee, and Grieve, John (Eds.) The Routledge International Handbook on Hate Crime, pp. 6576. Abingdon, UK: Routledge.Google Scholar
Pettigrew, Thomas F., and Tropp, Linda R. (2006). A Meta-Analytic Test of Intergroup Contact Theory. Journal of Personality and Social Psychology, 90(5): 751783.CrossRefGoogle ScholarPubMed
Pettigrew, Thomas F. (2009). Secondary Transfer Effect of Contact: Do Intergroup Contact Effects Spread to Noncontacted Outgroups? Social Psychology, 40(2): 5565.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Pew Research Center (2007). 2007 National Survey of Latinos: As Illegal Immigration Issue Heats up, Hispanics Feel a Chill. Pew Research Center’s Hispanic Trends. December 13. https://www.pewresearch.org/hispanic/2007/12/13/iv-perceptions-of-discrimination/ (accessed April 6, 2020).Google Scholar
Pew Research Center (2015). Modern Immigration Wave Brings 59 Million to U.S., Driving Population Growth and Change Through 2065: Views of Immigration’s Impact on U.S. Society Mixed. http://www.pewhispanic.org/2015/09/28/modern-immigration-wave-brings-59-million-to-u-s-driving-population-growth-and-change-through-2065/ (accessed October 9, 2019).Google Scholar
Pew Research Center (2017). Majority Says Country Needs to Continue Making Changes for Racial Equality. Pew Research Center: U.S. Politics & Policy. October 4. https://www.people-press.org/2017/10/05/4-race-immigration-and-discrimination/4_1-10/ (accessed April 12, 2020).Google Scholar
Pezzella, Frank S., Fetzer, Matthew D., and Keller, Tyler (2019). The Dark Figure of Hate Crime Underreporting. American Behavioral Scientist, 124.Google Scholar
Ramakrishnan, Karthick, Wong, Janelle, Lee, Jennifer, and Lee, Taeku (2017). 2016 Post-Election National Asian American Survey. National Asian American Survey. May 16. http://naasurvey.com/wp-content/uploads/2017/05/NAAS16-post-election-report.pdf (accessed September 15, 2019).Google Scholar
Rieder, Jonathan (1985). Canarsie: The Jews and Italians of Brooklyn Against Liberalism. Cambridge, MA: Harvard University Press.Google Scholar
Roth, Wendy (2008). ‘There Is No Racism Here’: Understanding Latinos’ Perceptions of Color Discrimination Through Sending-Receiving Society Comparison. In Hall, Ronald E. (Ed.) Racism in the 21st Century, pp. 205234. Berline, DE: Springer.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Sall, Dialika (2019). Selective Acculturation Among Low-Income Second-Generation West Africans. Journal of Ethnic and Migration Studies, 46(11): 21992217 CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Schelling, Thomas (1972). A Process of Residential Segregation: Neighborhood Tipping. In Pascal, Anthony (Ed.) Racial Discrimination in Economic Life, pp. 157184. Lexington, MA: D.C. Heath.Google Scholar
Schildkraut, Deborah J. (2005). The Rise and Fall of Political Engagement Among Latinos: The Role of Identity and Perceptions of Discrimination. Political Behavior, 27(3): 285312.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Sears, David O. (1983). The Person-Positivity Bias. Journal of Personality and Social Psychology, 44(2): 233.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Sides, John (2017). Race, Religion, and Immigration in 2016: How the Debate over American Identity Shaped the Election and What It Means for a Trump Presidency. Washington, DC: Democracy Fund Voter Study Group.Google Scholar
Stacey, Michele, Carbone-López, Kristin, and Rosenfeld, Richard (2011). Demographic Change and Ethnically Motivated Crime: The Impact of Immigration on Anti-Hispanic Hate Crime in the United States. Journal of Contemporary Criminal Justice, 27(3): 278298.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
StataCorp (2013). Stata Treatment-Effects Reference Manual: Potential Outcomes/Counterfactual Outcomes. https://www.stata.com/manuals13/te.pdf (accessed March 1, 2020).Google Scholar
Stewart, Eric, Baumer, Eric, Brunson, Rod, and Simons, Ronald (2009). Neighborhood Racial Context and Perceptions of Police-Based Racial Discrimination Among Black Youth. Criminology, 47(3): 847887.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Stuesse, Angela (2009). Race, Migration, and Labor Control: Neoliberal Challenges to Organizing Mississippi’s Poultry Workers. In Lacy, Elaine Cantrell and Odem, Mary E. (Eds.) Latino Immigrants and the Transformation of the U.S. South, pp. 91111. Athens, GA: University of Georgia Press.Google Scholar
Suttles, Gerald D. (1972). The Social Construction of Communities. Chicago, IL: University of Chicago Press.Google Scholar
Swim, Janet K., Hyers, Lauri L., Cohen, Laurie L., Fitzgerald, Davita C., and Bylsma, Wayne H. (2003). African American College Students’ Experiences with Everyday Racism: Characteristics of and Responses to These Incidents. Journal of Black Psychology, 29(1): 3867.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Taylor, Marylee C. (1998). How White Attitudes Vary with the Racial Composition of Local Populations: Numbers Count. American Sociological Review, 63(4): 512535.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Telles, Edward E., and Sue, Christina A. (2019). Durable Ethnicity: Mexican Americans and the Ethnic Core. Oxford, UK: Oxford University Press.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Tuan, Mia (1998). Forever Foreigners Or Honorary Whites?: The Asian Ethnic Experience Today. New Brunswick, NJ: Rutgers University Press.Google Scholar
U.S. Census Bureau (2001). U.S. Decennial Census 2000. Prepared by Social Explorer. https://www.socialexplorer.com.Google Scholar
U.S. Census Bureau (2015). American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates 2010–2014. Prepared by Social Explorer. https://www.socialexplorer.com.Google Scholar
Welch, Susan, Sigelman, Lee, Bledsoe, Timothy, and Combs, Michael (2001). Race and Place: Race Relations in an American City. Cambridge, UK: Cambridge University Press.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Western, Bruce, and Pettit, Becky (2010). Incarceration and Social Inequality. Daedalus, 139(3): 819.CrossRefGoogle ScholarPubMed
Wilkerson, Isabel (2010). The Warmth of Other Suns: The Epic Story of America’s Great Migration. New York: Knopf Doubleday Publishing Group.Google Scholar
Williams, Robin M. Jr. (1947). The Reduction of Intergroup Tensions. New York: Social Science Research Council.Google Scholar
Wingfield, Adia Harvey (2007). The Modern Mammy and the Angry Black Man: African American Professionals’ Experiences with Gendered Racism in the Workplace. Race, Gender & Class, 14(1-2): 196212.Google Scholar
Wodtke, Geoffrey T. (2012). The Impact of Education on Intergroup Attitudes: A Multiracial Analysis. Social Psychology Quarterly, 75(1): 80106.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Yglesias, Matthew (2019). The Great Awokening. Vox. April 1. https://www.vox.com/2019/3/22/18259865/great-awokening-white-liberals-race-polling-trump-2020 (accessed April 12, 2020).Google Scholar
Zong, Jie, and Batalova, Jeanne (2016). Asian Immigrants in the United States. Migration Policy Institute. January 6. https://www.migrationpolicy.org/article/asian-immigrants-united-states (accessed September 15, 2019).Google Scholar