Hostname: page-component-78c5997874-s2hrs Total loading time: 0 Render date: 2024-11-10T17:36:32.524Z Has data issue: false hasContentIssue false

Bridging climate science to adaptation action in data sparse Tanzania

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  28 January 2014

EVAN H. GIRVETZ*
Affiliation:
The Nature Conservancy, Central Science Division, 1917 First Avenue Seattle, WA 98101, USA International Center for Tropical Agriculture (CIAT), PO Box 823-00621, Nairobi, Kenya
ELIZABETH GRAY
Affiliation:
The Nature Conservancy, Africa Program, 1917 First Avenue Seattle, WA 98101, USA
TIMOTHY H. TEAR
Affiliation:
The Grumeti Fund, PO Box 0, Mawalla Park, Olasiti Road, Arusha, Tanzania
MATTHEW A. BROWN
Affiliation:
The Nature Conservancy, Africa Program, Plot 16002 Mawalla Street, PO Box 13265 (Meru Branch), Arusha, Tanzania
*
*Correspondence: Dr Evan Girvetz e-mail: e.girvetz@cgiar.org

Summary

In the face of an already changing climate, conservation practitioners and local communities face the major challenge of how to plan for a future climate. In data-sparse areas of the world, where action is often most needed, the daunting scope of the problem can lead to inaction. This paper shows that climate adaptation planning can be accomplished successfully with publicly and globally available data by linking science and stakeholders through a facilitated process. Working with local stakeholders in the western Tanzanian Greater Mahale and Greater Gombe Ecosystems, future climate projections produced using Climate Wizard and analyses of literature provided an understanding of the climate vulnerabilities of local ecosystems and human livelihoods. Facilitated workshops enabled local stakeholders to use this information to develop conceptual models and hypotheses of change for these systems, and to identify possible modifications to conservation plans. Here, climate change planning required the modification of most current conservation strategies, developing some new strategies and abandoning others. The paper indicates that climate adaptation planning is achievable even in data-sparse rural and developing areas, but requires appropriate scientific analyses, engaged stakeholders and a facilitated process.

Type
THEMATIC SECTION: Spatial Simulation Models in Planning for Resilience
Copyright
Copyright © Foundation for Environmental Conservation 2014 

Access options

Get access to the full version of this content by using one of the access options below. (Log in options will check for institutional or personal access. Content may require purchase if you do not have access.)

References

Agrawala, S., Moehner, A., Hemp, A., van Aalst, M., Hitz, S., Smith, J., Meena, H., Mwakifwamba, S.M., Hyera, T. & Mwaipopo, O.U. (2003) Development and climate change in Tanzania: focus on Mount Kilimanjaro. Report COM/ENV/EPOC/DCD/DAC(2003)5/FINAL. Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development, Paris, France: 72 pp. [www document]. URL http://www.oecd.org/env/cc/21058838.pdf Google Scholar
Boko, M., Niang, I., Nyong, A., Vogel, C., Githeko, A., Medany, M., Osman-Elasha, B., Tabo, R. & Yanda, P. (2007) Africa. In: Climate Change 2007: Impacts, Adaptation and Vulnerability. Contribution of Working Group II to the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, ed. Parry, J.P., Canziani, O.F., Palutikof, J.P., van der Linden, P.J. & Hanson, C.E., pp. 433467. Cambridge, UK: Cambridge University Press.Google Scholar
Brown, M.E. & Funk, C.C. (2008) Climate. Food security under climate change. Science 319 (5863): 580581.CrossRefGoogle ScholarPubMed
Charlton, M.B. & Arnell, N.W. (2011) Adapting to climate change impacts on water resources in England: an assessment of draft water resources management plans. Global Environmental Change-Human and Policy Dimensions 21 (1): 238248.Google Scholar
Cross, M.S., Zavaleta, E.S., Bachelet, D., Brooks, M.L., Enquist, C.A.F., Fleishman, E., Graumlich, L.J., Groves, C.R., Hannah, L., Hansen, L., Hayward, G., Koopman, M., Lawler, J.J., Malcolm, J., Nordgren, J., Petersen, B., Rowland, E.L., Scott, D., Shafer, S.L., Shaw, M.R. & Tabor, G.M. (2012) The adaptation for conservation targets (ACT) framework: a tool for incorporating climate change into natural resource management. Environmental Management 50 (3): 341351.CrossRefGoogle ScholarPubMed
Dudley, J.P., Criag, G.C., Gibson, D.S., Haynes, G. & Klimowicz, J. (2001) Drought mortality of bush elephants in Hwange National Park, Zimbabwe. African Journal of Ecology 39 (2): 187194.Google Scholar
Funk, C., Dettinger, M.D., Michaelsen, J.C., Verdin, J.P., Brown, M.E., Barlow, M. & Hoell, A. (2008) Warming of the Indian Ocean threatens eastern and southern African food security but could be mitigated by agricultural development. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences USA 105 (32): 1108111086.CrossRefGoogle ScholarPubMed
Girvetz, E.H., Zganjar, C., Raber, G.T., Maurer, E.P., Kareiva, P. & Lawler, J.J. (2009) Applied climate-change analysis: the Climate Wizard tool. PLoS One 4 (12): e8320.Google Scholar
Ham, S.H. (1992) Environmental Interpretation: A Practical Guide for People with Big Ideas and Small Budgets. Denver, CO, USA: Fulcrum Publishing.Google Scholar
Hess, S. & Leisher, C. (2011) Baseline study for the Tuungane Health and Conservation Project. Report. The Nature Conservancy, Arlington, VA, USA: 79 pp. [www document]. URL https://www.conservationgateway.org/Documents/Tuungane Baseline Report.pdfGoogle Scholar
Lawler, J.J., Tear, T.H., Pyke, C., Shaw, M.R., Gonzalez, P., Kareiva, P., Hansen, L., Hannah, L., Klausmeyer, K., Aldous, A., Bienz, C. & Pearsall, S. (2010) Resource management in a changing and uncertain climate. Frontiers in Ecology and the Environment 8 (1): 3543.Google Scholar
Lehmann, J., Korstjens, A.H. & Dunbar, R.I.M. (2010) Apes in a changing world: the effects of global warming on the behaviour and distribution of African apes. Journal of Biogeography 37 (12): 22172231.Google Scholar
Moyer, D., Plumptre, A., Pintea, L., Hernandez-Aguilar, A., Moore, J., Stewart, F., Davenport, T., Piel, A., Kamenya, S., Mugabe, H., Mpunga, N. & Mwangoka, M., eds (2006) Surveys of chimpanzees and other biodiversity in Western Tanzania: Report to United States Fish and Wildlife Service. Wildlife Conservation Society, Jane Goodall Institute & University of California at San Diego, San Diego, CA, USA: 65 pp. [www document]. URL http://weber.ucsd.edu/~jmoore/courses/methprimconsweb08/MoyerEtAl2006WCSTanzania.pdf Google Scholar
Myers, S.S. & Patz, J.A. (2009) Emerging threats to human health from global environmental change. Annual Review of Environment and Resources 34: 223252.Google Scholar
O'Reilly, C.M., Alin, S.R., Pilsnier, P.-D., Cohen, A.S. & McKee, B.A. (2003) Climate change decreases aquatic ecosystem productivity of Lake Tanganyika, Africa. Nature 424: 766768.Google Scholar
Orindi, V.A. & Murray, L.A. (2005) Adapting to climate change in East Africa: a strategic approach. Report. Gatekeeper Series 117, International Institute for Environment and Development, London, UK.Google Scholar
Plumptre, A.J., Davenport, T.R.B., Behanyana, M., Kityo, R., Eilu, G., Ssegawa, P., Ewango, C., Meirte, D., Kahindo, C., Herremans, M., Peterhans, J.K., Pilgrim, J.D., Wilson, M., Languy, M. & Moyer, D. (2007) The biodiversity of the Albertine Rift. Biological Conservation 134 (2): 178194.Google Scholar
Poiani, K.A., Goldman, R.L., Hobson, J., Hoekstra, J.M. & Nelson, K.S. (2011) Redesigning biodiversity conservation projects for climate change: examples from the field. Biodiversity and Conservation 20 (1): 185201.Google Scholar
Roberts, D. (2008) Thinking globally, acting locally: institutionalizing climate change at the local government level in Durban, South Africa. Environment and Urbanization 20 (2): 521537.Google Scholar
Schwartz, M.W., Deiner, K., Forrester, T., Grof-Tisza, P., Muir, M.J., Santos, M.J., Souza, L.E., Wilkerson, M.L. & Zylberberg, M. (2012) Perspectives on the open standards for the practice of conservation. Biological Conservation 155 (0): 169177.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Tanzania National Bureau of Statistics (2011) Tanzania Demographic and Health Survey 2010. Dar es Salaam, Tanzania: National Bureau of Statistics: 482 pp.Google Scholar
Tierney, J.E., Mayes, M.T., Meyer, N., Johnson, C., Swarzenski, P.W., Cohen, A.S. & Russell, J.M. (2010) Late-twentieth-century warming in Lake Tanganyika unprecedented since AD 500. Nature Geoscience 3 (6): 422425.Google Scholar
Werger, M.J.A. & Coetzee, B.J. (1978) The Sudano-Zambezian region. In: Biogeography and Ecology of Southern Africa, ed. Werger, M.J.A., pp. 301–462. The Hague, The Netherlands: W. Junk.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Wolock, D. M. & McCabe, G. J. (1999) Explaining spatial variability in mean annual runoff in the conterminous United States. Climate Research 11 (2): 149159.CrossRefGoogle Scholar