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Predicting tuberculosis among migrant groups

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  10 January 2003

R. E. WATKINS  and
A. J. PLANT
R. E. WATKINS
Affiliation:
Division of Health Sciences, Curtin University of Technology, GPO Box U1987 Perth, Western Australia 6845
A. J. PLANT
Affiliation:
Division of Health Sciences, Curtin University of Technology, GPO Box U1987 Perth, Western Australia 6845
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Abstract

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In industrialized countries migrants remain a high-risk group for tuberculosis (TB). Multiple linear regression analysis was used to determine the ability of indicators of TB incidence in the country of birth to predict the incidence of TB among migrants in Australia during 1997. World Health Organization total case notifications, new smear-positive case notifications and the estimated incidence of TB by country of birth explained 55, 69 and 87% of the variance in TB incidence in Australia, respectively. Gross national income of the country of birth and unemployment level in Australia were also significant predictors of TB in migrant groups. Indicators of the incidence of TB in the country of birth are the most important group-level predictors of the rate of TB among migrants in Australia.

Type
Research Article
Information
Epidemiology & Infection , Volume 129 , Issue 3 , December 2002 , pp. 623 - 628
Copyright
2002 Cambridge University Press