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Optional splitting formula in a progressively enlargedfiltration

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  29 October 2014

Shiqi Song
Shiqi Song*
Affiliation:
Laboratoire Analyse et Probabilités, Université d’Evry Val D’Essonne, 23 Bd de France, 91037 Evry cedex, France. shiqi.song@univ-evry.fr
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Abstract

Let \hbox{$\mathbb{F}^{}_{}$}F be a filtration and τ be a random time. Let \hbox{$\mathbb{G}^{}_{}$}G be the progressive enlargement of \hbox{$\mathbb{F}^{}_{}$}F with τ. We study the following formula, called the optional splitting formula: For any \hbox{$\mathbb{G}^{}_{}$}G-optional process Y, there exists an \hbox{$\mathbb{F}^{}_{}$}F-optional process Y′ and a function Y′′ defined on [0,∞] × (ℝ+ × Ω) being \hbox{$\mathcal{B}[0,\infty]\otimes\mathcal{O}(\mathbb{F}^{}_{})$}ℬ[0,∞]⊗𝒪(F) measurable, such that \hbox{$Y=Y'\mathds{1}^{}_{[0,\tau)}+Y''(\tau)\mathbb{1}^{}_{[\tau,\infty)}.$}Y=Y′1[0,τ)+Y′′(τ)1[τ,∞). (This formula can also be formulated for multiple random times τ1,...,τk). We are interested in this formula because of its fundamental role in many recent papers on credit risk modeling, and also because of the fact that its validity is limited in scope and this limitation is not sufficiently underlined. In this paper we will determine the circumstances in which the optional splitting formula is valid. We will then develop practical sufficient conditions for that validity. Incidentally, our results reveal a close relationship between the optional splitting formula and several measurability questions encountered in credit risk modeling. That relationship allows us to provide simple answers to these questions.

Keywords

Optional processprogressive enlargement of filtrationcredit risk modelingconditional density hypothesis

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Type
Research Article
Information
ESAIM: Probability and Statistics , Volume 18 , 2014 , pp. 829 - 853
Copyright
© EDP Sciences, SMAI 2014

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