Published online by Cambridge University Press: 17 August 2010
Although higher murder rates have traditionally been associated with large cities, this view has recently been challenged by several historians who have argued that ‘homicide rates were negatively correlated with urbanisation and industrialisation’, and this is rapidly becoming the new consensus. By exploring the geography of homicide rates for one area undergoing rapid urbanization and industrialization – England and Wales, 1780–1850 – this article challenges this new view and re-assesses the relationship between recorded homicide rates and both modernization and urbanization. After discussing the methodological problems involved in using homicide statistics, it focuses mainly on the first fifteen years for which detailed county-based data is available – 1834–48 – as well as looking at the more limited late eighteenth-century and early nineteenth-century evidence. This data raises fundamental questions about the links historians have recently made between urbanization and low homicide rates, since the remote rural parts of England and Wales generally had very low recorded murder rates while industrializing and rapidly urbanizing areas such as Lancashire had very high ones. Potential explanations for these systematic and large variations between urban and rural areas – including the impact of age structures and migration patterns – are then explored.
The author would like to thank John Carter Wood, Ros Crone, Steve King, and all those who gave comments on this paper at the ‘History of crime’ Conference at the Open University, February 2009 as well as Bridget Lewis and Philippa Mitchell for their research assistance.
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95 However Eisner's current research using smaller administrative units within countries (similar to Figure 2) will hopefully provide the data needed.
96 E. Ferri, L'Omicidio (Turin, 1895), pp. 281–325.