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Risk period for transmission of SARS-CoV-2 and seasonal influenza: a rapid review

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  24 February 2025

Erin C. Stone*
Affiliation:
Hubert Department of Global Health, Laney Graduate School, Emory University, Atlanta, GA, USA Prevention and Response Branch, Division of Healthcare Quality Promotion, National Center for Emerging and Zoonotic Infectious Diseases, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, GA, USA
Devon L. Okasako-Schmucker
Affiliation:
Prevention and Response Branch, Division of Healthcare Quality Promotion, National Center for Emerging and Zoonotic Infectious Diseases, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, GA, USA
Joanna Taliano
Affiliation:
Office of Science Quality and Library Services (OSQLS), Office of Science (OS), Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC), Atlanta, GA, USA
Melissa Schaefer
Affiliation:
Prevention and Response Branch, Division of Healthcare Quality Promotion, National Center for Emerging and Zoonotic Infectious Diseases, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, GA, USA
David T. Kuhar
Affiliation:
Hubert Department of Global Health, Laney Graduate School, Emory University, Atlanta, GA, USA
*
Corresponding author: Erin Stone; Email: wei0@cdc.gov
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Abstract

Background:

Restricting infectious healthcare workers (HCWs) from the workplace is an important infection prevention strategy. The duration of viral shedding or symptoms are often used as proxies for the infectious period in adults but may not accurately estimate it.

Objective:

To determine the risk period for transmission among previously healthy adults infected with SARS-CoV-2 omicron variant (omicron) or influenza A (influenza) by examining the duration of shedding and symptoms, and day of symptom onset in secondary cases of transmission pairs.

Design:

Rapid review

Methods:

This rapid review adhered to PRISMA-ScR; five databases were searched. The cumulative daily proportion of participants with an outcome of interest was calculated for each study and summarized.

Results:

Forty-three studies were included. Shedding resolved among ≥ 70% of participants by the end of day nine post symptom onset for omicron, and day seven for influenza; and for ≥ 90% of participants, by the end of day 10 for omicron and day nine for influenza. Two studies suggested shedding continues > 24 hours post-fever resolution for both viruses. Symptom onset occurred in ≥ 80% of secondary cases by the end of day seven post-primary case symptom onset for omicron and day six for influenza.

Conclusions:

Omicron shedding is consistent with previous recommendations to exclude infected HCWs from work for 10 days; and influenza follows a similar trend. Earlier symptom onset in most secondary cases for both pathogens indicates that, despite persistent viral shedding, most transmission occurs earlier; and the cumulative serial interval might better approximate the duration of infectiousness.

Type
Review
Creative Commons
Creative Common License - CCCreative Common License - BY
To the extent this is a work of the US Government, it is not subject to copyright protection within the United States. To the extent this work is subject to copyright outside of the United States, such copyright shall be assigned to The Society for Healthcare Epidemiology of America and licenced to the Publisher. Outside of the United States, the US Government retains a paid-up, non-exclusive, irrevocable worldwide licence to reproduce, prepare derivative works, distribute copies to the public and display publicly the Contribution, and to permit others to do so. Published by Cambridge University Press on behalf of The Society for Healthcare Epidemiology of America.
This is an Open Access article, distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution licence (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/), which permits unrestricted re-use, distribution and reproduction, provided the original article is properly cited.
Copyright
© The Society for Healthcare Epidemiology of America, 2025

Introduction

Healthcare workers (HCWs) can serve as a source of transmission of severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) and seasonal influenza in healthcare settings. Restricting infected HCWs from work while contagious is a mainstay of preventing transmission and maintaining a safe work and patient care environment. 1Reference Kuhar, Babcock and Brown3 However, restricting HCWs from work has the potential to cause harm such as staffing shortages that can result in lapses in HCW safety and suboptimal patient care. Reference Bartsch, Weatherwax and Leff4Reference Lasater, Aiken and Sloane7 Therefore, it is important to exclude HCWs from work for long enough to mitigate risk for respiratory virus transmission while minimizing any unintended health and safety consequences for HCWs and patients.

Criteria for returning infected HCWs to work include the duration of infectious period, availability of other workplace controls (e.g., masking) that might diminish risk for transmission, and consequences of excluding HCWs from work. The daily risk for transmission from a contagious HCW approximates resolution of the infectious period and informs the duration of exclusion from work. However, this is difficult to define precisely because measures typically used to approximate the infectious period may not accurately convey the duration of risk for transmission to others. For example, the duration of viral shedding can be used to approximate how long an individual may be contagious; however, some tests like the nucleic acid amplification test might detect noninfectious virus resulting in overestimates of the contagious period and duration of work restrictions. Reference Smith-Jeffcoat, Mellis and Grijalva8

Transmission studies often approximate the time to infection in a secondary case using generation time, the time from the moment of infection in a primary case to infection in a secondary case (Figure 1, adapted Reference Kim, Lee, Kim, Kim, Son and Lee9 ), which is impractical to accurately measure in a study because the moment of infection is often unknown. Serial interval, the time from symptom onset in a primary case to symptom onset in a secondary case, can be measured in a study, and is often substituted for generation time. Although a person’s contagious period may begin during the incubation period (the time between exposure and symptom onset), most only realize they are contagious when symptoms begin and, in these cases, it is important to know the duration of the contagious period after symptom onset. Hence, subtracting the incubation period from the serial interval could approximate the symptomatic contagious period—the period from symptom onset to end of contagiousness – and inform work restrictions. The objective of this rapid review was to estimate the daily risk for transmission from symptomatic HCWs by assessing the literature on the duration of viral shedding and serial intervals for SARS-CoV-2 omicron variant (omicron) or influenza A (influenza).

Figure 1. Transmission parameters (adapted from Kim et.al. 2023) Reference Kim, Lee, Kim, Kim, Son and Lee9 .

Methods

To retrieve the influenza and SARS-CoV-2 publications most relevant to HCWs, this review focused on the most recent SARS-CoV-2 variant, omicron, and the most commonly occurring type of seasonal influenza, influenza A. This rapid review is reported according to the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic reviews and Meta-Analyses extension for Scoping Reviews (PRISMA-ScR) guidelines. Reference Tricco, Lillie and Zarin10

Search strategy & study selection

The research questions guiding this review were: Among previously healthy symptomatic adults infected with mild SARS-CoV-2 (omicron variant) or influenza A:

  1. (1) What is the duration of viral shedding measured from symptom onset or diagnosis using culture or quantitative reverse transcription polymerase chain reaction (RT-qPCR)?

  2. (2) What is the association between the resolution of symptoms, specifically fever, and the resolution of viral shedding measured using culture, RT-qPCR, or reverse transcription polymerase chain reaction (RT-PCR)?

  3. (3) What is the pair-level serial interval, defined as the number of days between symptom onset in primary and secondary cases?

An information specialist (J.T.) developed research question-specific search strategies for omicron and adapted each strategy for influenza. The searches were performed in MEDLINE, Embase, Cochrane Library, CINAHL, and Scopus from the start of each database to July 26 or August 1, 2024 (Tables s4-s9). Results of the literature searches were uploaded into EndNote 21 (Clarivate Analytics©, Thomson Reuters, New York, NY, USA), where duplicates were removed, and two reviewers screened all titles and abstracts and subsequent full texts using exclusion criteria selected to reduce pre-identified risks of bias in this literature base. (Full selection criteria are in Supplementary Material Table s1.)

Extraction

Data were extracted by two reviewers using a standardized Microsoft Excel (2021) form, and differences were reconciled by discussion. Extracted data included study and population characteristics, and the outcomes of interest (Table s2). For research question 3, serial intervals of zero or less were not extracted. When interventional studies met inclusion criteria, only placebo group data were extracted. Outcome data were extracted as presented in the studies or calculated using existing values. When data were not provided, it was abstracted from relevant figures using an online digitizing application (PlotDigitizer Online App). Reference Tierney, Stewart, Ghersi, Burdett and Sydes11 Potential areas for risk of bias were identified a priori to guide study selection, and possible confounding factors were identified for use in data analysis; thus, risk of bias assessments of studies were not conducted.

Analysis

Shedding and symptom outcomes were analyzed from symptom onset, diagnosis, or inoculation (for influenza challenge studies) in the participant. Serial interval outcomes were analyzed from symptom onset in the primary case, which was defined as day zero. The cumulative proportion of participants with the outcomes of interest were calculated for each study using Microsoft Excel (2021) and R Studio. Analysis for risk stratification was conducted for study-level cumulative proportions of 70% – 100% of participants experiencing resolution of shedding for individuals or symptom onset in secondary cases. The days examined included day four through the current CDC recommended duration of work restrictions for HCWs with SARS-CoV-2 infection (Day 10 post symptom onset). 2 Stratified analyses were performed to visually inspect the influence of confounding factors. These factors included household transmissions compared with community transmission; collectivist compared to individualist societies to approximate mask usage; Reference Lu, Jin and English12 vaccination status; viral sub-variant or subtype; and non-pharmaceutical interventions (NPI) such as masking and lockdown policies. Complete methods are found in the Supplementary Material.

Results

Six search strategies identified a total of 11,995 titles and abstracts. After removal of 352 duplicates, 11,643 titles and abstracts were screened and 10,219 were determined to be not relevant to any research question. 1,424 full-text articles were assessed, of which 43 unique studies met inclusion criteria. Three studies were relevant to more than one research question: RQ1 (shedding) and RQ2 (shedding and symptoms). The total number of participants was 16,855 (range: 8 - 11,512). Over half of these studies (52%) were conducted in the United States, China, and South Korea, and 28% in the global south. The flowchart of combined search results contains duplicate articles that were screened uniquely in each of the six searches (Figure 2). All PRISMA diagrams (Figure s7s12) and study characteristics (Table s3) are found in the Supplementary Material.

Figure 2. Flow chart of all studies.

Shedding

Thirteen studies reported the duration of viral shedding for omicron or influenza measured daily using RT-qPCR (for influenza) Reference Memoli, Czajkowski and Reed13 or culture Reference Smith-Jeffcoat, Mellis and Grijalva8,Reference Boucau, Marino and Regan14Reference Killingley, Greatorex and Cauchemez24 measured from symptom onset Reference Jang, Kim and Rhee19Reference Kang, Kim and Park21 or both symptom onset and diagnosis. Reference Smith-Jeffcoat, Mellis and Grijalva8,Reference Boucau, Marino and Regan14,Reference Bouton, Atarere and Turcinovic15,Reference Kang, Park and Kim22 Seven studies reported duration of shedding for omicron, Reference Smith-Jeffcoat, Mellis and Grijalva8,Reference Boucau, Marino and Regan14,Reference Bouton, Atarere and Turcinovic15,Reference Jang, Kim and Rhee19Reference Kang, Park and Kim22 and three of these studies reported the sub-variant including BA.1, Reference Boucau, Marino and Regan14,Reference Jung, Kang and Lee20,Reference Kang, Kim and Park21 BA.2, Reference Jung, Kang and Lee20,Reference Kang, Kim and Park21 and BA.5. Reference Kang, Kim and Park21 Six studies reported duration of shedding for influenza: Reference Memoli, Czajkowski and Reed13,Reference Doyle, Skoner and Alper16Reference Hooker and Ganusov18,Reference Killingley, Greatorex and Digard23,Reference Killingley, Greatorex and Cauchemez24 three reported shedding measured from symptom onset during natural infections Reference Han, Czajkowski and Donaldson17,Reference Killingley, Greatorex and Digard23,Reference Killingley, Greatorex and Cauchemez24 with the H1N1 subtype, Reference Killingley, Greatorex and Digard23,Reference Killingley, Greatorex and Cauchemez24 or the H3N2 subtype; Reference Han, Czajkowski and Donaldson17 and three challenge studies Reference Memoli, Czajkowski and Reed13,Reference Doyle, Skoner and Alper16,Reference Hooker and Ganusov18 reported shedding measured from inoculation with H1N1. Figure 3 provides the daily cumulative proportion of resolution of omicron or influenza shedding.

Figure 3. The cumulative proportion (%) of participants whose shedding resolved, measured in days from symptom onset, diagnosis, or inoculation. A. Studies reporting omicron. B. Studies reporting influenza.

By the end of day four, no omicron studies reported resolution of shedding among at least 70% of participants, but by the end of day nine, all studies (N = 7, 502 participants) reported resolution of shedding among ≥ 70% of participants with omicron (Table 1). No studies exceeded the ≥ 90% threshold by the end of day six; however, all omicron studies reported resolution of shedding among ≥ 90% of participants by the end of day 10. The influenza data suggests a shorter time to resolution of shedding. By the end of day four, one small influenza study Reference Han, Czajkowski and Donaldson17 (N = 16) reported resolution of shedding among ≥ 70% of participants, and by the end of day nine, all six influenza studies (N = 133) reported resolution of shedding among ≥ 90% of participants. Three omicron studies reported daily shedding data among either unvaccinated, vaccinated, or vaccinated and boosted participants Reference Boucau, Marino and Regan14,Reference Bouton, Atarere and Turcinovic15,Reference Kang, Park, Yeun Kim, Bae, Park and Kim25 (Figure s1). Vaccinated participants received either a single vector or two messenger RNA (mRNA) vaccines, and boosted participants received the full vaccination plus a subsequent dose. Two studies Reference Boucau, Marino and Regan14,Reference Kang, Park, Yeun Kim, Bae, Park and Kim25 suggested unvaccinated participants shed longer than vaccinated participants, however the number of days is unclear (range 1–3 days). Two studies Reference Boucau, Marino and Regan14,Reference Bouton, Atarere and Turcinovic15 stratified duration of shedding for vaccinated and boosted participants, results were inconsistent and inconclusive. No influenza studies meeting inclusion criteria reported comparisons of shedding data among vaccinated and unvaccinated participants. There was not a clear difference in duration of shedding when comparing omicron studies that measured from symptom onset compared with symptom onset and diagnosis, or when comparing influenza studies that measured using RT-qPCR Reference Memoli, Czajkowski and Reed13,Reference Han, Czajkowski and Donaldson17 or culture. The three influenza challenge studies Reference Memoli, Czajkowski and Reed13,Reference Doyle, Skoner and Alper16,Reference Hooker and Ganusov18 reported a lower proportion of participants with resolved shedding on day five, when compared with the three natural infection studies; Reference Han, Czajkowski and Donaldson17,Reference Killingley, Greatorex and Digard23,Reference Killingley, Greatorex and Cauchemez24 and all three challenge studies reported resolution of shedding among 100% of participants one day earlier than the three natural infection studies.

Table 1. Daily Cumulative number of studies reaching at least a cumulative threshold of (A) participants with resolution of shedding measured in days from symptom onset, diagnosis, or inoculation, or (B) secondary cases with symptom onset in secondary cases measured in days from primary case symptom onset

a1 study (an der Heiden, 2022) reported the denominator as household clusters, leaving the total number of secondary cases unclear Reference Liu, Lu and Li35 .

Shedding and symptoms

Four included studies reported a daily assessment of symptoms and shedding measured via culture, Reference Han, Czajkowski and Donaldson17,Reference Jang, Kim and Rhee19 RT-qPCR, Reference Memoli, Czajkowski and Reed13 and RT-PCR. Reference Jia, Gao and Suo26 The duration of shedding exceeded the duration of fever in the two studies reporting daily measurements among participants infected with omicron Reference Jang, Kim and Rhee19 or influenza (Figure s2). Reference Jia, Gao and Suo26 Specifically, one small study Reference Jang, Kim and Rhee19 (N = 8) reported five of eight omicron patients with fever experienced culture-positive shedding > 24 hours (range 1-4 days) after fever resolution and resolution of shedding occurred by the end of day 6-8 post-symptom onset in these participants. One influenza study Reference Jia, Gao and Suo26 found that 55% of participants with the H1N1 subtype were still shedding three days beyond fever resolution, and 17% were shedding by the end of day six post-resolution of fever when measured using RT-PCR. For participants with seasonal influenza, the duration of shedding following fever resolution was shorter, with 70% of participants shedding by the end of day three and only 3% shedding by the end of day five post-fever resolution (Figure s2). One influenza challenge study Reference Memoli, Czajkowski and Reed13 reported that among 20 participants with H1N1, two (10%) experienced resolution of shedding occurring one- and two-days post-symptom resolution; and another H1N1 challenge study Reference Han, Czajkowski and Donaldson17 did not report individual data and shedding beyond resolution of symptoms could not be ascertained. However, in aggregate, shedding measured via culture peaked by the end of day one post-inoculation and ended for all participants by the end of day six post inoculation, while symptoms peaked by the end of day three post-inoculation and ended on day 11 for some participants.

Secondary case symptom onset

Twenty-eight studies reported the serial interval for transmission pairs, households, or cases. Fourteen reported serial interval data for omicron Reference An der Heiden and Buchholz27Reference Zeng, Santhya and Soong40 (Figure 4A), and fourteen for influenza Reference Archer, Timothy and Cohen41Reference Thai, Mai le and Welkers54 (Figure 4B). All but three studies across both viruses reported that at least 50% of secondary cases experienced symptom onset by the end of day three following symptom onset in the primary case (Figure 4).

Figure 4. The cumulative proportion (%) of symptom onset in secondary cases measured in days from symptom onset in the primary case. A. Studies reporting omicron. B. Studies reporting influenza.

In all studies reporting any sub-variant of omicron, symptom onset occurred in at least 70% of secondary cases by the end of day five post symptom onset in the primary case (Table 1). Among studies reporting influenza transmission, secondary case symptom onset occurred in at least 70% of secondary cases in all studies by the end of day five, and by the end of day six for H1N1 (Figure 4).

Symptom onset occurred in at least 80% of omicron secondary cases by the end of day five for all studies reporting mixed sub-variants, day six for later sub-variants, and day seven for studies reporting BA.1. Secondary case symptom onset occurred in at least 80% of transmissions by the end of day five for all studies reporting mixed influenza subtypes, and by the end of day six for H1N1 (Figure 4).

In studies reporting transmission of mixed omicron sub-variants or BA.1, secondary case symptom onset did not reach 100% until the end of day 10; however, 100% of secondary case symptom onset occurred by the end of day nine for later sub-variants (BA.2, BA.4, and BA.5). While symptom onset occurred for all secondary influenza cases by the end of day seven for all mixed subtype studies, this milestone was not reached until day 15 for H1N1 infections (Figure 4). Studies reporting omicron variants were stratified by vaccination status of the population, the country- or region-level implementation of societal NPI such as lockdown and universal masking, masking as a cultural norm, and household vs. non-household transmissions; there was no difference in results (Figure s3s6). There were insufficient data to stratify influenza studies by the implementation of NPIs.

Discussion

The comparison of resolution of shedding with resolution of symptoms, and the serial interval, for influenza A and omicron infections help to better understand how the risk for transmission changes over time. The shedding data for omicron are consistent with previous return-to-work recommendations that exclude infected HCWs from work for up to 10 days; and the viral shedding for influenza followed a similar trend and resolved approximately a day sooner than for omicron. For both influenza and omicron, viral shedding persisted after fever resolved and other symptoms began to improve. However, earlier symptom onset in the vast majority of secondary cases for both pathogens suggests that, despite persistent viral shedding, most transmission occurs earlier.

Symptom onset in a secondary case likely does not indicate the day of transmission. Although transmission could occur before the onset of symptoms in the primary case, HCWs will generally not be recognized as potentially infectious before symptom onset unless asymptomatic testing is being performed. In routine practice, the period for which a HCW is restricted from work typically begins on the date of their symptom onset—or on the date of a first positive test – and the end date could be based on the duration of viral shedding or potentially when an acceptable level of residual risk for transmission has been reached, and this interval needs to be approximated (Figure 1). If using the date of secondary case symptom onset as a proxy for the date of transmission, it is important to recognize that actual transmission took place before the date of symptom onset. The incubation period represents time between the moment of transmission and symptom onset and can be used to estimate the time of transmission to a secondary case. Subtracting the shortest possible incubation period for influenza or omicron from the day of symptom onset in a secondary case might estimate the latest likely day that transmission occurred. The incubation period for influenza and omicron have been estimated to be 1.3-1.5 days Reference Lessler, Reich, Brookmeyer, Perl, Nelson and Cummings55 (95% CI) and 2.01-5.61 days Reference Xu, Wu and Kummer56 (95% CI), respectively, so subtracting one day for influenza and two days for omicron from the day of secondary case symptom onset would estimate the latest likely day of transmission. For example, all studies reported that symptom onset occurred in at least 80% of secondary cases by the end of day six post-primary case symptom onset for influenza and day seven for omicron (Figure 4), suggesting at least 80% of transmissions from a primary case would be estimated to have occurred by the end of day five for both pathogens. This is four days sooner than the resolution of shedding for 80% of participants with both pathogens on day nine, suggesting the duration of shedding is not the most accurate marker for the risk of transmission. These findings echo other studies that report a higher risk for transmission earlier in the course of illness for SARS-CoV-2. Reference Xin, Wang and Feng39,Reference Lee, Park and Choi57,Reference Garcia-Knight, Anglin and Tassetto58

Work restrictions applied to potentially contagious HCWs in U.S. healthcare settings are typically longer than those applied to people in the community. In healthcare settings, decisions about the duration of work restriction for HCWs have historically relied primarily on viral shedding data despite their limitations. Ideally, the duration can be informed by observations of transmission collected in epidemiologic studies to give a more complete picture of transmission risk. Decisions about work restrictions will balance the benefits of reducing risk of transmission with potential unintended consequences of work restrictions like changes to staffing that could impact safe patient care or a safe work environment. Reference Lee, Park and Choi57

Other infection prevention and control measures may shorten the duration of viral shedding or reduce the risk of transmission of influenza or omicron. Limited evidence suggests there may be a reduction in the duration of viral shedding in vaccinated adults who are mildly ill with omicron, and no evidence was retrieved on the effect of vaccination on influenza shedding, therefore the effect of vaccination status on shedding duration to inform decisions about duration of work restrictions is unclear. Reference Garcia-Knight, Anglin and Tassetto58,Reference Siedner, Boucau and Gilbert59 Additional studies may clarify this relationship but could vary by pathogen. For influenza, neuraminidase inhibitors have been shown to reduce viral shedding by 1-2 days and may reduce the risk for transmission to others. Reference Aoki and Boivin60,Reference Fry, Goswami and Nahar61 Although decreases in viral shedding have been reported for adults receiving Paxlovid for omicron infections, the risk for rebound viremia may negate potential for decreasing risk for transmission to others. Reference Lee, Park and Choi57,Reference Yang, Peng and Wang62,Reference Zhong, Jiang and Yang63 Finally, masking of potentially contagious individuals for source control is a strategy that can reduce the risk for transmission to others in healthcare settings. Reference Williams, dit Mieusement, Tomiczek, Chan, Salt and Leis64 However, the potential reduction in risk is difficult to quantify and may be imperfect because it depends on factors such as how well the mask fits and whether it is consistently and correctly worn at all times. This suggests that masking for source control is not to be relied upon to replace exclusion of contagious HCWs from work, particularly when HCWs are most contagious.

The strengths of this review include the use of multiple approaches to estimate the risk period for transmission of influenza and omicron and the visualization of this evidence, using rapid review techniques. This review examined evidence in previously healthy adults, and the findings might not apply to other populations (e.g., immunocompromised persons). The inclusion of shedding data measured from diagnosis rather than symptom onset may artificially lengthen the duration of shedding in some studies. It is challenging to identify when symptoms might be improving, which is subjective, making the relationship between resolution of viral shedding and symptoms difficult to ascertain. For the outcome of secondary case symptom onset, serial intervals of zero or less were excluded, which may have excluded valid transmission pairs where the incubation period of the primary case was longer than that of the secondary case, and may have resulted in an overestimation of the duration of contagiousness. Further, some influenza studies truncated reporting symptom onset in secondary cases on a specific day (transmissions occurring beyond that day were assumed to not be from that index case), which may also underestimate the serial interval. Reference Archer, Timothy and Cohen41,Reference Cohen, Tshangela and Valley-Omar42,Reference Iyengar, von Mollendorf and Tempia46,Reference Morgan, Parks and Shim50 These limitations further underscore the conservative nature of these estimates and may increase confidence in the findings. This review did not assess recall bias and confounding due to population-level presence or absence of comorbidities. Finally, several influenza challenge studies from the 1970s & 1980s did not report data in a manner that was useable for the purposes of this review. It is possible that this excluded literature contained data that more extensively addressed viral shedding and symptom progression.

Conclusions

This review summarizes the currently available data on viral shedding for influenza A and the omicron variant of SARS-CoV-2, its relationship to symptoms, and the timing of symptom onset in secondary cases to refine the duration of infectivity for HCWs. Cumulative serial interval data can be used to estimate the daily progression of risk for transmission from a symptomatic HCW with omicron or influenza. Ensuring the availability of pair-level serial interval data or reporting the daily cumulative proportion of symptom onset in secondary cases may provide a more direct measure of the risk of transmission for these respiratory viruses to, inform prevention interventions like work restrictions.

Supplementary material

The supplementary material for this article can be found at https://doi.org/10.1017/ice.2025.11

Acknowledgments

Rachel Snyder, MPH for her assistance with initial informal literature searches on influenza viral shedding and transmission. Joi Brooks, MPH, Aisha Hill, PhD, Madelon Morford, MPH, Christine So, MPH, and David Thoms, MPH for their assistance with title and abstract screening and full-text review.

Competing interests

The authors report that they have no conflicts of interest.

Disclaimer

The findings and conclusions in this report are those of the authors and do not necessarily represent the official positions of the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention.

Footnotes

These results were presented at the meeting of the Healthcare Infection Control Practice Advisory Committee on November 14-15, 2024

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Figure 0

Figure 1. Transmission parameters (adapted from Kim et.al. 2023)9.

Figure 1

Figure 2. Flow chart of all studies.

Figure 2

Figure 3. The cumulative proportion (%) of participants whose shedding resolved, measured in days from symptom onset, diagnosis, or inoculation. A. Studies reporting omicron. B. Studies reporting influenza.

Figure 3

Table 1. Daily Cumulative number of studies reaching at least a cumulative threshold of (A) participants with resolution of shedding measured in days from symptom onset, diagnosis, or inoculation, or (B) secondary cases with symptom onset in secondary cases measured in days from primary case symptom onset

Figure 4

Figure 4. The cumulative proportion (%) of symptom onset in secondary cases measured in days from symptom onset in the primary case. A. Studies reporting omicron. B. Studies reporting influenza.

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