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From consensus to conflict: the domestic political economy of East-West energy trade policy

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  22 May 2009

Bruce W. Jentleson
Affiliation:
Assistant Professor of Political Science at the University of California, Davis.
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Abstract

Changes in the domestic politics of East-West energy trade policy indicate a more general transformation of the domestic politics of American foreign policy. In the postwar period the basic, consensual pattern of congressional bipartisanship, executivebranch unity, interest-group collaboration, and a supportive public has been replaced by the conflictual pattern of an assertive Congress, a fragmented executive branch, antagonistic interest groups, and a divided public. These contrasting patterns are manifestations of structural changes in the domestic political economy. Along both political and economic dimensions, and differentiated according to whether the locus of pressure was group-specific or more general, what had been basic foundations of consensus became by the early 1970s fissures of conflict. Of particular significance were the weakening of the macropolitical foundations (the basic accord on foreignpolicy objectives and strategies) in the wake of both Vietnam and detente and the increased marginal value of the economic costs, both diffuse (macroeconomic) and particularistic (microeconomic), to be paid for economic coercion. In this transformed context, the state's support-building instruments of ideology and economic compensation were insufficient to build consensus. As a result, in this issue area and perhaps more generally, high levels of domestic constraints on the conduct of American foreign policy have become the rule rather than the exception.

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Copyright
Copyright © The IO Foundation 1984

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References

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38. The files of the JFK Library include, in addition to memos discussing these vigilante groups, letters received at the White House from members. See White House Central Files, Box 240, “Boycotts-Embargoes.” The New York Times ran stories on these groups on 4, 13, and 14 November 1962.

39. Interestingly, one of the few sectors of East-West trade in which the British and French did not participate during this period was the oil trade. Like the United States, they had the interests of oil-producing nations (either possessing oil within national borders or controlling it through foreign ownership). West Germany and Italy, in contrast, were oil-consumer nations with an interest in diversified and cheaper supplies of oil.

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51. See telegram, State Department to Ambassador Reinhardt, 19 April 1962; telegram, Ambassador Reinhardt to secretary of state, 25 April 1962; telegram, Undersecretary McGhee to Ambassador Reinhardt, 25 April 1962; all in NSF, Countries: Italy, Box 120, JFK Library.

52. New York Times, 23 March 1963, pp. 1–2.

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70. First they raised the issue of old Lend-Lease debts, only to have the Russians consent to a compromise agreement. It was soon thereafter, in fact only eight days before Nixon signed the bilateral trade treaty promising MFN to the Soviets, that they introduced their first MFN-Jewish emigration amendment.

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72. The Yamal-Urengoi project was in some respects a revised and expanded version of North Star, with the gas now destined for Western Europe and with most of the export contracts also going to Western Europe. Yet efforts to resuscitate North Star continued. See Scott, Wilton E. and Ray, Jack, “The Role of Natural Gas in East-West Trade Relations,” in American Committee on East-West Accord, Common Sense in U.S.-Soviet Trade (Washington, D.C., 1979), pp. 4754Google Scholar.

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76. Gallup Opinion Index, Report no. 174 (January 1980), p. 8, and Report no. 203 (August 1962), p. 13.

77. Interview, Washington, D.C., 7 November 1983.

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85. Farmers had already been granted contract sanctity through legislation pushed by agricultural state legislators during the autumn of 1982 (i.e., during the campaign). The whole question of constraints on agricultural trade controls could be approached through the same analytic and historical approach here applied to the energy sector. The fate suffered by grain embargoer Jimmy Carter and the inviolability of grain trade amidst the Reagan administration's reversion to trade controls virtually everywhere else point to a similar pattern of politics with similar causality.

86. Opinion voiced by numerous interviewees, November 1983 and May 1984. The bill has been tied up in conference committee because it also contains controversial provisions concerning private investment in South Africa and the export to Alaskan oil. Final action is said to be unlikely until late 1984.

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88. Quoted in Business Week, 28 May 1979, pp. 24–26.

89. New York Times, 22 September 1983, p. 27.

90. Interviews, 7–11 November 1983.

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92. This expression recurred with striking frequency in interviews with Reagan administration officials conducted 7–11 November 1983.

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