Hostname: page-component-78c5997874-fbnjt Total loading time: 0 Render date: 2024-11-10T10:13:50.742Z Has data issue: false hasContentIssue false
  • English
  • Français

Historical Impacts of Precipitation and Temperature on Farm Production in Kansas

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  12 June 2017

David K. Lambert
David K. Lambert*
Affiliation:
Department of Agricultural Economics at, Kansas State University, Manhattan, Kansas
Get access Rights & Permissions [Opens in a new window]

Abstract

We quantify weather effects on output and incomes for a panel of Kansas farmers. The effects of weather are largely asymmetric with negative temperature and precipitation values affecting output and income differently than above average observations. Precipitation effects depend on timing and seasonal averages. The number of days exceeding 32.2°C (i.e., the “hot” years) negatively impacts production and income measures, although the impact is positive for crop output in the cooler years. The results indicate the importance of including weather in predicting output and income and designing risk management instruments to mitigate weather trends and variability.

Keywords

agricultural productionclimate changeweather impactsD24Q10Q54
Type
Research Article
Information
Journal of Agricultural and Applied Economics , Volume 46 , Issue 4 , November 2014 , pp. 439 - 456
Copyright
Copyright © Southern Agricultural Economics Association 2014

Access options

Get access to the full version of this content by using one of the access options below. (Log in options will check for institutional or personal access. Content may require purchase if you do not have access.)

References

Adams, R.M., Fleming, R.A., Chang, C.C., McCarl, B.A., and Rosenzweig, C.. “A Reassessment of the Economic Effects of Global Climate Change on U.S. Agriculture.” Climatic Change 30(1995): 147-67.Google Scholar
Beach, R., Thomson, A., and McCarl, B.A.. “Climate Change Impacts on US Agriculture.” Contributed paper at the IATRC Public Trade Policy Research and Analysis Symposium ‘Climate Change in World Agriculture: Mitigation, Adaptation, Trade and Food Security,’ Stuttgart, Germany, June 2010.Google Scholar
Bierlen, R., and Featherstone, A.M.. “Fundamental q, Cash Flow, and Investment: Evidence from Farm Panel Data.” The Review of Economics and Statistics 80,3(1998):427-35.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Burke, M., Dykema, J., Lobell, D., Miguel, E., and Satyanath, S.. Incorporating Climate Uncertainties into Estimates of Climate Change Impacts, with Implications to U.S. and African Agriculture. NBER Working Paper Series, WP 17092, 2011.Google Scholar
Burns, K. The Dust Bowl. Film documentary first aired on PBS November 18-19, 2012. Internet site: http://www.pbs.org/kenburns/dustbowl/ (Accessed January 31, 2014).Google Scholar
Deschenes, O., and Greenstone, M.. “The Economic Impacts of Climate Change: Evidence from Agricultural Output and Random Fluctuations in Weather.” The American Economic Review 97,1(2007):354-85.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Denison, R.F. Darwinian Agriculture: How Understanding Evolution Can Improve Agriculture. Princeton, NJ: Princeton University Press, 2012.Google Scholar
Di Falco, S., and Chavas, J.-P.. “Crop Genetic Diversity, Farm Productivity, and the Management of Environmental Risk in Rainfed Agriculture.” European Review of Agriculture Economics 33,3(2006):289–314.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Ding, Y., Schoengold, K., and Tsegaye, T.. “The Impact of Weathers Extremes on Agricultural Production Methods: Does Drought Increase Adoption of Conservation Tillage Practices?” Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics 343(2009):395–411.Google Scholar
Egan, T. The Worst Hard Time. New York, NY: Houghton Mifflin Harcourt Publishing Company, 2006.Google Scholar
Hornbeck, R. “The Enduring Impact of the American Dust Bowl: Short and Long-Run Adjustments to Environmental Catastrophe.” The American Economic Review 102,4(2012): 1477-507.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Hornbeck, R., and Keskin, P.. “The Historically Evolving Impact of the Ogallala Aquifer: Agricultural Adaptation to Groundwater and Climate.” American Economic Review: Applied Economics 6,1(2014): 190–219.Google Scholar
Im, K.S., Pesaran, M.H., and Shin, Y. “Testing for Unit Roots in Heterogeneous Panels.” Journal of Econometrics 115(2003):53–74.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Izaurraldea, R.C., Thomsona, A.M., Morganb, J.A., Fayc, P.A., Polleyc, H.W., and Hatfield, J.L.. “Climate Impacts on Agriculture: Implications for Forage and Rangeland Production.” Agronomy Journal 103,2(2011):371-81.Google Scholar
Kousky, C. “Informing Climate Adaptation: A Review of the Economic Costs of Natural Disasters.” Energy Economics (2013): 10.1016/j.eneco.2013.09.029.Google Scholar
Lobell, D.B., and Field, C.B.. “Global Scale Climate-Crop Yield Relationships and the Impacts of Recent Warming.” Environmental Research Letters 2,1(2007):doi:10.1088/1748-9326/2/1/014002.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Lobell, D.B., Schlenker, W., and Costa-Roberts, J.. “Climate Trends and Global Crop Production Since 1980.” Science 333(2011):208-18.Google Scholar
Mader, T.L. “Environmental Stress in Confined Beef Cattle.” Journal of Animal Science 81(2003):E110-19.Google Scholar
Malcolm, S., Marshall, E., Aillery, M., Heisey, P., Livingston, M., and Day-Rubenstein, K.. Agricultural Adaptation to a Changing Climate: Economic and Environmental Implications Vary by U.S. Region, ERR-136, U.S. Department of Agriculture, Economic Research Service, July 2012.Google Scholar
National Climatic Data Center. Internet site: http://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/ (Accessed January 31, 2014).Google Scholar
Parry, M.L., Rosenzweig, C., Iglesias, A., Livermore, M., and Fisher, G.. “Effects of Climate Change on Global Food Production under SRES Emissions and Socio-Economic Scenarios.” Global Environmental Change 14,1(2004): 53–67.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Risky Business Project. Risky Business: The Economic Risks of Climate Change in the United States. June 2014. Internet site: http://riskybusiness.org/uploads/files/RiskyBusiness_PrintedReport_FINAL_WEB_OPTIMIZED.pdf (Accessed June 29, 2014).Google Scholar
Sands, R.D., and Edmonds, J.A.. “Climate Change Impacts for the Coterminous USA: An Integrated Assessment.” Climatic Change 69(2005): 127-50.Google Scholar
Schlenker, W., Haneman, W.M., and Fisher, A.. “Water Availability, Degree Days, and the Potential Impact of Climate Change on Irrigated Agriculture in California.” Climatic Change 81,1(2007):19–38.Google Scholar
Schlenker, W., and Roberts, M.J.. “Nonlinear Temperature Effects Indicate Severe Damages to U.S. Crop Yields under Climate Change.” Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America 106, 37(2009): 15594-98.Google Scholar
Shafer, M., Ojima, D., Antle, J.M., Kluck, D., McPherson, R.A., Peterson, S., Scanlon, B., and Sherman, K., Great Plains. Climate Change Impacts in the United States: the Third National Climate Assessment. Melillo, J.M., Richmond, T.C., and Yohe, G.W., eds., Chapter 19. U.S. Global Change Research Program, Washington, D.C. 2014, pp. 441–61.Google Scholar
Stem, N. “The Structure of Economic Modeling of the Potential Impacts of Climate Change: Grafting Gross Underestimation of Risk onto Already Narrow Science Models.” Journal of Economic Literature 51,3(2013):838-59.Google Scholar
Tack, J., Harri, A., and Coble, K.. “More than Mean Effects: Modeling the Effect of Climate on the Higher Order Moments of Crop Yields.” American Journal of Agricultural Economics 94,5(2012): 1037-54.Google Scholar
The Economist. “Water and Agriculture in Kansas: Sip It Slowly.” The Economist Newsletter Limited. London, UK. September 28, 2013.Google Scholar
Yeager, E., and Langemeier, M.R.. “Economic Efficiency and Downside Risk.” Applied Economics 45,36(2013):5012-20.Google Scholar