Hostname: page-component-78c5997874-fbnjt Total loading time: 0 Render date: 2024-11-10T15:55:43.410Z Has data issue: false hasContentIssue false

Asymptotic Ruin Probabilities for a Bivariate Lévy-Driven Risk Model with Heavy-Tailed Claims and Risky Investments

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  30 January 2018

Xuemiao Hao*
Affiliation:
University of Manitoba
Qihe Tang*
Affiliation:
University of Iowa
*
Postal address: Asper School of Business, University of Manitoba, 181 Freedman Crescent, Winnipeg, Manitoba R3T 5V4, Canada. Email address: xuemiao.hao@ad.umanitoba.ca
∗∗ Postal address: Department of Statistics and Actuarial Science, University of Iowa, 241 Schaeffer Hall, Iowa City, IA 52242, USA. Email address: qihe-tang@uiowa.edu
Rights & Permissions [Opens in a new window]

Abstract

Core share and HTML view are not available for this content. However, as you have access to this content, a full PDF is available via the ‘Save PDF’ action button.

Consider a general bivariate Lévy-driven risk model. The surplus process Y, starting with Y0=x > 0, evolves according to dYt= Yt- dRt -dPt for t > 0, where P and R are two independent Lévy processes respectively representing a loss process in a world without economic factors and a process describing the return on investments in real terms. Motivated by a conjecture of Paulsen, we study the finite-time and infinite-time ruin probabilities for the case in which the loss process P has a Lévy measure of extended regular variation and the stochastic exponential of R fulfills a moment condition. We obtain a simple and unified asymptotic formula as x→∞, which confirms Paulsen's conjecture.

Type
Research Article
Copyright
© Applied Probability Trust 

References

Albrecher, H., Constantinescu, C. and Thomann, E. (2012). Asymptotic results for renewal risk models with risky investments. Stoch. Process. Appl. 122, 37673789.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Asmussen, S. (1998). Subexponential asymptotics for stochastic processes: extremal behavior, stationary distributions and first passage probabilities. Ann. Appl. Prob. 8, 354374.Google Scholar
Asmussen, S. and Albrecher, H. (2010). Ruin Probabilities, 2nd edn. World Scientific, Hackensack, NJ.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Bingham, N. H., Goldie, C. M. and Teugels, J. L. (1987). Regular Variation. Cambridge University Press.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Breiman, L. (1965). On some limit theorems similar to the arc-sin law. Theory Prob. Appl. 10, 323331.Google Scholar
Chen, Y. and Yuen, K. C. (2009). Sums of pairwise quasi-asymptotically independent random variables with consistent variation. Stoch. Models 25, 7689.Google Scholar
Cline, D. B. H. and Samorodnitsky, G. (1994). Subexponentiality of the product of independent random variables. Stoch. Process. Appl. 49, 7598.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Frolova, A., Kabanov, Y. and Pergamenshchikov, S. (2002). In the insurance business risky investments are dangerous. Finance Stoch. 6, 227235.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Goldie, C. M. (1991). Implicit renewal theory and tails of solutions of random equations. Ann. Appl. Prob. 1, 126166.Google Scholar
Grey, D. R. (1994). Regular variation in the tail behaviour of solutions of random difference equations. Ann. Appl. Prob. 4, 169183.Google Scholar
Heyde, C. C. and Wang, D. (2009). Finite-time ruin probability with an exponential Lévy process investment return and heavy-tailed claims. Adv. Appl. Prob. 41, 206224.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Hult, H. and Lindskog, F. (2011). Ruin probabilities under general investments and heavy-tailed claims. Finance Stoch. 15, 243265.Google Scholar
Kalashnikov, V. and Konstantinides, D. (2000). Ruin under interest force and subexponential claims: a simple treatment. Insurance Math. Econom. 27, 145149.Google Scholar
Kalashnikov, V. and Norberg, R. (2002). Power tailed ruin probabilities in the presence of risky investments. Stoch. Process. Appl. 98, 211228.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Klüppelberg, C. and Kostadinova, R. (2008). Integrated insurance risk models with exponential Lévy investment. Insurance Math. Econom. 42, 560577.Google Scholar
Klüppelberg, C. and Stadtmüller, U. (1998). Ruin probabilities in the presence of heavy-tails and interest rates. Scand. Actuarial J. 1998, 4958.Google Scholar
Konstantinides, D., Tang, Q. and Tsitsiashvili, G. (2002). Estimates for the ruin probability in the classical risk model with constant interest force in the presence of heavy tails. Insurance Math. Econom. 31, 447460.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Kyprianou, A. E. (2006). Introductory Lectures on Fluctuations of Lévy Processes with Applications. Springer, Berlin.Google Scholar
Liptser, R. S. and Shiryayev, A. N. (1989). Theory of Martingales. Kluwer, Dordrecht.Google Scholar
Olvera-Cravioto, M. (2012). Asymptotics for weighted random sums. Adv. Appl. Prob. 44, 11421172.Google Scholar
Paulsen, J. (1998a). Ruin theory with compounding assets–a survey. The interplay between insurance, finance and control. Insurance Math. Econom. 22, 316.Google Scholar
Paulsen, J. (1998b). Sharp conditions for certain ruin in a risk process with stochastic return on investments. Stoch. Process. Appl. 75, 135148.Google Scholar
Paulsen, J. (2002). On Cramér-like asymptotics for risk processes with stochastic return on investments. Ann. Appl. Prob. 12, 12471260.Google Scholar
Paulsen, J. (2008). Ruin models with investment income. Prob. Surveys 5, 416434.Google Scholar
Protter, P. E. (2005). Stochastic Integration and Differential Equations, 2nd edn. Springer, Berlin.Google Scholar
Resnick, S. I. and Willekens, E. (1991). Moving averages with random coefficients and random coefficient autoregressive models. Commun. Statist. Stoch. Models 7, 511525.Google Scholar
Samorodnitsky, G. and Taqqu, M. S. (1994). Stable Non-Gaussian Random Processes. Chapman & Hall, New York.Google Scholar
Tang, Q. (2005). The finite-time ruin probability of the compound Poisson model with constant interest force. J. Appl. Prob. 42, 608619.Google Scholar
Tang, Q. and Tsitsiashvili, G. (2003). Precise estimates for the ruin probability in finite horizon in a discrete-time model with heavy-tailed insurance and financial risks. Stoch. Process. Appl. 108, 299325.Google Scholar
Tang, Q., Wang, G. and Yuen, K. C. (2010). Uniform tail asymptotics for the stochastic present value of aggregate claims in the renewal risk model. Insurance Math. Econom. 46, 362370.Google Scholar
Vervaat, W. (1979). On a stochastic difference equation and a representation of nonnegative infinitely divisible random variables. Adv. Appl. Prob. 11, 750783.Google Scholar
Zhang, Y., Shen, X. and Weng, C. (2009). Approximation of the tail probability of randomly weighted sums and applications. Stoch. Process. Appl. 119, 655675.Google Scholar