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The cost of a carrier-borne epidemic

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  14 July 2016

D. Jerwood
D. Jerwood*
Affiliation:
University of Bradford
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Abstract

In this paper, the cost of the carrier-borne epidemic is considered. The definition of duration, as used by Weiss (1965) and subsequent authors, is generalised and the probability distribution for the number of located carriers is obtained. One component of cost, namely the area generated by the trajectory of carriers, is examined and its probability density function derived. The expected area generated is then shown to be proportional to the expected number of carriers located during the epidemic, a result which has an analogue in the general stochastic epidemic.

Keywords

CARRIER-BORNE EPIDEMICDURATIONAREA UNDER TRAJECTORY OF CARRIERSDISTRIBUTION FOR THE NUMBER OF LOCATED CARRIERS
Type
Research Papers
Information
Journal of Applied Probability , Volume 11 , Issue 4 , December 1974 , pp. 642 - 651
Copyright
Copyright © Applied Probability Trust 1974 

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