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On a class of reflected AR(1) processes
Published online by Cambridge University Press: 24 October 2016
Abstract
In this paper we study a reflected AR(1) process, i.e. a process (Z n )n obeying the recursion Z n +1= max{aZ n +X n ,0}, with (X n )n a sequence of independent and identically distributed (i.i.d.) random variables. We find explicit results for the distribution of Z n (in terms of transforms) in case X n can be written as Y n −B n , with (B n )n being a sequence of independent random variables which are all Exp(λ) distributed, and (Y n )n i.i.d.; when |a|<1 we can also perform the corresponding stationary analysis. Extensions are possible to the case that (B n )n are of phase-type. Under a heavy-traffic scaling, it is shown that the process converges to a reflected Ornstein–Uhlenbeck process; the corresponding steady-state distribution converges to the distribution of a normal random variable conditioned on being positive.
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- Copyright © Applied Probability Trust 2016
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