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Simple derivations of properties of counting processes associated with Markov renewal processes

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  14 July 2016

Frank Ball*
Affiliation:
The University of Nottingham
Robin K. Milne*
Affiliation:
The University of Western Australia
*
Postal address: School of Mathematical Sciences, The University of Nottingham, Nottingham NG7 2RD, UK. Email address: frank.ball@nottingham.ac.uk
∗∗Postal address: School of Mathematics and Statistics, The University of Western Australia, Crawley, WA 6009, Australia. Email address: milne@maths.uwa.edu.au
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Abstract

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A simple, widely applicable method is described for determining factorial moments of t, the number of occurrences in (0,t] of some event defined in terms of an underlying Markov renewal process, and asymptotic expressions for these moments as t → ∞. The factorial moment formulae combine to yield an expression for the probability generating function of t, and thereby further properties of such counts. The method is developed by considering counting processes associated with events that are determined by the states at two successive renewals of a Markov renewal process, for which it both simplifies and generalises existing results. More explicit results are given in the case of an underlying continuous-time Markov chain. The method is used to provide novel, probabilistically illuminating solutions to some problems arising in the stochastic modelling of ion channels.

Type
Research Papers
Copyright
© Applied Probability Trust 2005 

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