Hostname: page-component-78c5997874-8bhkd Total loading time: 0 Render date: 2024-11-15T07:10:31.776Z Has data issue: false hasContentIssue false

Bond and Stock Market Response to Unexpected Earnings Announcements

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  06 April 2009

Abstract

This study examines whether earnings changes convey information in bond markets and finds a significant positive (negative) reaction to unexpected earnings increases (decreases). The results are consistent whether earnings announcements precede or follow dividend announcements. Thus, earnings surprises convey information to bond markets and changes in firm value are split among bondholders and stockholders. This is in contrast to evidence from studies examining unexpected dividend announcements where bond price reaction is asymmetric. Cross-sectional analysis reveals that bond excess returns are positively related to earnings surprises.

Type
Research Article
Copyright
Copyright © School of Business Administration, University of Washington 1993

Access options

Get access to the full version of this content by using one of the access options below. (Log in options will check for institutional or personal access. Content may require purchase if you do not have access.)

References

Aharony, J., and Swary, I.. “Quarterly Dividend and Earnings Announcements and Stockholders' Returns: An Empirical Analysis.” Journal of Finance, 35 (03 1980), 112.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Ball, R., and Brown, P.. “An Empirical Evaluation of Accounting Income Numbers.” Journal of Accounting Research, 6 (Autumn 1968), 159178.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Bartov, E.Open Market Stock Repurchases as Signals for Earnings and Risk Changes.” Journal of Accounting and Economics, 14 (09 1991), 275294.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Beaver, W.; Lambert, R.; and Ryan, S.. “The Information Content of Security Prices: A Second Look.” Journal of Accounting and Economics, 9 (07 1987), 139158.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Bernard, V. L., and Thomas, J. K., “Evidence That Stock Prices Do Not Fully Reflect the Implications of Current Earnings for Future Earnings.” Journal of Accounting and Economics, 13 (12 1990), 305340.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Brennan, M. J.A Perspective on Accounting and Stock Prices.” Accounting Review, 66 (01 1991), 6779.Google Scholar
Brown, L. D., and Rozeff, M. S.. “The Superiority of Analysts' Forecasts as Measure of Expectations: Evidence from Earnings.” Journal of Finance, 33 (03 1978), 16.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Brown, L. D.; Hagerman, R.; Griffin, P.; and Zmijewski, M.. “Security Analyst Superiority Relative to Univariate Time Series Models in Forecasting Quarterly Earnings.” Journal of Accounting and Economics, 9 (07 1987), 6187.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Brown, S. L.Earnings Changes, Stock Prices, and Market Efficiency.” Journal of Finance, 33 (03 1978), 1728.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Collins, D. W., and Kothari, S. P.. “An Analysis of Intertemporal and Cross-Sectional Determinants of Earnings Response Coefficients.” Journal of Accounting and Economics, 11 (07 1989), 143182.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Dann, L. Y.; Masulis, R. W.; and Mayers, D.. “Repurchase Tender Offers and Earnings Information.” Journal of Accounting and Economics, 14 (09 1991), 217251.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Eger, C. E.An Empirical Test of the Redistribution Effect in Pure Exchange Mergers.” Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, 18 (12 1983), 547572.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Fried, D., and Givoly, D.. “Financial Analysts' Forecast of Earnings: A Better Surrogate for Market Expectations.” Journal of Accounting and Economics, 4 (10 1982), 85108.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Handjinicolaou, G., and Kalay, A.. “Wealth Redistribution or Changes in Firm Value: An Analysis of Returns to Bondholders and Stockholders around Dividend Announcements.” Journal of Financial Economics, 13 (03 1984), 3563.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Jayaraman, N., and Shastri, K.. “The Valuation Impact of Specially Designated Dividends.” Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, 23 (09 1988), 301312.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Kalay, A.Signaling, Information Content, and the Reluctance to Cut Dividends.” Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, 15 (12 1980), 855869.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Kane, A.; Lee, Y.; and Marcus, A.. “Earnings and Dividend Announcements: Is There a Corroboration Effect?Journal of Finance, 39 (09 1984), 10911100.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Lanen, W., and Thompson, R.. “Stock Price Reactions as Surrogates for the Net Cash Flow Effects of Corporate Policy Decisions.” Journal of Accounting and Economics, 10 (12 1988), 311334.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Lev, B.On the Usefulness of Earnings and Earnings Research: Lessons and Direction from Two Decades of Empirical Research.” Journal of Accounting Research, 27 (Supplement 1989), 153192.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Masulis, R. W.The Effects of Capital Structure Change on Security Prices: A Study of Exchange Offers.” Journal of Financial Economics, 8 (06 1980), 139177.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Philbrick, D. R., and Ricks, W. E.. “Using Value Line and IBES Analyst Forecast in Accounting Research.” Journal of Accounting Research, 29 (Autumn 1991), 397417.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Vermaelen, T.Common Stock Repurchases and Market Signalling.” Journal of Financial Economics, 9 (06 1981), 139183.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Watts, R.Systematic ‘Abnormal’ Returns after Quarterly Earnings Announcements.” Journal of Financial Economics, 6 (06/09 1978), 127150.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
White, H.A Heteroskedasticity-Consistent Covariance Matrix Estimator and a Direct Test for Heteroskedasticity.” Econometrica, 48 (05 1980), 817838.CrossRefGoogle Scholar