Hostname: page-component-78c5997874-j824f Total loading time: 0 Render date: 2024-11-15T13:00:31.013Z Has data issue: false hasContentIssue false

Commercial Bank Maturity Demand for United States Government Securities and the Determinants of the Term Structure of Interest Rates**

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  19 October 2009

Extract

The determination of the term structure of interest rates, a subject of much controversy in recent years, has emphasized two principal viewpoints: the expectations hypothesis stresses the importance of expectations of future yields as determining the present term structure of interest rates; and the liquidity hypothesis emphasizes the greater “moneyness” of short-term debt as opposed to long-term debt. These main theories provide certain unique insights into the term structure; the acceptance of one need not require the rejection of the other. And the factors they stress at least hold the possibility of simultaneously influencing the term structure of interest rates.

Type
Research Article
Copyright
Copyright © School of Business Administration, University of Washington 1969

Access options

Get access to the full version of this content by using one of the access options below. (Log in options will check for institutional or personal access. Content may require purchase if you do not have access.)

References

1.Bierwag, G. O., and Grove, M. A., “A Model of the Term Structure of Interest Rates”, Review of Economics and Statistics, Vol. 49 (February 1967), pp. 5062.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
2.Cagan, P., “The Monetary Dynamics of Hyperinflation,” Studies in the Quantity Theory of Money (Chicago: University of Chicago Press, 1956), pp. 25117.Google Scholar
3.Chow, G. C., “On the Long-Run and Short-Run Demand for Money”, Journal of Political Economy, Vol. 74 (April 1966), pp. 111131.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
4.Conard, J., An Introduction to the Theory of Interest (Berkeley: University of California Press, 1959).CrossRefGoogle Scholar
5.De Leeuw, F., “A Model of Financial Behavior,” The Brookings Quarterly Econometric Model of the United States (Chicago: Rand McNally, 1965), pp. 465530.Google Scholar
6.Friedman, M., A Theory of the Consumption Function (Princeton, N.J.: Princeton University Press, 1957).CrossRefGoogle Scholar
7.Hamburger, M. J., “The Demand for Money by Households, Money Substitutes, and Monetary Policy”, Journal of Political Economy, Vol. 74 (December 1966), pp. 600623.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
8.Hammer, F., The Demand for Physical Capital: Application of a Wealth Model (Englewood Cliffs, N.J.: Prentice-Hall, Inc., 1964).Google Scholar
9.Kessel, R. A., The Cyclical Behavior of the Term Structure of Interest Rates (New York: National Bureau of Economic Research, 1965).Google Scholar
10.Koyck, L. M., Distributed Lags and Investment Analysis (Amsterdam: North-Holland Publishing Co., 1954).Google Scholar
11.Levy, M. E., Cycles in Government Securities: II. Determinants of Changes in Ownership, Studies in Business Economics. No. 88 (New York: The National Industrial Conference Board, 1962), pp. 4142.Google Scholar
12.Malkiel, B. G., The Term Structure of Interest Rates (Princeton, N. J.: Princeton University Press, 1966), p. 157.Google Scholar
13.Meiselman, D., The Term Structure of Interest Rates (Englewood Cliffs, N. J.: Prentice-Hall, Inc., 1962).Google Scholar
14.Michaelson, J. B., “The Term Structure of Interest Rates and Holding Period Yields on Government Securities”, Journal of Finance, Vol. 20 (September 1965), pp. 444463.Google Scholar
15.Modigliani, F., and Sutch, R., “Innovations in Interest Rate Policy”, American Economic Review, Vol. 56 (May 1966), pp. 179197.Google Scholar
16.Nerlove, M., Distributed Lags and Demand Analysis for Agricultural and Other Commodities, Department of Agriculture, Agricultural Handbook No. 141 (Washington, D. C.: Government Printing Office, 1958).Google Scholar
17.Nerlove, M., and Wallis, K. F., “Use of the Durbin-Watson Statistic in Inappropriate Situations”, Econometrica, Vol. 34 (January 1966), pp. 235238.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
18.Okun, A. M., “Monetary Policy, Debt Management and Interest Rates: A Quantitative Appraisal,” Stabilization Policies, A Series of Research Studies for the Commission on Money and Credit (Englewood Cliffs, N. J.: Prentice-Hall, Inc., 1963), pp. 331380.Google Scholar
19.Ortner, R., “An Estimate of the Time Horizon and Expected Yield for a Selected Group of Common Stocks, 1935–1955”, International Economic Review, Vol. 2 (May 1961), pp. 179198.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
20.Ożga, S. A., Expectations in Economic Theory (Chicago: Aldine Publishing Co., 1965), p. 296.Google Scholar
21.Scott, R. H., “Liquidity and the Term Structure of Interest Rates”, Quarterly Journal of Economics, Vol. 79 (February 1965), pp. 135145.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
22.Teigen, R. L., “Demand and Supply Functions for Money in the United States: Some Structural Estimates”, Econometrica, Vol. 32 (October 1964), pp. 476509.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
23.Theil, H., and Nagar, A. L., “Testing the Independence of Regression Disturbances”, Journal of American Statistical Association, Vol. 56 (December 1961), pp. 793806.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
24.Treasury Bulletin, Office of the Secretary, United States Treasury Department, Washington, D. C., September 1960–August 1967.Google Scholar
25.Van Horne, J., “Interest-rate Risk and the Term Structure of Interest Rates”, Journal of Political Economy, Vol. 73 (August 1964), pp. 344351.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
26.Waud, R. N., “Small Sample Bias Due to Misspecification in the ‘Partial Adjustment’ and ‘Adaptive Expectations’ Models”, Journal of American Statistical Association, Vol. 61 (December 1966), pp. 11301152.Google Scholar